But it wasn't the oil companies asking for Iraq to be invaded... If we don't secure oil supplies, things are unstable and people have to pay too much... So, the politicians try to make sure the oil keeps flowing - not for the oil companies, but for consumers demanding cheap energy.

Robert, that's a very flimsy interpretation if I've ever seen one. You're right on ethanol being a boondoggle that gives MLM a run for its money. However, that first sentence is just too funny, because it is clearly wrong. The second sentence is just a truism based on the the cult of infinite growth economics into a finite resource base (even though most people will deny this premise too.) However, your last sentence I quoted is just absurd--they're doing it for the "consumer"... Yeah right. Sure, if that's how you want to spin it to make it sound nice for the cameras. Hey, I love blaming the "consumer" as much the next guy, but lets not pull punches. The ethanol people disingenuously lie to the cameras so the swindle can continue unobstructed, but somehow the oil companies don't... I'm not buying it. Sorry this isn't the topic of the essay, but you brought it up in your response, so I do apologize for observing that your friendly neighborhood oil company (XOM, etc.) certainly had a massive role in the march to invade and occupy a foreign country. Yes, for oil, although Tony Snow and Bob Dinneen will certainly never say so, because they're ideologues, zealot cultists pure and simple. Just like this guy.

However, that first sentence is just too funny, because it is clearly wrong.

Perhaps you can show me then? I have personally never heard anyone inside the industry suggest that we should invade Iraq or any other country to stabilize oil supplies, and I have never heard any major oil company executive argue in favor of it. If you have, I wish you would show me a source because I have never seen it. I am not saying that we aren't there because of oil, but we aren't there on behalf of oil companies.

I do apologize for observing that your friendly neighborhood oil company (XOM, etc.) certainly had a massive role in the march to invade and occupy a foreign country.

Show me. If oil prices go up because of instability in Iraq and the Middle East, oil companies still make money. But if oil prices go up and the economy stumbles, politicians risk losing their jobs. Oil companies may want access to more resources, but I certainly never heard any of them suggesting that we should invade another country over it. That decision was made by the president that you elected, in an effort to stabilize oil prices and keep the economy humming along and the citizens happy. (And I am certainly not defending the president, because I spoke out against going to war before we ever invaded).

Look at Venezuela. Oil companies have a much more compelling reason to be ticked off there. Which oil companies are calling for an invasion after their investments were seized?

Sorry to drag this thread off topic, I'll make this my last comment here and I'll wrap it up, promise.

I don't think I could show you. I could only hint at critiques, and speculation (that's what politics is). One reason I can't show you a source is that, if I could, it would be extremely damaging to the parties involved. ("If I told 'ja I'd have to kill ya." ;] ) Everyone knows about the secretive/sketchy Cheney energy task force meetings. Supposedly they talked about Iraq. If they didn't, they're dumber than I thought... As for executives, that's not their role to publicly declare war. Or pontificate on foreign policy. They're supposed to smile and make shareholders happy and hope for a bright hunky-dory future. That's why the executives and their parent corporations hire think tanks, and certainly have divisions within their own corporations who perform a similar role within their very own company (as opposed to the industry, oligopoly-like positioning that the major think tanks limn for their corporate masters.) Anyway, I'm sure they keep a big hallway between these people and the technical experts, such as yourself. We haven't even jumped into the brisk cold waters of academia yet either! Let me note I respect people and families that work in the oil and gas industry--they are just people doing their jobs for the most part dutifully, and in many cases in highly dangerous, or daunting situations. My hat is off to them. I do have a problem with the politics of the upper echelon of the oil corporations though--and see them as responsible for a lot of truly evil PR, history and "guidance". This isn't about being "liberal" or "conservative", or dunkey or elephant. It is simply about appreciating that "leaders" of the industry to a large extent have been responsible for building us up mindlessly to this point we're at now, with little care for anything else aside from profits. (The ANWR crowd is merely one minnow indicative of this mindlessness). Alas, that's what a corporation is supposed to do, turn profits. As you said down thread, I only wish they would do it honestly without blatantly manipulative propaganda... I do believe that one can make a profit without being sinisterly uncaring of the future.

