179 comments on DrumBeat: January 24, 2007
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179 comments on DrumBeat: January 24, 2007
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I second that motion. TOD has taken a decided turn for the worse the last couple of months. Three very rude and prolific posters are dominating the DrumBeat. We need either more aggressive moderation (banning) or an ignore button.
Personally, I would prefer banning of abusive posters. The bad manners of a few, if tolerated, can become contagious.
TOD's Drupal software has a built-in comment rating system that could easily be enabled. Sites such as Slashdot and DailyKos have used comment rating for years and it has helped keep the trolls from dominating the discourse.
Having a dissenting opinion is not being 'rude'. When people learn the difference, they might add such a function.
I think David Mathews is both new to this, so going through the mental furniture-rearranging that one goes through upon learning about Peak OIl, and sensing the consistant channel of thought on here - unintentional - of, "How Do We Keep The Party Going?"
Now, I say unintentional because I think on an intellectual level most of us understand that easy motoring is not going to keep going indefinately, no matter what kind of weird fuel we come up with, the Earth can't take it. But, the idea of going back to a non-easy-motoring lifestyle frankly scares the holy crap out of modern people. I've lived very very low on the socioeconomic chain, little or no electricity, very few calories, etc., and I still think it's a daunting thought. Especially since my family's poverty was against a backdrop of a society where The Machine was taking care of most of them fine, and at the very least we got to live on the crumbs from the richer ppl's tables. What about a society where everyone's poor in the conventional sense? Most ppl younger than say 40 have never been really hungry, never walked miles daily as a simple process of getting from Point A to Point B, never fished for sustenance or sewed up their clothes to remain decent. The idea of doing so, at a very deep level, scares the hole bejesus out of them. Add to that the brainwashing, and it is deep, that if one does not have a connection to the Internet and lots of electrical stuff in general, one is suffering deeply.
So there's a deep channel of thought here, of trying to think up ways to keep the party going. Even though anyone who thinks about it knows the party's not going to keep going.
This does not mean TOD is in the pocket of the oil co's. I find it really neat that we have so many petroleum industry ppl here, so many hard-science types, it really says something that Peak Oil has been defined and is promulgated by the very people whose livlihood has been milking the oil teat. They know what they're talking about.
TOD is not an oil co. front, the vast majority of ppl here are not oil. co shills, and at least at the conscious level, none of us want the impossible, earth-killing oil party to keep going. It just seems like that at times, especially to a new person.
My suggestion to Matthews is to just sit back, relax, and read here for a while, let the pieces settle into place, learning about Peak Oil is pretty overwhelming at first, things are not going to change much over the next 6 months or a year, and just sit back and soak up the info.
I'm sorry, but I must respectfully disagree with you on this. The problem with many people on TOD is that they have a set of preconcieved notions. Whether this was instilled in them via outside influences or listening to someones 'rant', most people hear bad news and witness some supporting evidence and automatically assume the worse.
The search stops there.
On Peak Oil, if they look a little closer and maintain an open mind, they can easily spot hundreds of potential solutions to this liquid fuel crisis. Just because the future doesn't include FFs doesn't mean that in some ways it wont be remarkably similar to today.
Hothgar, solutions on paper are nice, but you do not consider the complexity and limitations to each potential solution and of all current potential solutions combined (silver bbs) given that TimezUP.
And considering our "dear leaderz" are not up to the task of actually getting started on the problem let alone recognizing it (consider our clueless senator's and the silly babysteps proposed by the politically impotent, typical Politician we call a president).
"Just because the future doesn't include FFs doesn't mean that in some ways it wont be remarkably similar to today."
The "future" world will be remarkably similar to today's world in many ways... what is going to change very dramatically is the Ratio between populations living similar to today's First Worlders vs those living similar to today's Third World (including and especially the somalias etc).
Hope you find a "good pocket" to live. No such thing as "safe" - only "safer" (except when playing tag of course).
