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GAIA Host Collective
By making the vehicles a little more sophisticated, the track can be much much cheaper... It doesn't have to be a monorail or peoplemover type thing.
I have had several successful real estate bets by simply betting that property prices will increase faster than inflation in walkable areas. These sorts of neighborhoods have done well all up and down the Pacific Coast. Try South Beach in San Francisco, the north end of Seattle's downtown. Downtown Olympia, Washington. Don't even try to mention property prices in Vancouver or Victoria, BC. They are ridiculously high because of the walkability of these neighborhoods.
Perhaps the communities being discussed here make it difficult for folks to walk safely downtown or maybe they are extremely good a designing communities that drive property prices down by making it dangerous or uncomfortable to walk. Perhaps they should use their sales techniques to convince their real estate developers to make more profit.
One thing, though when people bring up elderly - you need to look at when people get old, can they and should they be driving? My parents are both in their 80's and can't drive any more due to a very common low-vision condition (macular degeneration). I think there are many others that probably shouldn't be driving that are because to stop would mean a total loss of freedom. If they do stop driving and don't live where they can walk or have access to some type of transit, their options are really limited.
Arlington provides a paratransit service for people who need and qualify for it (typically elderly/disabled)
http://www.commuterpage.com/paratran.htm
I cycle if it's too far to walk and drive if I can't cycle it.
Macular degeneration for the most part is likely diet related. A diet high in cholesterol (animal products) will not only steer you towards heart attacks and strokes but also take your sight from you.
http://www.nealhendrickson.com/mcdougall/031200pumacular.htm
As for the elderly driving - I've seen it. They know that they're having problems; the kids hope that the license doesn't get renewed; the doctor punts and doesn't block the renewal. In a year or two they eventually come to their senses and the ones I've seen self-restrict themselves to daytime only .... It's not right - but it's very hard for us to give up something we've taken for granted for decades.
I complained about the lack of free parking at my current employer as I had a decade of free parking under my belt. I was floored when parking went upto $3 per day - it's cheaper to take the bus and still the parking lots are jammed at this university.
The current state of AI really isn't important for PRT - we would have been able to program a PRT system 20 years ago.
I've been looking into PRT for the last few weeks. As far as transport concepts go, it ranges from pie-in-the-sky utopian to not enough improvement over cars to justify the expense.
We have tens of trillions of dollars in car-based infrastructure built right now. It's the solution that we developed for the go-anywhere culture, and the energy situation doesn't look like it will support another go-anywhere culture being built, in whatever form. PRT is somewhat interesting as a logical way we could have developed instead of cars, but it's laughable as far as a way to solve our current problems.
All the PRT essay's I've read tend to be utopian - they highlight the positive aspect of one feature, then the positive aspect of another feature which is mutually exclusive of the benefit already mentioned, and go on for pages and pages.
When in car mode, dual-mode PRT (which the "realists" have settled on) has all the problems of car culture as well as the technical problems of an electric car. Furthermore, they can't operate in AI mode safely on normal roads by any stretch of the imagination, leaving them out of the active vehicle pool when one has to go to an area without guideways.
When in guideway mode, PRT proponents imagine impossibly close spacing of cars on a single cheap guideway (rather than double or triple guideways for accel + decel + stopping), with many-times-per-second highspeed switches. Many of them want vertically elevated track (Good luck with the drop, or the track, when something breaks down), and most of them require wide loops for every dead end, large turnways, etc.
It all comes down to this: A guideway is inherently much less 'open' than simple pavement.
</rant>
We pay (and have invested) a LOT for the car culture. The externalities dwarf any other aspect of the economy other than perhaps weapons-making. It wasn't so much to pay when we were the best automakers, oil producers, and empty-land-owners in the world - but we're not anymore. Things are getting pricier, both in terms of blood and money. In the past, people thought that to replace the car, one had to best it in every way - this is where PRT came from, and it succeeds in some aspects of this (while failing miserably in others). But personal, private, high-speed transit from home to work to the other side of the country without getting off my ass, with room for 5 kids, a dog, and groceries is not necessary for the vast majority of us to live our lives.
Changing the culture is a nearly impossible thing, looking at it as an individual - but it's far easier and more practical than implementing PRT in a fashion anywhere near universal enough to allow us to keep our current land-use practices.
Oh well, I'm off to mow down some more Austin pedestrians. Problem is, it won't really make that much of a dent in the population problem ...
Well, just to debate this one point, PRT will NOT have the problem of nearly blind elderly drivers ...
But you are correct about the cultural aspect. The car culture is entrenched. I see it as more of a supplement to walkable urban areas and a way to move (us) aging baby boomers around without a car. Not a replacement for the interstate system and not a way to commute from exurbs 100 miles from the workplace.