A new Round-Up has been posted at TOD:Canada.

This is a guest Round-Up by ilargi.

Today, we change our focus (just) a little. Recently, we've paid much attention to finance. Still, while many see a toss-up now for which might hit us first, energy or economy, the prize may well go to the third contender: the earth.


AFP - Jeff Haynes

We were thinking about this, even before the Times Comprehensive Atlas of the World published an impromptu edition. Ice caps, lakes and shorelines simply change too fast, and maps become outdated: the world no longer looks the way it did only 4 years ago. The editor-in-chief: "We can literally see environmental disasters unfolding before our eyes."

Still, we were already noticing articles on a wide range of climate issues, from just the past 4-5 days, and without even searching for them.

Global food prices set to rise by 50% in 5 years. Australian farmers pay 50 times more for irrigation water than in 2002. California cuts off water to farmers to save fish species, French wine growers harvest grapes 8 weeks earlier than in 1978. Russia considers a wheat export ban. Holland: bread prices to rise 20% next year. Milk named the new oil. UK: many crops just drowned. [insert deep breath] Eastern Europe, including Ukraine, had another crop-killing sweltering summer. Australia relives last year's drought (and this time may not recover). The UN predicts a global food crisis. Topsoil vanishes at record pace. 2008 declared the Year of the Frog: up to half of amphibian species could be wiped out in coming years - the biggest mass extinction since dinosaurs disappeared. North American songbirds: going going gone, and we all know where our bees are by now. Not here.

Satellite images of the Aral Sea 1973-2004: the vast saltwater lake has retreated as a result of river damming and been turned green by pollution.

None of the above mentions Africa and Asia, did you notice? Once we start there, we a/ run out of space, and b/ make people think climate change is not here and not now. It is. And it's much worse than we, facilitated by IPCC reports and Al Gore love-ins, like to think. "Will sea levels rise by 59 cm or 25 meters?" says another headline for a James Hansen article. Well, why don't we accept the middle ground? Better safe than sorry, right? Agreed, then, 12.795 m (42 ft) it is.

In Canada, we're headed for 2 trade-offs: the world's most polluted mammal, the beluga, makes way for the pine beetle, while the Prairies go from grass to shrubs.


Images showing how Lake Chad has shrunk: Left 1972, right 1987.

We are being lured into complacency by 'scientific' predictions and political announcements for faraway abstract dates like 2050 or 2100. But if Hansen's only half right, it's time to seek 'true' higher ground. Today. No amount of oil, and no amount of money, will ever bring back a million extinct species, or put the ice back on Greenland or Kilimanjaro.

”Its correct name is the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre, though Moore soon learned that oceanographers had another label for it: the Great Pacific Garbage Patch. Captain Moore had wandered into a sump where nearly everything that blows into the water from half the Pacific Rim eventually ends up, spiraling slowly toward a widening horror of industrial excretion. For a week, Moore and his crew found themselves crossing a sea the size of a small continent, covered with floating refuse. It was not unlike an Arctic vessel pushing through chunks of brash ice, except what was bobbing around them was a fright of cups, bottle caps, tangles of fish netting and monofilament line, bits of polystyrene packaging, six-pack rings, spent balloons, filmy scraps of sandwich wrap, and limp plastic bags that defied counting.”
http://www.orionmagazine.org/index.php/articles/article/270/

”“Except for the small amount that’s been incinerated—and it’s a very small amount—every bit of plastic ever made still exists,” Moore says, describing how the material’s molecular structure resists biodegradation. Instead, plastic crumbles into ever-tinier fragments as it’s exposed to sunlight and the elements. And none of these untold gazillions of fragments is disappearing anytime soon: Even when plastic is broken down to a single molecule, it remains too tough for biodegradation.

Truth is, no one knows how long it will take for plastic to biodegrade, or return to its carbon and hydrogen elements. We only invented the stuff 144 years ago, and science’s best guess is that its natural disappearance will take several more centuries. Meanwhile, every year, we churn out about 60 billion tons of it, much of which becomes disposable products meant only for a single use. Set aside the question of why we’re creating ketchup bottles and six-pack rings that last for half a millennium, and consider the implications of it: Plastic never really goes away.”
http://www.bestlifeonline.com/cms/publish/travel-leisure/Our_oceans_are_...

Interesting stuff - I was reading about the possible effects of ground up polymers on small marine life somewhere else recently too... not a good picture.

BTW - Peak Oil is the cover story in a national magazine here, by the looks of it: next week's issue of The Listener (NZ).

"You can never solve a problem on the level on which it was created."
Albert Einstein