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Frankly, I don't think anyone has better data than we can come up with here at TOD and maybe, in the case of HO's (and others' here) analysis about decline rates, TOD information is cutting edge.
One hard lesson that comes out of looking at Peak Oil is that there is no authority out there that knows more than we do. Just because CERA charges exorbitant amounts of money for their reports doesn't mean they know something that we don't. Again, look at the CERA 2006 thread here, which is based on a CERA audio/visual presentation we had access to last weekend.
There's no "big daddy" to tell us we're all wrong. We're all adults here and we're on our own, looking at the future of Western Civilization.
Sadly, I agree. And to be explicit about being on our own: I am aware of no political or economic leadership, anywhere in the world, that is seriously addressing the issue of peak oil. Compare it to the issue of climate change. Kyoto may be too little, and too late, but world action on climate change is at least a decade ahead of action on peak oil.
It would be an improvement if the world were just doing nothing about peak oil. Instead, we're putting the pedal to the metal--ratcheting up production, and consumption, and worsening the problem every day. Based on what I've seen to date, there is no political leader anywhere that I would choose to follow on this issue.
We have no leaders, and we are not in good hands.