228 comments on In Defense of the Hubbert Linearization Method
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228 comments on In Defense of the Hubbert Linearization Method
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GAIA Host Collective
There are unbelievably large amounts of fossil fuels in the world ... peak oil is about flows of oil ... we can't get it to flow out of the ground at the rates required to meet our exponential expectations of increase in demand.
IMO anybody that responds to peak oil by talking about the amount of oil in the world, either undiscovered or discovered, doesn't understand the problem.
Xeroid.
Good point. My response to that is "Reserves are not the issue. The issue is how fast you can get it out of the ground. There is an unstated assumption that if oil is "there" that there is no difficulty in getting out of the ground, processed at the well head for water and other impurities, transported halfway round the world, then refined and delivered to you. There are a lot of difficulties, lately with refining, but mostly in getting it out of the ground. We can discuss those difficulties if you want."
At this point the eyes have normally glazed over and they think I am a nutter (probably I am) and they walk away. Most people just do not care. Even educated, aware people, do not care. They do not have the entire matrix of information required to understand the information in their heads. Most people are not aware, they are more concerned with the personal habits of Brad Pitt and Paris Hilton, or football. These are the folks who also whine about "gougers" and being ripped off etc.
Humanity will trip over the edge wondering what dress x or y actress is wearing to the Oscars. Nobody cares.
Your comment reminds me of an excellent movie... starring Brad Pitt! Fight Club is described by a fan like this:
"the story is nothing short of incredible, a pure shock-value social commentary on the state of the world at the end of the century"