23 comments on Intro to Satellite Sleuthing 101: Finding Haradh III
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23 comments on Intro to Satellite Sleuthing 101: Finding Haradh III
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No doubt. I've been to Mount St. Helen's and the destruction around the oil sands was very similar to what I saw at the volcano. I can't believe Canadians are allowing it. The pits of oil stained water are huge. I'd have to think the groundwater and streams flowing out of the area will be destroyed for centuries as this stuff leaks.
Haradh III is the bottom of the barrel.
let me rephrase that...300k barrels aint doin' squat. I don't care who you are. What was their decline rate for last year on their older projects? This bought us a month. Is that cause for celebration? maybe panic. My righteous indignation against this mentality is showing, I know, but how we can sit here and talk about Haradh III like everything is ok is beyond me.
I might as well ignore all of this and just watch the inventory reports to know when to get out of dodge.
I agree that 300k doesn't do much, and my point certainly isn't that things are rosy there. Yes, it has been hyped to death. But read this:
250 k/day. Wow. At least Saudi completed their project somewhat on time. If something causes you to get out of Dodge, that snippet above should be it. Or perhaps to at least get out of BP stock.
I am partly interested in it for clues to what is going on in a broader context. Their underlying message is "see, the latest technology helps get oil out of bad rock". Of course, the other way to interpret it is "all we have left is bad rock". They are currently working on Khurais, which ain't no north Ghawar either, and I am interested in parallels between the two developments.
A big problem is that we don't really know what the depletion rates of their older fields are. One possibility is to look at the number of new wells going in. Especially if these are MRC wells, and in the good rock of the north, the productivity should be high. If they put in 100 wells and each flow 5k/day, that is 500 kbarrels/day that those wells are replacing. What happens when they run out of real estate for new wells?
Well lets see if they can even find Thunder Horse later this fall.
LOST !!!
1 Multi Billion Dollar Oil Platform.
Last seen right before the Cat 5 Hurricane.
Responds to the name Thunder Horse.
If found please return to BP.
Thanks !
GWB.
Thunder horse: 250 k/day / 25 wells = 10 k/day/well
Haradh III (producers): 300 k/day / 31 wells = 9.7 k/day/well
Sometime after 90% water cut; oil wells became stripper wells that produce a few barrels a day for years. The United States has tens of thousands of these. How long will they maintain peak capacity of 12 million barrels a day of total liquids, if they reach it as scheduled in 2009? Insufficient data.
Can there be slowly seeping oil to a stripper well in an oilfield that has been washed thru by water flood? Stripper wells ought to be the end point of pre waterflood technolgy. But if you cap the wells and wait a few hundred years I guess there will be a redistribution of the oil in the wet field.
Will rust not be an issue in that time frame, or was that a sarcastic comment?