![]() | Bravo for Roscoe! (Roscoe Bartlett Votes No on Energy Bill based on Ethanol Mandate Expansion) | The Oil Drum | Fatih Birol Presents the IEA World Energy Outlook 2007 | ![]() |
204 comments on DrumBeat: December 7, 2007
Comments can no longer be added to this story.
Show without comments | PDF version
204 comments on DrumBeat: December 7, 2007
Comments can no longer be added to this story.
Show without comments | PDF version
Google search
Advanced search
Support The Oil Drum
Recently on TOD:World
TOD:Campfire
- Politics and Peak Energy
- How do we maintain adequate phosphorus and potassium levels for crops?
- What should we do with funds set aside for retirement?
TOD:Europe
TOD:Canada
- In this house, we obey the laws of thermodynamics!
- The Round-Up: October 24, 2008
- Compressed Air Energy Storage - How viable is it?
TOD:Australia/NZ
- Electric cars an 'attractive proposition' for Australia
- Electric Vehicles: The End Of Australian Manufacturing ?
- Upcoming Forum In Sydney: 'Peak Oil - Is this the end of civilisation as we know it ?'
TOD:Net Energy
Blogroll
Energy Sites
- The Coming Global Oil Crisis
- Die Off
- Dry Dipstick
- Energy Bulletin
- From the Wilderness
- Life After the Oil Crash
- Peak Oil Crisis
- Peak Oil News and Message Boards
- Powerswitch
- Rigzone
- Matthew Simmons
- Wolf at the Door
Environment & Sustainability Sites
- The Daily Green
- EcoGeek
- Eco Street
- Green Car Congress
- Green Options
- green.alltop.com
- Gristmill
- RealClimate
- Sustainablog
- Treehugger
- WorldChanging
Blogs
- Casaubon's Book
- Cleantech Blog
- Clusterf
k Nation (Jim Kunstler) - The Cost of Energy
- David Strahan
- Early Warning
- The Energy Blog
- European Tribune
- GraphOilology
- Health After Oil
- jeffvail.net
- Mobjectivist
- Peak Energy (Australia)
- Peak Energy (USA)
- R-Squared
- Resource Insights
Finance & Economics Blogs
- The Big Picture
- Calculated Risk
- The Crash Course
- Ecological Economics
- Econbrowser
- Environmental Economics
- Infectious Greed
- The Mess That Greenspan Made
- Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
Organizations
Peak Oil Primers
Beware email scams!
Beware email scams claiming to be from this site. We do not have any job openings. If anyone contacts you about a job at The Oil Drum, do not reply to them, and definitely do not give them any personal information or send them money. Read more here.
“Men argue; nature acts.”
—Voltaire
User login
Contact
- Content: editors at theoildrum dot com
- Tech support: support at theoildrum dot com
Personnel
- Editors: Gail the Actuary, Prof. Goose
- DrumBeat Editor: Leanan
- Contributors: ace, Dave Murphy, Engineer-Poet, Glenn, Heading Out, Jason Bradford, jeffvail, JoulesBurn, Nate Hagens, Sam Foucher, Robert Rapier
- TOD:Europe: Chris Vernon, Euan Mearns, Francois Cellier, Jerome a Paris, Luís de Sousa, Rembrandt, Rune Likvern, Ugo Bardi
- TOD:ANZ: aeldric, Big Gav, Phil Hart
- Emeritus: Stuart Staniford
- Technician: Super G
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 United States License.










GAIA Host Collective
A question I have been asking off and on for a while. Does is make sense to own residential real estate anywhere, even areas along mass transit lines like Portland, Oregon?
Good question. For me, I decided that 'owning' a couple acres with a poorly built house included made sense. (The house kept the price affordable.) The front lawn is gone, and the backyard will be gone by spring. I'll build a new house someday, even if I have to do it myself.
I've thought about this a lot myself. I think you need to own outright where you live. Make sure it is a place you would want to live for the long haul; you have to live
somewhere and if it is owned outright and can keep up the taxes you can't be
put out on the street.
People comment a lot about being close to work, etc., this is true but there is no guarantee there would be a job to get to. Same with living close to a grocery store, no guarantee there would be groceries there to buy. I would rather have a place with a big yard to plant a garden than someplace where I would have to depend on others totally to live.