Of course, you have a rosy take on things that go on inside your realm, politically, because from your perspective you are hired to perform an actual job (versus being paid to come up with hifalutin rationalizations for illegal wars)--and you probably do it extremely well, judging from what I've read of your writing over the years. You're probably friends with tons of decent, downright cool oil and gas dudes. I'm not trying to make a blanket statement that everything that the oil industry does is evil or something, I'm just pointing out that simply because you don't personally agree with the top-brass doesn't in anyway explicate away their self-destructive, purely profit driven behavior--and I just love to state this as often as possible while I lumber around God's green earth for my few moments of life. So, again, I think we are there on behalf of the oil companies--but this is a futile debate, I'm just putting out my counter opinion for the peanut gallery. I can't "prove it" just like I can't prove to a believing a Christian that there is no "personal God". In politics there is no proof, just pudding--which is why things get messy so quickly.

You seem to think there is a big difference between the power structures of "politicians" and the "oil companies." I'm not so sure. I think to the extent that the US is an O&G empire, that our politics and energy policy are like two peas in a pod. It is convenient to blame Bush though, right? Personally, I'm over hating Bush. Everyone seems to do it, and it is hysterical how our "democracy" can function as a ready and easy explication for why things are so screwed up. Truismville. Obviously no one can debate that. It becomes the "consumers" fault--which, again, I'm more than willing to accept... It's just that critique deflects the political reality, which is that the powerful decision making forces (the people with lots of money--institutional capital and wealthy individuals) have a much more powerful say in how things function than the middle class combined. And I'll just note that I'm not saying you support(ed) Bush, but you are using him as a scapegoat--which is something I like to avoid, because how can anyone blame an invisible hand sock puppet?

I'm afraid the most proof I'll ever have is Dick Cheney himself, pudding or no pudding.

Oddly, I received an email of the Cheney clip from a family member and posted it over on Drumbeat...within a few hours of your link above.

Hmmm. Do we share space on someone's mailing list, or might we merely be hosts for some viral message (cough, cough) going around. And why now?

Just asking.

Forget it, Jake. It's Chinatown.

A friend sent it earlier. I had never seen it, and I haven't made my way to today's DrumBeat comment section yet... So, I feel amiss now taking this thread off into already covered territory with the ostensible excuse of posting that pisser clip... =[ My bad.

This less known line from that bad 80s spoof we all love, applies to Dick:

Fletch's girlfriend: [Fletch is listening to a tape of him and his girlfriend having sex] You're not recording this, are you?
Fletch: No, never, never.

Yikes! You know Fletch! Spooky action at a distance.

(Sorry RR for gumming up the posts)

You seem to think there is a big difference between the power structures of "politicians" and the "oil companies."

They are after very different end games, which is why the "XOM was behind the Iraq invasion" falls apart. Think about it. What do you think was the goal of the administration in invading Iraq? Do you think they intended to make oil more expensive? That's what has happened, but of course that wasn't the intent. The intent was stability, more supplies, and ultimately lower prices for consumers.

Do you think lower prices for consumers is XOM's business model?

You know, I hear this business all the time - "Oil companies should pay the bill for Iraq." Just as soon as someone offers me something besides twisted speculation to support the theory that they were behind the invasion - or pushed for the invasion - I would be more willing to entertain that. And the way you responded, I really thought you might have some actual evidence. But I have been waiting for one for quite some time, so I guess I shouldn't be surprised that you didn't offer one. This stuff always seems to go in behind doors in smoke-filled rooms, so we can all kinds of speculation ends up being thrown out there.

In yet another violation of my promise I just finished this ramble, and now realized mbkennel already made many of these points in a much more pithy deployment directly below. Alas...

Never wrote they should pay the bill for Iraq, I just said they were a strong element in the march to go invade Iraq, that's all. I was "against" that effort, siding with the older (I mean younger) and wiser Dick Cheney of the reign of Bush One, who saw it as a disaster waiting to happen. Regardless of the price of oil, it was a decision made to secure control of oil production. Do you think higher prices is XOM's business model? I think it could very well be their business model seeing as how it has been pretty extensively documented for those interested that PO is happening soon, perhaps very soon, like, now. The rest is econ101 debate school or Doomer/Cornucopian speculation. In either case, whatever the outlook for prices I think we all agree that they are capable of going much higher, depending on the rocks below and the human mind above.

The alternative to Iraq that Bush One and Clinton embraced was pretty horrendous too, but go ask an Iraqi if they'd rather have the brutally tortuous dictator Saddam (who we loved to deal with in the 80s) or the present American occupation and "Albert Maliki Government" and I'm absolutely sure the vast majority of non-Kurds would tell you Saddam in a heartbeat. Yeah, it sucked, and was awful--but now it's that except with the additional misery of suicide bombers day in day out, our soldiers dying in Humvees blown up by IEDs as they attempt to patrol around with essentially no "mission"--the mission is to not get shot or blown-up, from what I gather.

