There's a huge anti-rationing sentiment in America. We tend to think of it as "communist," "un-American," or against the "free-market." I'm not disagreeing with your suggestion, just suggesting that this policy be framed differently: provide a tax credit (or even an outright rebate) on annual federal tax returns for $XX, equivalent to whatever level tax an individual with "reasonable" consumption would pay (and use that gasoline tax to pay for this rebate). This allows those without cars, or who use very little gasoline, to avoid penalization, without uttering that forbidden word (in American politics): rationing. By the way, we already do this kind of rationing-via-tax code in many places in America.

Nice article, Jeff. I do think that it is more than possible, though that you are overestimating the opposition to rationing in place. In fact, historically speaking, rationing has been a pretty easy sell once enough people want to sell it. I agree that we have a strong prejudice towards free market solutions, but all we need are a very small but highly publicized instances of actual shortages, and people's attitudes generally change quite quickly. I've written more about this here, but I think rationing could enter the bag of tricks really quite rapidly: http://sharonastyk.com/2007/06/15/could-rationing-be-made-palatable/

Sharon

Hi Sharon,

I completely agree. I wonder if you are familiar with historian Dr. Mark Roodhouse's study of the history of rationing in the UK and the implications for present policy? It is a fascinating piece of work, in which he argues that advocates of carbon rationing can strengthen their case by revisiting the history of rationing during the 1940s and 1950s.

He highlights (among other things) that in 1939 and 1940 the UK government rejected proposals to rely upon increased taxation to cut consumption because the impact of tax rises would be slow and inequitable, and that they instead looked for the best way to cut consumption quickly and ensure that reduced supplies were shared out equitably - rationing.

While Dr. Roodhouse's focus is on carbon, he considers Dr. Fleming's TEQs proposal, which is designed to simultaneously address both climate change and Peak Oil.

Incidentally, I also recently found this rather nice story looking back from 2021 to the day when TEQs were introduced in the UK in 2011!

All the best,
Shaun

Two things come to mind:
The historical opposition to taxation runs much deeper than any objection to rationing and was a major if not the major driving force in the formation of our country.
We already have a functioning precedent in the way the electrical grid deals with shortages, rationing in the form of rolling blackouts and brownouts.

There's a huge anti-rationing sentiment in America.

Rationing has not been popular elsewhere either. So long as the myth of 'you are upwardly mobile if you work hard' exists in the US of A....so long as people who are not middle class see themselves as middle class....rationing will still be seen as not the best way out.

Rationing was done during WWII, 'accepted' by the population...as it were. The promise was 'there will be an end'. Peak Oil looks to be an unending shortage of liquid fuel.

Before 'rationing' there will be 'fuel for these services paid by taxes 1st at low price' in a reaction to tax load.

I would agree that it is crucial to the public acceptance of rationing that 'there will be an end'. The Mark Roodhouse historical paper I referenced above in my reply to Sharon also emphasises this.

But I would disagree that the permanent nature of Peak Oil implies permanent rationing. The purpose of a well-designed rationing system must be to stimulate and support the transition to a society of leaner energy use. If it achieves its purpose it will make itself obsolete. If it fails in its purpose we will be overwhelmed by climatic feedbacks and a different type of end will be rolling into view...