That would tend to put you out in Suburbia or further -- unless you have a lot of money for a giant city lot -- And then the problem starts all over. How do you get from your place to anywhere else?
Who says I need to go anywhere?
Right. Move the mountain to Mohamed.
Where are you going to get coffee?
If payment of taxes is necessary to use the land, the government really owns the land, and is granting you permission to use it. The permission can be revoked at any point. Payment of taxes greatly reduces the risk that the government takes the land you're living on, but does not eliminate the risk.
If you really want to "own" anything, at some point you must be prepared to deal with some other entity's claim to your possessions. Lenders, governments, and the desperate all may have claims to what you have.
Owning land legally in the eyes of the government means at least that taxes are paid. Where does the money come from to pay taxes? The only payment universally accepted for taxes will be legal tender, meaning that the land owner must have income dependent on the external broken system.
How can an individual or group be sustainable or self-sufficient when energy and resources represented as money continually flow out of the group as taxes?
If the answer is, you can't both be sustainable and pay taxes to an external entity, then to "own" land you must also be able to defend any forceful claims against it by the government. A perpetual state of low-level battle readiness may be necessary for this kind of sustainability. The upshot is that it will be much easer to defend claims by the government when it has its hands full with myriad other chaotic problems.
Kentucky Coffee Tree?
Chicory mixed with it and you could come close to cafe au lait.
What did I miss?
Frankly I prefer tea and it can be made from a variety of plants. I like sassafras tea in particular.
airdale-in Kentucky
P.S.And to add to it I used to smoke grapevines. As well as rolled up cornsilk..but tobacco(burley) is easy to grow here. Some like to grow other varieties of smoking products and in fact pot is considered to be the second biggest cash crop here.
P.P.S.I did try some but I didn't inhale...cough cough.
You mean 'residence' as just Owner Occupied, right?
We are, I think in the best position we could be in, with our 3-unit house in a walkable city, close to farmland, Seaport and rail(to some extent) Our two rentals pay the (Not ARM) mortgage completely, leaving us to pay for Heating (!), and our own food, utilities, insurance, daycare, etc..
The threat could be that if housing prices crash, then many renters would look to buy, and the rental market would thin out.. but our apts are decently priced, and well kept up.. unlike so many others in this town.
I'm working to offset heating with solar heat, and always chasing down more insulation, leaks and old windows to replace, but just the fact that our three 'households' share considerable wallspace makes our energy use a good bit more efficient. (In the coldest part of winter, we're burning some 10-12 gallons of oil a day.. divide by three households. I still want to bring it way down from that.)
Bob
the fact that our three 'households' share considerable wallspace makes our energy use a good bit more efficient.
A KEY factor !
In the coldest part of winter, we're burning some 10-12 gallons of oil a day
I do not know the details of your situation, but have you considered an undersized ground loop heat pump with "other heat" supplementing that on the coldest days ?
Undersized to keep the initial cost down (large enough for summer a/c at a savings, most (not all) winter days and enough to support 50 F if other heat is out.
I do like the 3 halves approach I suggested for Peabody, MA.
1) Enough ground loop heat pump for 100% of summer a/c. This gives best return on investment. Much easier to install on small lot.
2) Enough high efficiency NG furnace to add heat to heat pump for coldest days. Add small NG wall furnace that can operate w/o electricity for minimal heat. Consider Solar PV enough to run NG furnace fans.
3) Wood stove with outside combustion air, sized to keep house @ 50 F on coldest days.
Play economics with 1, 2 & 3. On mild days, any one will do the job (wood uneven heat). On colder days, optimize. Always keep about a month's worth of wood available.
Your choices may vary.
Best Hopes,
Alan
Good Suggestions, Alan. Thanks.
Geothermal is always high on the list, with a plan to run incoming air through a heat-exchanger at the base of the basement walls instead of digging (at first, anyway..)
Woodstove is second on the list, tho' I have to rebuild one of the Building's three 1850's era chimneys which are all unusable at this point. (Would probably use MetalBestos Chimneypipe in a cleared chimney shaft) We do co-own some woodland and so have a ready supply of fuel for this. I would use high-efficiency Masonry Heaters, as I've discussed before.
