135 comments on UPDATED: Cantarell and Questions Regarding Mexico's Oil Infrastructure
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135 comments on UPDATED: Cantarell and Questions Regarding Mexico's Oil Infrastructure
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Latest(10PM CDT) forcast track shows projected direct hit on Cantarell 7PM Tuesday.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/203526.shtml?3day#con...
it seems that earlier predictions that land would slow the hurricane to below hurricane level winds may have been mistaken. This will be the FIRST landfalling Cat 5 in 15 years (Andrew) and a strengthening one at that. As of 12:45 EST NWS is stating it will re-enter Bay of Campechi as Cat2, which certainly will damage some of those old rigs...methinks the market has now overreacted in its underreaction
It'll hit Cozumel head on.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cozumel
Cozumel has 75k people on it, its 12 miles to the coast, and the high point on the island is 15m. How much storm surge is expected with a 914mb core pressure? Is the tide in or out?
I am suddenly feeling a little sick and wishing I hadn't Googled that ...
It's going to hit far south of Cozumel. It is actually aimed directly at the capital of Quintana Roo, Chetumal.
I was looking at an older path projection. Sorry for the excitement ...
Winds down to 80 mph, making it a very low strength hurricane. Details can be found at http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/?from=wxcenter_news
Again, as I mentioned on all the other threads, the sheer distance the hurricane had to cross over land would knock this hurricane down tremendously. It'll be lucky to reach a category 2 hurricane before hit makes landfall a second time. Seems like the worst is over.