Am I right to assume this was offered yet Asian customers declined to pay more?

This is way out of my experience and knowledge.

In regard to the oil price situation, my guess--and it's only a guess--is that two things are driving the current downward spike: (1) the fact that the Nymex traders are going to work in short sleeves and (2) some hedge funds bailing out (or being forced to bail out) of highly leveraged positions. We saw something similar in the natural gas market last year, as one hedge fund took huge losses because of their speculative bet on natural gas prices.

In any case, my prediction for 2007 is that Russia will join Saudi Arabia is showing lower oil production. I have begun to wonder a little bit about somewhat of a future rebound in Saudi production. If Ghawar really is crashing, and not just declining, it's possible that overall production will fall so fast that mathematically Saudi Arabia may show some kind of rebound to a production level lower than their peak, but in any case, I think that 2007 will clear things up.

Right, all the recent price disputes between Russia and its former empire have been leading up to this. Why? To provide cover for Russia when it needs to make voluntary production cuts.

There is no reason not to suspect that price disputes are occurring at the same time that Russia's production is falling--in fact the two would probably go together. They have already admitted to lower exports. The only question is whether lower production this year will accelerate the decline in exports.

The inevitable decline in fossil fuel production is driving most of the current tension and is going to lead to much more in the near future. Judging by the current MSM (not just western) propaganda the true source of the conflicts will never be identified. I think the powers that be got caught by surprise with the pace of resource depletion. They were trapped into the same trance as the rest of the population by the endless repetition of "there are decades of oil and gas left" mantra for the last 40 years.

Worth repeating...

"They were trapped into the same trance as the rest of the population ..."

Breaking News: GM places it's bet on cheaper oil, or Westexas vs. General Motors! :-)

UPDATE 1-AUTOSHOW-GM says oil price to drop, yen undervalued

By Kevin Krolicki

DETROIT, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Oil prices are set to decline sharply in 2007, dropping as low as $40 per barrel because of increasing production and a slowing U.S economy, the chief economist of General Motors Corp. (GM) said on Tuesday.

"Last year, I said oil prices would be in the forties," GM chief economist Mustafa Mohatarem told a conference of auto analysts. "Obviously, I missed that forecast by a few dollars. I think they will be in the forties this year."

In January, 2006, crude oil on the New York Mercantile Exchange was trading in the mid-$60 level, rising to a record high of $78.40 in mid-July. On Tuesday, crude oil was trading slightly under $55, the lowest level in 1-1/2 years.

Oil traders have cited forecasts for heating oil demand in the United States to average about 24 percent below normal for this time of the year due to abnormally warm winter weather.

Mohatarem on Tuesday cited rising oil production from non-OPEC economies and slower global economic growth as reasons for forecasting a slide in oil prices, a move that could take some of the pressure off the embattled U.S. auto industry.

"On the balance, the risk for oil prices is that they are more likely to go down than to go up," he said, saying one Wall Street forecast for $100-per-barrel oil had convinced him that the market was peaking.

"This morning the price is down to $54, so we're on our way to $40," he said.

http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?type=comktNews&storyID=...

In a somewhat related story, GM showed it's "Volt" a series hybrid (although they don't like to call it that) showing a real world car that could be revolutionary, getting 100 plus miles per gallon in mixed used, and infinite onboard fossil fuel mileage in local around town driving, due to the electric drive (the cars wheels are never driven by the fossil fuel engine, used only as a range/performance enhancer by keeping the batteries charged)

It is a stunning piece of technical work, EXACTLY the car that the "Plug hybrid" supporters have always known has been possible for years, but is at least 3 to 5 years away, if ever. The combined weight of projections from General Motors, ExxonMobil, the Department of Energy's EIA, and CERA mean that no one in the executive suites are in a hurry on the effort needed to reduce energy consumption. And the American public and press seem just as uninterested, as the Volt showcar was not even featured on most national news coverage of the North American Auto Show, instead pushed off center stage by a new flashy Rolls Royce with a push button umbrella compartment and a Ford minvan with an artificial "electronic fireplace" and the full assortment of mobile hotel electronics, done up in art deco pastel colors (it was an atrocity, to put it mildly, but the crowds loved it...:-(

Oh well, a few thousand more troops in the burning sand and the road goes on forever and the party never ends,,,,,

Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout

I was on a panel with this gentleman (the chief economist of GM) about 18 months ago discussing US energy security and Chinese oil demand. Privately, between sessions, I engaged him in discussion about oil depletion, peak oil, and alternatives, and he was--to put it bluntly--the economist's economist in his thinking. He said "There's something about energy that makes even sane people crazy talking about it", "Oil is just like any other commodity", and that "when oil gets to a certain price, we will switch to alternatives", denying that declining oil supply might create any problems. I asked him where the energy would come from to produce those alternatives (having just shown the assembled conference that for China to reach an E25 blend target would require 21% of its arable land), but he wasn't accustomed to thinking in those terms. To him, the input was nothing more than financial cost, which he argued would be feasible in a regime of high oil prices. So I reprised the Simmons bet with him for 2010 (the one he did with the NY Times columnist), and I fully expect to be paid. So despite GM's nod to alternative-powered vehicles with their concept cars, I truly doubt they are actually convinced of a peak oil crisis any time in the future.

Isn't it possible that Saudi Arabia can hide their production woes in 2007 behind the fact that there is little demand for them to produce at 10mbpd?

Due to market speculators, it is possible that 2007 will not see new highs, so SA will not produce more.

I hope you are not saying 2007 will definitely see Saudi Arabia force to go all out as they have done in 2005.