NG Supply is possibly growing more questionable in Maine, and I would try to look to Solar Hot Water before getting to that as #3
Bob
As a matter of fact, the Solar options are #1, and I am covered in sawdust and metal filings as I type, working on one of these projects. Portland can be pretty Windy AND Sunny on our coldest winter days! It's a shame to let that power all run past without grabbing a bunch of it! (And my feet are being warmed by an Electric Space Heater.. at least my shop is also contiguous with the three apartments, and shares its heat with the rest of the house above!
Bob
One subtle point is that systems designed for maximum load/coldest day cost significantly more and are generally less efficient operating at "half speed" on more typical cool and cold (but not coldest) days.
The 3 halves approach gets around that issue. A ground loop heat pump may "max out" at a windy 30 F or calm 20 F, but provide most of your heat at much lower temperatures (and operate at maximum efficiency the whole time).
Just Thoughts,
Alan
I wonder if a 4 thirds approach might not be what you evolve towards: wood, solar, GHP and natural gas. Each undersized for the maximum coldest day, but any 3 more than enough for comfort on the coldest day if the Maine infrastructure is working properly.
In the hypothetical site where I would like to build a garage apartment as my permanent residence in the Lower Garden District, I have the opposite issue, heating demand is less than cooling demand.
I am contemplating the smallest possible ground loop heat pump (GHP) of 9,000 BTU as my primary winter heat source (ground water 70 F to 72 F for New Orleans) with a natural gas wall heater as back-up/supplement. A wood stove seems unneeded here (with R-50 insulation and some minimal solar gain, interior body heat (me) will keep pipes from freezing), although I am considering enough solar PV to operate GHP in a blackout.
With such warm ground water, a GHP out heats it's nameplate, but under cools.
In summer, I would use GHP plus ductless air source heat pumps (SEER about 20).
Best Hopes,
Alan
Our GSHP has two circulation pumps, presumably to help optimize efficiency under variable demand. Still undersized w.r.t. coldest day, but perhaps closer than otherwise.
Rental prices are crashing right now in Riverside, not because "renters would look to buy," but because there are so many vacant homes that the owners are desperate to collect something, anything to help cover their costs.
http://www.pe.com/business/local/stories/PE_Biz_D_rentals02.4e396d4.html
There's no sure bet out there, and real estate is the most illiquid investment you can make. But ya gotta live somewhere!
I am not proud that I rent but I am glad I do right now!
Maybe I will be able to afford some land when this thing shakes out :)
I dunno PO and everything else throws kinda a damper on everything. I am kinda stuck between a rock and hard place right now :/
The answer is are you willing to live there to live in your home for quality of life or do you intend to flip it to make more money when you sell.
It's all about quality of life, and what your desires are,
most people in America are willing to loose value in a car when they buy it, same goes with a computers, TV’s, etc., are so why they not willing to loose value in a house too?
Yet in the town I live at I raise the question why is Pushy Bully Builders are still coming to the table saying the need to build more houses, they seem to be blind to that we still have 600+ home vacant lots, about 100 vacant homes, 40 +/- retail spots, and not to forget 150 condos vacant too.
I saw a quote someone posted I like.
The market will adjust it's self, but not in a nice way.
Cheers
Jon
If your future vision concludes that cities will remain as centers of commerce, then yes, as there will still be jobs. If your vision is opposite, then no. History shows, however, that cities will continue to exist based upon their geographic assets. London was a huge metropolis long before fossil fuel use started, for example. Same with New York, Boston, Moscow, Oslo, Paris, etc. Will changes occur to these cities as a result of Peak Energy and Climate Change? Yes. In precisely what manner is impossible to tell currently.
Personally, I greatly prefer the Oregon countryside to any urban area. But cities have long been the seats of high culture, which is why I occasionaly visit Portland.
new york and all other mega citys will be abaondoned no if's ands or buts about it. For a good reason as to why look up the book 'the world without us' and replace 'humans just suddenly disapear' with 'can no longer maintin the needed mataince infrastructure'
Absolute statements amuse Absolutely!
