Yesterday's presentation by Encana to a financial audience included an interesting slide on the replacement of production with new reserves in the gas industry. The figure seems at variance with the prevailing view of an imminent shortage. While the majority of companies it shows are American, that's where most of the gas is.  

Neither does the EIA think that Canadian gas exports are about to "fall off a cliff".

From 3.5 tcf in 2002 to 1.5 tcf in 2018 may not look like a cliff to some, but how steep does it have to be to deserve the name?

And they still won't even get the 1.5, I'll bet. People think gas drops like oil, but it goes much faster.

Well, a ski slope then, and an easy one at that. With no lift and no helicopter to get us back up, we can hope that the lodge at the base is still comfortable, albeit less luxurious than the one at the top.