<Hurricane Dean's Impact on Oil InfrastructureThe Oil Drum

135 comments on UPDATED: Cantarell and Questions Regarding Mexico's Oil Infrastructure

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Cid Yama on August 21, 2007 - 1:27am Permalink | Subthread | Comments top

Latest(10PM CDT) forcast track shows projected direct hit on Cantarell 7PM Tuesday.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/203526.shtml?3day#con...

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mnborn on August 21, 2007 - 1:42am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

it seems that earlier predictions that land would slow the hurricane to below hurricane level winds may have been mistaken. This will be the FIRST landfalling Cat 5 in 15 years (Andrew) and a strengthening one at that. As of 12:45 EST NWS is stating it will re-enter Bay of Campechi as Cat2, which certainly will damage some of those old rigs...methinks the market has now overreacted in its underreaction

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SacredCowTipper on August 21, 2007 - 2:02am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

It'll hit Cozumel head on.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cozumel

Cozumel has 75k people on it, its 12 miles to the coast, and the high point on the island is 15m. How much storm surge is expected with a 914mb core pressure? Is the tide in or out?

I am suddenly feeling a little sick and wishing I hadn't Googled that ...

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GLT149 on August 21, 2007 - 2:42am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

It's going to hit far south of Cozumel. It is actually aimed directly at the capital of Quintana Roo, Chetumal.

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SacredCowTipper on August 21, 2007 - 2:48am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

I was looking at an older path projection. Sorry for the excitement ...

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PartyGuy on August 21, 2007 - 5:10pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Winds down to 80 mph, making it a very low strength hurricane. Details can be found at http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/?from=wxcenter_news

Again, as I mentioned on all the other threads, the sheer distance the hurricane had to cross over land would knock this hurricane down tremendously. It'll be lucky to reach a category 2 hurricane before hit makes landfall a second time. Seems like the worst is over.

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