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69 comments on DrumBeat: January 1, 2007
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69 comments on DrumBeat: January 1, 2007
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GAIA Host Collective
A "managed retreat from the coasts" is what we should be doing. If the free market prevailed, the retreat would happen, though "managed" is probably not how it would go down.
The free market isn't prevailing, of course. Unfortunately, the government is really screwing it up. In Florida, the state - IOW, the taxpayers - is insuring homes that insurance companies won't.
In North Carolina, Hurricane Fran decimated some towns in areas that weren't supposed to be rebuilt with federal money. They were supposed to pay people to relocate, but not to rebuild. But emotions ran so high after the disaster that they got a waiver. The result was a huge jump in prices. Houses that used to cost 1 million started going for 2 million. And more people moved into harm's way.
A predictable development. Governments have votes as their no.1 priority. They must see the sign on the wall, but if that is more further out into the future than the next election, guess what?
Politicians can afford to wait for insurers to act first, and they in turn proceed with caution, since they need clients. Moderately higher premiums, more money down, the kind of thing that rolls out of computer models.
Still, it just that next big storm, and everything will change.
By the way, isn't it hilarious somehow that a bunch of Germans, as in Munich RE, and Swiss, in Zurich RE, cast the decisive vote on the value of large parts of US real estate?