239 comments on DrumBeat: October 12, 2007
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239 comments on DrumBeat: October 12, 2007
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A new Finance Round-Up has been posted at TOD:Canada.
In the US, as one door has closed on subprime lending, another has opened on credit card debt. Actually living within one's means doesn't always seem to be an option, for some due to poverty and for others due to greed. Either way, the debt hole Americans (and Canadians, and the British) are collectively digging themselves into is getting deeper by the day, and they start young.
As losses mount, the role of mortgage fraud, by both borrowers and lenders, and also potential securities fraud, is being revealed. The litigation is only just beginning, but be prepared for a storm of legal action and recriminations. The ratings agencies are looking vulnerable to European action as their ratings enabled the sale of bad loans to European institutions, under conditions of conflict of interest.
Signs of stress are spilling over from the world of high finance to the real economy, where trucking and shipping are feeling the slowdown. Meanwhile Canada (several months behind the US) is still seeing a booming housing market, but for how long?
Americans charge it as Bank of Subprime closes
And I'll say it again - there are a lot of Americans who are flat-out broke, but have credit card debt they'll never be able to pay.
That debt continues to rack up interest at 30% (it's really 30 or more per cent too)
That extra balance shows up as more "charge it!" behavior
That extra "charge it!" behavior is taken to mean more economic activity.
It's taken to be, essentially, more dollars in the "mill".....
But those dollars aren't real. I'll do my BK* and you'll do your BK and the neighbor does theirs, and suddently dollars are disappearing all over the place and we're all living on about $300 a month, squatting with friends and picking sorrel salads and having oats for breakfast, there was not only no real additional economic activity, but our consumption goes way DOWN. Kiss of death for the american system.
*Sigh. The new BK law is no problem for those below their state's median income. Which I am, in spades. Also, with no assets, one course of action is to simply do nothing until the statute of limitations makes me or someone like me judgement-proof.