Great article, Nick. Thanks!

With respect to wind energy, earlier today in another forum I was discussing ways Canadian utilities could add additional wind resources to their generation portfolios without adversely impacting system stability. I thought I might share my thoughts with you in the context of this discussion:

Beyond geographically dispersing wind generation, strengthening interconnections with neighbouring utilities and more closely coupling wind resources with hydroelectric storage, real time pricing and intelligent load management could potentially allow wind energy to satisfy an increasingly larger share of our electricity needs.

Here in Canada, virtually all utilities are winter peaking and, by happy coincidence, wind capacity is greatest during these cold winter months. On the east coast, annual wind capacity factors generally fall in the range of 30 to 40 per cent, whilst winter numbers come in at 40 to 50 per cent and above.

Larry Hughes et all have come up with a novel idea of combining wind energy with electric thermal storage (ETS) heaters. This approach offers two key benefits. One is that it has the potential to reduce system peak by shifting a portion of the residential and commercial heating loads to off-peak hours (these loads can be curtailed during peak times and available wind resources redirected to serve other needs). Secondly, with two-way intelligent controls, these thermal storage heaters can be recharged/topped up anytime surplus wind energy is available. With two-way communication, excess energy can be allocated on the basis of greatest need (i.e., provided to those storage heaters with the lowest state of charge) or, alternatively, auctioned off to the highest bidder, as determined by various price parameters set by each user. In either case, wind availability in large part shapes the heating load, so that supply and demand remain better matched at all times.

For more information on this, see:
http://dclh.electricalandcomputerengineering.dal.ca/enen/2006/IGEC2-137.pdf

To a somewhat lesser degree, electric water heaters could be tied to available wind. Again, with two-way communications and fuzzy logic controls, these loads can be actively managed with little or no impact to the end user. Within acceptable limits, water temperatures within these storage cylinders would be allowed to rise and fall in sympathy with available supplies; a tempering valve would help facilitate this and, at the same time, ensure proper safety. Periodically boosting storage temperatures above 60C might also help kill the legionella bacteria commonly found in these tanks.

Duel fuel furnaces and boilers are one more possibility. Oil is the dominant heating fuel in Atlantic Canada. Two-thirds of all homes in Nova Scotia are heated with oil and this number climbs to 4 out of 5 in the case of PEI. At this time, heating oil retails for $0.85 to $0.90 a litre; assuming 80 per cent conversion efficiency, the cost of oil heat is a little over $0.10 per kWh(e). Nova Scotia Power's standard domestic rate is $0.1067 per kWh and its off-peak ETS rate is $0.0534. Assuming similarly attractive rates are offered to duel fuel customers, excess wind energy could be used to displace fuel oil in homes equipped with duel fuel heating systems.

For summer peaking utilities, commercial ice storage cooling systems are an attractive option. So too residential a/c, water heater and clothes dryer load controllers.

Cheers,
Paul

Paul,

Load shifting can be a pretty big part of making renewables a larger part of the energy mix. This can be pretty cost effective and reduce energy prices for some of our largest loads. The very rapidly falling cost of solar and its anticipated trajectory make me think that storage is going to just fall out of the mix because the renewable sources are going to be so much cheaper than current sources. Wind also has a ways still to come down in price. Monbiot, for example, points out that going further offshore reduces costs because of the increased wind speeds there. You don't need as much equipment for the same power generated and delivered.

Utlities are already using power storage in a number of applications so there is already a "storage sector" that has developed. The US has about 24 GW of hydro capacity that can run backwards and most new thermal solar plants have thermal storage at least as an upgrade option. I look at some of the storage options at the Real Energy blog. Comments are welcome there.

Thanks, Chris, for the link to your energy blog and for the invitation to join you in these discussions; much appreciated.

As you might guess, I see tremendous opportunities to reduce peak demand and to better manage customer loads, especially as our electrical grid becomes increasingly "smarter". My hope is that we can use this same technology to "push" energy to end-users, so that the system is equally responsive to supply conditions as it is to demand (which, of course, allows us to better integrate various renewable resources such as solar and wind). I don't think we fully appreciate the range of opportunities available to us in terms of this push-pull dynamic. Intelligent controls combined with real time pricing could very well take us in directions previously unimagined.

Best regards,
Paul

Great post.

Don't forget plug-in hybrids (PHEV's) and EV's. Owners will pay for storage for their transportation needs, and buffering of wind generation intermittency would be a bonus. Plus, there's the possibility of Vehicle to Grid.

In the long run I think PHEV's will be the main answer to handling renewable intermittency.

Thanks, Nick. As you say, EV/PHEVs could help utilities dramatically expand their renewable energy portfolios, certainly well beyond what is possible today.

I have an oil-fired boiler and I really don't care when my service provider fills my tank, provided I don't run out of fuel. It could be today, tomorrow or sometime next week; it really doesn't matter, again, so long as I have sufficient heat whenever I need it. Now imagine if electrical utilities could operate the same way -- electricity delivered not strictly on the basis of customer demand, but whenever conditions were optimal and the cost of service was low.

In a sense, electric vehicles are a step in this direction. I get home at 17h30 and plug in the Chrysler. The next morning when I'm ready to head back to work, my batteries are fully recharged. It really makes no difference to me if charging began right away or at 02h00 in the morning, or if the flow of power were continuous or intermittent; I'm happy, so long as I'm fully charged when I'm ready to hit the road. Ideally, I would have the option of immediate, continuous charging if I needed a fast boost, but if the vehicle won't be used for another twelve or fourteen hours I could care less (a discounted rate for overnight/interruptible charging would offer suitable financial incentive).

So to recap, smart controls would allow utilities to provide consumers with the same level of service they enjoy now, but in a more efficient and cost-effective manner; any complexity would be hidden from the user and their patterns of usage would remain unchanged (e.g., they would still plug in their car for overnight charging but the utility would determine when and how power would be delivered over that timeframe). The second component is real-time pricing. In this case, utilities would charge consumers rates that vary day-by-day or hour-by-hour according to the true cost of supply. Providing this information to consumers (by way of a household display or internet website) would encourage a shift in discretionary demand to periods most favourable to both parties. Together, these two things would allow us to dramatically increase the amount of renewable energy we can incorporate into our power systems.

Best regards,
Paul

Absolutely.

For an innovative program for time of day pricing, see Thewattspot.com .