Saddam was a monster and perhaps the neocons were right that eventually he would screw stuff up in the region and he "had" to be removed. Their tack seems to be start trouble before trouble finds you. The problem, as the-VP-that-reads-everything noticed back then was that the intelligence community had already shuffled the deck and run the scenarios. HAL told them Iraq would have major problems if Saddam was deposed. It seems that Dick & Company have changed their mind since then, willfully and deceptively deciding to pursue the course of events that have transpired--all the way from the launch of the invasion, to viceroy Bremer's illustrious duration up until whatever the hell happens in that country tomorrow... Things are not looking rosy.

The idea that agents of the hawkish elements within the oil industry heavily influenced the march to go to war "falls apart" I grant you only so long as you admit that the political ideologues who launched the war at least had the interests of their corporate bedfellows in mind--and that those bedfellows were indeed hawkish. The interests and wishes of the oil industry don't "fall apart" anymore than the idea that global oil production "falls down"--other than the fact that it will, eventually. At some point down the road we won't be able to maintain hundreds of thousands of troops in a foreign country ravaged by insane warring factions, simply in order to secure oil production to stave off the inevitable. We clearly are not wanted in the region, yet we stay because that is the realpolitik situation because security is so bad. Security is so bad because we invaded, and now we won't leave because... The tautology is astounding. This is a pattern that has been running since Operation Ajax in the 50s. Foreign powers attempt to meddle in the interests of domestic policies in countries and eventually run into ugly trouble. In the 50s it was the "Cold War", with BP, England, the US and her major oil companies all concerned that they're not losing control over vital energy resources, and more importantly not letting it slip into the hands of the communist enemy. Our military presence in the "holy land" of Saudi Arabia, and our enthusiastic support since FDR of the sinister power structure within that country is one of the main ingredients in the kool-aid that jihadist plots are hatched in. Security in Iraq is not going to get better no matter how much we "surge", no matter how much blood is spilt, or people maimed. The administration is biding time, so the next round of nincompoops can take the hit. The "strategery" seems to be that it is better to strong-arm your opponent (OPEC) when you have them in a headlock. Our continual presence in the region is clearly highlighted by the activities of the fundamentalist religious state Iran and her perhaps even equally corrupt counterpart Saudi. Aside from Israel (corruption soaks the middle east, Abraham was no fool!), oil and geopolitical power politics wrap up the business and government of the entire region. What's left in the cultural wake is religion, and sometimes in the form of a very ugly, reactionary fundamentalism against modernity, ie 9/11, or the maniacal religious Israelis who build illegal settlements (I'm going by what the government of Israel itself declares as illegal), or the demented suicide bombers of Hamas. My point is that our foreign policy is a piecemeal reflection of how we respond to crises. By my standards, the fact that the political power structure decided (I'm assuming with the approving nod of the executive O&G industry) to go into Iraq after 9/11 instead of reassess other options in my mind only emboldens my point that no such action would be undertaken lightly--especially by people who at one point took up the opposite position on the matter, Dick Cheney circa Bush One. It is interesting that oilmanbob actually edified this for me by pointing out how Dick had his stint in the "industry" after his extensive public service. It seems like this is what took him from the Powell Doctrine to the wild fantasies of Wolfowitz in around a decade. Much of our foreign policy in the Middle East is obviously about oil, so why would would the major US transnational oil corporations be excluded from influencing policy? After all free speech is money, so says the supreme court, I forget the case, but it's an important one.

I'll reiterate that oil companies don't have to pay for Iraq since I'm sure we're already giving ourselves a swell deal anyway. This is a disaster for the military, but is a wonderful opportunity to write a good oil law. Last time I checked the country had the fourth largest oil reserves in the world. So, it's a good thing we are there to help "them" manage it.

Generally oil *majors* like a democracy---or a compliant dictator who keeps the peace and protects their investments.

I believe that in the current Iraq situation there was a cabal from the Chalabi side who envisioned personal enrichment by giving out new Iraq contracts to independents and tearing up the agreements Saddam had with France & Russia etc.

The neocon dream was to install profit-seeking companies which would pump the bejezus out of Iraq outside of quota and destroy OPEC.

Oil major dream was quite different---their people are the "realists" of the GHWB1 administration (e.g. Jim Baker etc) and they don't see eye to eye with the neocons. They're conservative in the old-fashioned actually conservative sense and prefer incremental business-friendly stability.

Of course service companies coveted massive new contracts upgrading the dilapitated infrastructure in any event.

One good thing about The Oil Drum is that people look at background physical facts, which speak more truthfully than the jibber jabber of self-interested public figures.