Right now I would say emphatically NO, with the exception of property that is grandfathered into property tax freezes like prop 13 in CA and in small cities with private police forces even if they are part of a major metro area.
A little cabin on a large plot of land that's hard to find, away from major population centers in states that have very low population seems relatively safe.
Then again, if they can change contracts in the middle of the game, who knows what else they may want to change. Once government develops this Zimbabwe attitude it's probably better to look for greener pastures.
If you have a friend in the area, you might look into something like the Tumbleweed Homes teeny houses on a trailer approach. Maybe you could park in their backyard and pay them $150 a month or something like that for rent. (Cheaper than property taxes.)
The Tumbleweed Homes are sort of like a trailer really, about the same size, and more expensive. I bet you could think of something better for less $$. In any case, if you got into some kind of home for an outlay of $15,000 up front and $150 a month, that's not bad. You would also be paying much less in utilities, maybe less than your "rent", so there's more savings/independence from money income there.
I think that having enough room for a good garden is important. Generally this means at least a half acre of land if you can get it. If you plan on being a farmer then figure out how to make money at it. Be a real one.
Next owing outright is probably the second most important variable. This may mean a trailer on a acre of land within walking distance of a small town. You can always build a nice home if you have the money.
Finally a pond or at least a well is important.
On the money side I'd always consider that you may be reduced to say 10 dollars a day of income. So think hard about what you could do with 300 a month. How would you live. Can you reduce expenses to the point that this is doable ? Are you diabetic ?
If you do have a medical condition and can still work you may want to think about entering the medical field so you can work in a hospital.
For me at least I like to think about how I'd live in abject poverty and still enjoy life.
I'd garden and fish and I love working with stone.
Now the big issue taxes and more important living in a area where the state and local governments are probably bankrupt.
Just about everywhere in America is in trouble given this but the western states which had bigger housing bubbles are going to have serious problems. Maintaining ownership of anything when your state is bankrupt is a serious concern unless your part of the in crowed. One reason I've personally not rushed off to buy a place even though I'm a admitted doomer is I've very interested in watching how the various states handle the coming financial crunch. The smart move is to downsize until the government can be supported by a depressed local economy. The government has to practice ELP also. I question if states like California and Oregon are going to responsibly downsize the government.
The underlying problem is you can make a lot of money taking over properties for back taxes so even during a depression if your only paying pennies on the dollar for a piece of property you can make money say selling the home for scrap logging the trees and absorbing the land into a larger farm.
Or if its in town converting the property to a rental.
So a government can easily fall into the trap of destroying the community to support itself and a few wealthy insiders.
So I'm waiting to see how various regions will move. So far I'm concerned that Oregon and California will revert to destructive taxation in order to try and keep their governments running. Texas and Florida and most of the East coast are also of concern. I suspect that a lot of people that thought they had everything worked out will find out that everything they have will be lost to the government.
So I'm going to stay a happy renter and try and save money and probably move it to safer accounts soon. And wait till I see a state make a decision to aggressively reduce its government before I buy.
I can answer you some of that from personal experience, having been an apartment dwelling mass transit-er in Portland for six years. Mostly I have the usual caveats about MT - schlupping eight grocery bags in the rain and waiting half an hour. A company I worked for wanted me at a site in Gresham (east of Portland, satellite community). It was a 3/4 mile trek from the nearest line. Another place I was to work at was close to downtown, about a half mile North across the Willamette River - but it was simply impossible for me to get there by bus by 8 AM - and I lived on the east side on 23rd Ave two blocks from one of the primary E/W arteries!
Regarding prices, admittedly I saved a heap over the years, don't know what the monthly passes averaged out to - $50? So perhaps $600/year = $3600 for the duration. You'd spend that much per year on a car.
These are my caveats about MT, you really need to be very close to work and have real job stability, or the system needs to expand a great deal, even from Portland's pretty high standard. I'm also in favor of whatever solution can be implemented in the most simple and fast manner, as I think this will be all we'll have when crunch time happens. Much as I like the idea of a tram line every mile watching the MAX lines being built here was like watching a geriatric snail 10k.
User eastbay has posted some horror stories about the bus and MAX lines at po.com, too. Recently a 71 year old man was beaten with a baseball bat at one of the MAX stops. Time for the formation of community posses.