I have always had a  very hard time taking seriously any sort of state-by-state ranking on such completely subjective things as 'cohesiveness' or 'quality of life'. It is really BS disguised as science.

On several ocassions in the past I have been involved in this sort of thing, and they are typically done by using some sort of matrix scoring system to make it look objective, but in reality the way the various factors are weighted introduces the bias that was there from the very beginning. In other words, these things generally come up the way the people doing the ranking wanted them to come out before they went through the formal exercise.  

I think the main flaw in a state-by-state ranking is inherent in the very idea that somehow a 'state' is something having the same level of reality as a  mountain range or a sea. People forgot that a state is really nothing more than an agreement by the general populace to govern the area inside these lines on a map seperately from the area inside those lines on a map. I think some people need to be reminded that you can't see any state boundary lines in a satellite photo of the US.

In my view the main divide is between urban and rural. A resident of New York City and a resident of Chicago will generally have much more in common with each other then the New York City resident has with an upstate New York farmer or the Chicago resident has with a downstate Illinois farmer.

So, state-by-state is a very flawed way of looking at such things as cohesiveness or quality of life. At the risk of oversimplification, the single most important factor determining your quality of life is how much money you have, not which state you live in.

I have always had a  very hard time taking seriously any sort of state-by-state ranking on such completely subjective things as 'cohesiveness' or 'quality of life'. It is really BS disguised as science.

Try comparing quality of life in Nigeria with quality of life in the Netherlands. I assure you that you will find very real differences. The differences between US states are no less real, just smaller. Or are you really saying that there is no difference between California and Mississippi?

On several ocassions in the past I have been involved in this sort of thing, and they are typically done by using some sort of matrix scoring system to make it look objective, but in reality the way the various factors are weighted introduces the bias that was there from the very beginning. In other words, these things generally come up the way the people doing the ranking wanted them to come out before they went through the formal exercise.

So have I. One should expect some correlation between what we think we'll see and what our measurements say, else why make the measurements at all? This is what theory formation and hypothesis testing is all about. If you don't like the way things are measured, then go get your own measurements and present them for others to critique.

Social scientists labor under two problematic conditions --the inablity to conduct experiments and 'squishy' variables that are based on difficult-to-measure concepts. Yes, it's hard, and it's often wrong, but social scientists at least make the effort to apply, however imperfectly, the scientific method.  

I think the main flaw in a state-by-state ranking is inherent in the very idea that somehow a 'state' is something having the same level of reality as a  mountain range or a sea. People forgot that a state is really nothing more than an agreement by the general populace to govern the area inside these lines on a map seperately from the area inside those lines on a map. I think some people need to be reminded that you can't see any state boundary lines in a satellite photo of the US.

Yes, but collective agreements on governance are often more important to everyday life than something 'real' like a mountain range. Legal slavery, for instance, was an important distinction between US states before 1865, no? If you look here you can see that since 1945 alone political violence has killed an estimated 24,083,800 people worldwide. That's quite a lot for something that isn't real, isn't it?

In my view the main divide is between urban and rural. A resident of New York City and a resident of Chicago will generally have much more in common with each other then the New York City resident has with an upstate New York farmer or the Chicago resident has with a downstate Illinois farmer.

So, state-by-state is a very flawed way of looking at such things as cohesiveness or quality of life. At the risk of oversimplification, the single most important factor determining your quality of life is how much money you have, not which state you live in.

I agree on both points. Rural/Urban is probably the most important societal cleavage and that is always better to try to get as disaggregated data as possible. Unfortunatley, that is often very difficult to get. You have make do with what you have. Insofar that some states are more or less rural that will usually show in the statistics. However, in the map above, rural/urban doesn't seem to be a terribly great indicator of social cohesiveness. The Dakotas and the South are very rural, yet are on the extremes.

How did Putnam rank the states? What was his method?

You should re-read Joule's post. In the USA, money is the big stick (or shield). Being dirt poor in a "cohesive" state is riskier than being rich in a "non-cohesive" one. Obviously, money provides mobility advantages also.  
Being dirt poor in a "cohesive" state is riskier than being rich in a "non-cohesive" one.

Duh. Which is why it's a rather trivial statement. Gee, all things considered, it's better to be rich! The sky's blue too, in case you haven't noticed.

The relevant comparison is between poor people in cohesive vs non-cohesive societies or between rich people in cohesive vs non-cohesive socieites. If social capital makes, other things being equal, the poor and rich better off that's an important thing to discover. It the context of the debate at this site, it means societies that have lots of organizations and institutions that cut across social cleavagess will likely fare better under Peak Oil conditions than those that don't. It also means that differences between rich a poor are less likely to turn violent in a society that is rich in social capital than in those that are not.

Maybe. If I was attempting to predict which areas of the USA would react violently to post-PO conditions, I would have to bet on the areas that are currently violent crime-ridden. You don't need a complicated cohesion equation for this-just look at the stats.  
Sure. But the interesting question for social scientists is why do you get the crime to begin with? Why do you get violence and mass killing in area A but not area B? Crime? What causes the crime?
IMO, there are many reasons. Cultural,educational,economic and access to effective weaponry.
Motive and opportunity.

