183 comments on DrumBeat: March 23, 2008
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183 comments on DrumBeat: March 23, 2008
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I fancy maximum push for efficiency, renewable energy, nuclear energy and non fossil fuel transportation. This must to a very large degree be made on an as free markets as possible to catch the economical solutions and not the politically correct or popular solutions since it would be a disaster if too much resources are wasted. Every region and business sector must make an effort based on its current strenghts.
The Millennium Institute is quite willing to develop a T21-Sweden or T21-Nordic. Not that expensive and one can try out different policies.
Humans have difficulty considering the interactions of more than 4 or 5 variables at once (politicians usually consider only one or two variables), and the computer can vastly increase that #.
Try out various policies and look for "unintended consequences" and which policies work better. Good data for projections is needed.
One can download a simplified T21-USA or T21-NA at
http://www.millenniuminstitute.net/
BTW, Some of the MI staff have Nordic links, Andrea is getting his PhD in Bergen and his girlfriend is working on that Danish renewable island south of Copenhagen, and MI is negotiating to move to Riga.
Best Hopes for Rigorous Policy Analysis,
Alan
Basing political decisions on rigorous policy analysis do to me seem a little far fetched from the political day to day world but it is an intresting ideal.
I am happy that statistical and scientific arguments carry a fair ammount of weight both in the Swedish parliament and to the general population. If an institution, organization or knowledged individual do a realy good analysis it can be heard thru the buzz and PR people. Appealing both to feelings and science often wins debates over people who look good and only appeal to feelings.
How much people listen to scientifically based argumentation varies greatly between different areas of politics and it varies over time. My conclusion is that it often is very bad if decisionmaking separates from reality and drifts up in the clouds to deliver ideology or religion.