And that fact is that Iraq is the only remaining place on the planet with large scale known and predicted oil which hasn't been explored or developed with modern technology for decades. Any oil company with physical access and favorable economic terms would be stupendously successful.

That can't be just a coincidence.

As is the inverse correlation of Bush's popularity with gasoline prices. I believe that a significant fraction of Bush's supporters on Iraq (up to half) knew the war was mostly about "oil". And they were OK with that. But when the gas price went sharply up instead of down they felt ripped off.

mr f,

Thats an amazing piece of propoganda and stereotyping.Check your facts. Dick Cheney is a professional politician. He had never even had a job in the oil business when he made that video that you linked to in your comment. He worked there only five years, and resigned when he was nominated to be George W. Bush's Vice President.

If you will listen to the video again, what you hear is George H. W. Bush's position before his son became president, not the position that he publicly supports today, a mumbled "support our troops" stance.

The rich jerks that financed the Bush family rise in Texas politics inherited their money. They are the children and grandchildren of the founders of Exxon and Texaco, families like the Alkeck's, the Fondren's and the Farish's. George Herbert Walker was the current president's grandfather, and he was on the board of directors of Dresser, and the Bush family owned a very large block of stock in Haliburton after the merger with Dresser , as does the Carlysle group, another Bush front. The Bush family had Cheney hired by Haliburton as a reward for many years of loyal skulldugery in operations like Iran-Contra.

Yes, this is all confusing. The Bush's keep it that way to throw people off the scent, and the real truth. They are doing it all for the money. They use anyone they can, especially stupid rich folks at the River Oaks Country Club.

But young George W. Bush is out of anyone's control. He invaded Iraq in spite of what others said-listen to the Cheney video again, it shows their real position. The rest of the group went along because there is good money to be made as war profiteers, and under Cheney, Brown and Root merged with Haliburton, the same Brown and Root that made huge money in Viet Nam.

But to say that the oil business was the secret group in control behind the Iraq war is like the premise of the Protocol of the Elders of Zion, that rich Jewish bankers are at fault for everything and control the world. It plays directly off of people's stereotypes, but its not true, its a lie to distract people from what should as clear as the the nose on your face-its is the naked lust for money and power that is behind the whole thing.

Always follow the money. Especially with the Bush family.

The good old predictable "Check your facts" line that I know too well. I think I have. Yes. Everything is propaganda--you just have to make sure who it's for, you don't want it delivered to the wrong person! In this case, propaganda in support of the collections of neurons in my brain that say you are wholly unjustified in equating "Elders of Zion" conspiracy theories with a foreign policy stance that the major oil companies and their minions underwrite.

By minions I mean those that "aid and abet" the powerful interests which have a stake in "infinite growth into a finite resource base." That is practically everyone! At least, amongst those in the "elite." Since our complex systems are powered by hydrocarbons, that essentially means energy is at the top--everyone else waits for a dole out in exchange for some fiat currency.

I don't understand how you can accuse me of stereotyping though... On what basis?

You make a long and tedious rant about some old money families that still have money and power--but there is a market out there, and there are people with different types of power, doing entirely different "things." I'm engaged in stereotyping I don't know how...

I'm sure you'll tell me it's because Chevron has such wonderful ads in Harper's magazine or something...

Oh, and sorry for breaking my promise upthread.

Also, I might add that Dick's order of going from PNAC apparatchik to the private sector O&G industry hardly matters. In this case, it seems to indicate only further the impetus that experience gave him to address PO in this fashion (invade and occupy Iraq) versus the more rational (albeit liberal) response. His mind was easily changed by the sleek world of the XOM et al.

It's a circle jerk chain. The consumer is one link. The consumer has no fuel to go and spend, lots of things stop.
It is what it is, one link breaks and everything stops until alternatives can be found.
The rest is semantics, it can be put in many different ways. Doesn't change a thing.

Yes. My contention is just that the gerbil-consumer is not at the reins when it comes to foreign policy, after all he or she is too busy on the squeaky wheel. The gerbil-consumer invading foreign countries? To say so is absurd (with that said, their tax dollars are going to pay for it...) The reins clearly rest in the hands of the people with power, money and influence. That is to say a circle jerk of Democrats, Republicans, oil corporations, economists and many others... Sure, Republicans elected them, but Democrats went along for the ride, and will most likely kick the elephants out soon and start wildly driving themselves around on a joyride. Either way, both the mainstream donkey and elephant live in the same house, they just have different personality disorders...

Yeah, and the same owner.