Don't you watch all those detective shows?

Actually, the move to suburbia was middle and upper America's response to crime of the 1960's. It removed the "opprotunity" part of the equation.

Pervasive public transport allowed roving gangs of young people to move easily from one neighborhood to another in the "inner cities" of the 1960's. Older people don't commit as many crimes because --well they are old & slow, and perhaps they have developed a set of morals (except for Enron execs). So the violent crimes problem is mostly one of gangs of unemployed males.

It is the expansive highway system and the need for expensive cars that keeps large gangs from forming in Suburbia (outside of school grounds). Recently, we have advanced to "gated" communities. Why?

Did the scare for nuclear war play a role during the early cold war?

I know there were plans to evacuate large cities in Sweden and disperse the population on the countryside in case of total mobilization during the early cold war.
Building suburbia is more or less a volotary preemptive evacuation.

These plans were later replaced with a shelter building program. Maintaining the shelter stock is more or less what is left of our civil defence, hardly any are built nowdays. :-(

They are not especially fancy, the minimum spec on later generations were detonation of a bomb with 125 kg of TNT in 125 kg of steel casing with no further containment 5 m from a wall or roof, 50 kPa long lasting overpreassure or 8 kPa long lasting underpreassure, 97.5% fallout reduction, basic NBC filtering with 60 Pa overpreassure, 72h livability with one person per 0.75 m2 and 50 year design life lenght of the construction. Finnish and Swiss designs seems to have better minumum radiation specs and the Finns have added roof concrete spalling reinforcments as a minimum requirement.

But the Finns and probably the Swiss continue with complete shelter building, I envy those that are wiser.

Most of the hardened civil defence structures being built nowdays in Sweden are overground or partly buried control centers for municipiality fire brigades and county disaster control centers. Almost every municipiality had an N hardened small civil defence control center built in bedrock, most of them are now abandoned or used as server halls, backup storage and so on. But they had the drawback that they took longer to mobilize then having a control center next to city hall. What is slowly being built today is the ability to react on for instance a traffic accident with nasty chemicals in an urban area.

We also had civil defence battalions and brigades that had mobiliziation depots distributed around cities and towns with massive ammounts of pneunmatic jackhammers, diamond saws and so on to get people out of shelters below fallen buildings. All gone now since we in the future wont have anythings as old time as a war in Europe. I realy hope that is a good prediction of the future.

Hello Prodigal Son,

I believe the answer to your questions can be partially derived from studying Genetics and Memetics:  Googling Hans Selye's General Adaption Syndrome [GAS] and the Environment of Evolutionary Adaptedness [EEA] which obviously includes 'inclusive fitness'.  Evolved behavioral switches, which can be probabilistically extended to larger social groupings, combined with entropic decline forms the basis of discussions by Diamond, Tainter, Hanson, et al--what I call the Thermo-Gene Collision.

Isaac Asimov's Foundation concepts of predictive collapse and directed decline uses Hari Seldon's psychohistorical analyses to mitigate decline.  I have no proof that any governmental orgs are using supercomputer simulations to do the same--it remains beyond my discovery-- yet historical trends seem to point to various manipulations.

We have had long ranging debates on certain Yahoo forums about this Foundation possibility and ultimately agreed to  disagree about the existence of such an entity.

Evolutionary inevitability vs. human exercise of freewill is obviously a volatile topic, yet Overshoot and Dieoff occurs constantly in Nature.  I believe humans will be very, very lucky if we can optimally mitigate our own decline-- the odds are against us when one considers the totality of the forces arrayed towards a plague specie.

Here are a few links to get you started:

http://www.objectivethought.com/articles/psychohistory.html

http://www.kuro5hin.org/story/2006/4/17/194059/296

Thus, there is a very good reason Asimov's Foundation Series was voted the best Hugo Science Fiction Award-- a tantalizing glimpse of a possible Rosetta Stone to predict how masses of humans will behave and how to control them.  Isaac Asimov, Robert Heinlein, Aldous Huxley, H. G. Wells, Darwin, Malthus, et al, were way, way ahead of their time.

Peakoil and climate change is just thermodynamics [physics in action], the real interesting stuff is on the human genetic and behavioral side.  Googling Foundation brings up everything from Al-Qaeda [the base or foundation!] to Joseph Caldwell [a nuclear weapons scientist's prediction of our demise in a full-on nuclear gift exchange to less than 500 million]:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al-Qaeda
http://www.foundationwebsite.org/
http://www.foundationwebsite.org/WhoAmI.htm

Bob Shaw in Phx,Az  Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?

Being poor in the USA just plain SUCKS because our culture values money over almost any other social attribute.

Studies of non-US cultures within the US show that even when the poverty is dire, inhabitants of say, Indian reservations etc., have more actual security than even the very rich in the greater US.

Think about it, you can be uber-rich and you'll still only get the "friendship" and care you can pay for, and that only until they've figured out how to get your money and let you die. But those damned Indians etc. they'll help each other because they actually LIKE each other. They care for each other, feel obligated to each other, are a true extended family. Yeah, there are assholes even on the Rez, but sociologists have found a basic level of decency unimaginable in our society. No wonder we tried to wipe 'em out.