Oh please. From the way you act, you have already given up, and without even trying. What if someone had a design for some magical fusion device on paper. Would you still dismiss it outright? For reference, we do have a source of power 'on paper' that can satisfy all our energy needs: they're sometimes called 'wind', 'solar', 'hydro', 'geothermal', 'nuclear', 'electrification', 'biofuels', 'conservation'.
But clearly, they are so complex and have such high limitations that we shouldn't even try! Better go get in that drivers seat of your SUV!
I hear its about to take a trip to the nearest mall...
Hothgar, you ask if I would dismiss a "magical fusion device on paper" ?? It depends - How much energy do you get from this magical device while it is still "on paper" ? When would you get it off paper and into REALITY and at what cost and using what resources and would it be available for service before declining oil production begins killing the world economy???
You can imagine or project whatever you want but then you have to deal with reality of actually producing and deploying the system. As long as you stay "on paper" virtually anything might seem possible - "infinite possibilities" without considering probabilities or limitations posed by reality. We need realistic solutions now, not imaginary solutions on paper to hope for someday, and to waste time and energy on in futile pursuit in the present.
As for the simplistic view on wind, solar, hydro (and what energy source is 'electrifiction" ??) etc, - as I said above, you ignore the limitations of each and the complexity of the system you are trying to service (world energy needs). Each will contribute and play a role to some extent but they will not run this civilization as it's structured now.
And playing with imaginary hype with imaginary numbers "on paper" is not "trying." It's intellectual masterbation to relieve your anxiety over reality.
Hello fleam,
I do believe in Peak Oil, fleam. There is no dispute between myself and the Peak Oil concept. I am also in favor of Peak Oil, too. Humankind doesn't suffer from too little energy, but rather from too much. Humans have modified the Earth in terrible ways and created a mess. There is also a problem of overpopulation, poverty, extreme injustice, exploitation, violence and perpetual warfare on the Earth.
All of these behaviors indicate that Homo sapiens is a self-destructive anti-natural suicidally-inclined animal. In other words: Human nature is the primary problem afflicting the Earth. And ... Peak Oil is a blessing, the real sin is humankind's addiction to oil and all of the other fossil fuels.
I am in favor of ending the oil, electricity, fossil fuel, and technological age. Humankind has already done enough harm, humankind has already done too much harm. Under these circumstances the best choice for the species is for humans to just stop. This generation should make whatever sacrifices are necessary to protect the future health & well-being of humans a century, a millennia from now.
In other words: The American Way of Life, (and all technology and industry), must end. And it will end, too. Whatever we do not voluntarily sacrifice Nature will take away from us in the most harsh and painful manner possible. Humankind's extinction is approching with each passing day, we need to live within the context of the knowledge that all these things are passing away.
The Oil Drum seems involved in a perpetual lobbying effort on behalf of the oil industry. The prominent voices of the Peak Oil effort have explicitly lobbied on behalf of the oil industry. There are far too many people here who have their careers, income, wealth, investments and retirement tied up in the success of the oil industry.
In other words: The Oil Drum is not an objective source regarding Peak Oil, the oil industry, environmentalism or geopolitics.
There is plenty of useful and relevant and technically precise information at The Oil Drum. But the price of all this good information is a perpetual lobbying and public relations effort on behalf of the oil industry.
And one more thing: Matthew Simmons is no hero. He is a lobbyist for the oil industry. He is not beyond using fear to provoke the general public into sacrificing ANWR and the Gulf Coast on behalf of the oil industry.
Environmentalists should keep these facts in mind when seeking to respond to the Peak Oil problem. The primary oil-industry proponents of Peak Oil are all explicitly anti-environmental and pro-pollution. They are also pro-consumerism and extremely nationalistic (in the worst possible way). They are often pro-militaristic and they do not particularly care how many impoverished people are killed in the process of seizing and exploiting the natural resources of other nations.
In other words: The Peak Oil movement behaves very much like an enemy of environmentalism.
I wish it were not so.
David Mathews
http://www.geocities.com/dmathew1