They were having serious problems even before the Coffeyville refinery shut down. The impact of Coffeyville is probably not yet being felt.

I posted several articles in yesterday's DrumBeat about what the impact of the flooding might be. It will impact the middle of the country the hardest.

It seems likely that the main impact will be in the Midwest, but in order to combat shortages there it's necessary to drain fuel from other parts of the country.

Yes, but that's easier said than done. Higher prices might lure some trucks to the middle of the country. But I suspect the real issue is the pipelines.

There have been shortages in the middle of the country for weeks, maybe months. Colorado, Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, etc. I remember over the Memorial Day weekend, I was struck by how high gas prices were in Ohio and Michigan, when they were usually cheaper than in the northeast. Heck, prices were cheaper in notoriously expensive San Francisco than in Michigan that week.

Especially when you compare it with this map.

Those maps really demonstrate what is going to happen as fuel gets even more scarce.

Being at the end of a pipeline is not a good thing.

Ireland and Great Britian take note as well. Ugliness.

Is there a larger version-hard to follow all the lines. Also, a legend-assume blue is crude, black is gas?

I'm sure there are better maps out there. IIRC, some huge, detailed ones were posted here after Katrina. I'll ask around and see if anyone remembers where they are.

Black are trunk lines. Blue are regional.

The airlines can do the "tankering" trick, but truckers only carry about 100 gallons onboard so they can't "tanker" too much. Drivers of cars are out of luck. Unless your hybrid car can go clean across the continent, you can't do the "tanker" trick.

The "tankering" trick is often found in the case of ordinary drivers near large cities. A driver will often go to the damn cheapest gas station to get the gas even if it's out of the way. Unless that gas station is close enough, the fuel use will cause more expense that tankering is useless. This is why I do not bother. With a weekly fuel use of less than 7 gallons, the money to be saved is less than a buck. It's a case of "Why bother?".

In the Chicago area, any drive into Chicago means that you go by more costly gas stations than suburbs. So, you get your gas while in your desired flight plan to avoid wasting fuel and money. If you pay a nickel a gallon more than farther-from-city gas stations, you save a little money compared to going several miles out of the way. The exemption is a special mission to the suburbs. If you must go on a mission to the suburbs, you may as well get a less costly load of fuel. But it's not really worth it if you must divert by a few miles to get that load of fuel.

Petrol prices high enough yet? Just wait!

Hello Leanan,

Have there been any reports yet on how fuel shortages in the Heartland may impact farming and later harvesting? Thxs for any reply.

Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?

Diesel took a spike in New Orleans (about a dime) for a couple of weeks this spring due to MidWest planting season.

This is despite the fact that farmers can use higher sulfur diesel than road diesel (0.05% vs 0.0015% from memory). In a pinch, farmers can use road diesel of course.

If diesel supplies are disrupted due to a hurricane (which later floods part of the MidWest(, not good.

Best Hopes for Harvest,

Alan

Once upon a time, Harvest was SO important that we had a national holiday to give thanks for one in late November.