Not a Major Hurricane for sure !

Bob Breck @ 9 PM news. "I expect very slow development"

Path also looks good for New Orleans, with a small chance of the worst path, going south of the city. (Direct hit just means lots of rain). Rain and flooding are the major risk from this tropical depression.

Good weather forecasters need some courage and not always covering their tail.

Best Hopes,

Alan

I am really happy to see this Alan. :) Let's hope it doesn't surprise anyone.

Bob Breck is GOOD and has guts ! Willing to go out on a limb.

His analysis appeals to my technical analysis side.

The Saturday night before Katrina he rolled up his sleeves and showed where to write one's social security # in indelible ink if someone chose not to evacuate. Make it easier to ID the body.

Local TV news in New Orleans is better than National & Cable news.

Alan