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28 comments on Former CEO of Talisman Energy: Peak oil is 'here or hereabouts'
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28 comments on Former CEO of Talisman Energy: Peak oil is 'here or hereabouts'
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- anz at theoildrum dot com
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To put the whole Climate Change issue into perspective vis-a-vis the Peak Oil Crisis, everyone needs to ask themselves, their associates, all sitting elected officials and those seeking office, especially the office of President of the United States, "What is more threatening in both the long and short terms, a beneficial 1 degree F rise in average world temperatures over the past 100 years, or a 1 percent decline in world oil production over the last 100 weeks - with steepening declines forecast? Furthermore, can our economy better deal with declining fuel inventories in an environment of persistent warming, or in an environment of declining average temperatures over the next several decades, the most likely, and the most serious, scenario given the highly reliable solar inertial motion (SIM) model forecasts of climate change?" Everyone is going to make their Kyoto targets whether they plan to or not, so we all need to let go of the Global Warming boogy-man. It does not matter, and it is foolish and arrogant to think that somehow humans can change the climate.
To put things into perspective...
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3250#comment-268273
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3287#comment-270082
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3263#comment-268276
Your comments aren't that original.
Aren't you trying to have it both ways here ? On the one hand you say the temperature is rising, but it doesn't matter because we will supposedly all meet our Kyoto targets anyway. Then you deny global warming is happening at all. Which is it ?
With regards to the first claim, don't you think declining crude oil supplies could meet a hell-for-leather coal to liquids, tar sands, heavy oil and shale oil development boom ? And with the low EROEI of some of these, we end up with far higher carbon emissions for the same, or even less, net output than we have today.
Some fact based debunking of global warming rather than just random assertions would be nice too (care to give us some links to your "highly reliable" climate change models)...
Gav,
as chance would have it there is a nice article in The Oz today about the Goyder Line.
Apparently the "beneficial warming" may have moved Goyders Line south, with the result that hundreds of more wheat farms are potentially unviable.
Goyders Line in South Australia marks the limit of "reliable rains" for wheat production. Goyder determed this ~150 years ago. Also some interesting history about opportunistic land grabs and pooh poohing of Goyders 'scientific' advice... needles to say, it ended in tears.
Maybe of interest for PeakEnergy.
Thanks SP - I hadn't noticed that one - very interesting (especially for those still pushing the grain ethanol wagon)...
Even Matt Simmons is now saying peak oil is the bigger threat than global warming. That view will grow.