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75 comments on Another Way of Looking at CERA

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Murray on September 13, 2005 - 10:35pm Permalink | Subthread | Comments top
Re: the eyeballed curve vs Deffeyes. Given the contention of pretty well all the technologists that acceleration of production accelerates subsequent depletion, the last 2 points of actual will eventually cause a steeper decline for some time. If one moved the Deffeyes curve to the right a bit, but kept the slope, it might be a better representation. However my own "back of the envelope" analysis gives an all liquids EUR of near 2400 Gb. It makes little difference, as moving the Deffeyes curve a little only moves the mid-point from thanksgiving 2005 to sometime before the end of 2007.
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Stuart Staniford on September 13, 2005 - 10:53pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
My suspicion is that Deffeyes is using data without NGL, or something like that. His US data is even more off the BP data.
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75 comments on Another Way of Looking at CERA

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