WT,

I found one of the articles and something else too about increasing OPEC production but together it is interesting enough.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/feedarticle/7530772

LONDON, May 21 (Reuters) - OPEC oil supply in May is expected to rise by 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), led by higher output from members including Nigeria and Saudi Arabia, an industry consultant said on Wednesday.

All 13 OPEC members are expected to pump 32.4 million bpd this month compared with a revised 31.7 million bpd in April, Conrad Gerber of tanker tracker Petrologistics, told Reuters.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601072&sid=a8Ly_081LZpQ&refer=e...

May 23 (Bloomberg) -- OPEC's daily shipments of crude oil declined by 4.3 percent in the four weeks ended May 4, according to Lloyd's Marine Intelligence Unit.
Members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, excluding Angola and Ecuador, exported 22.762 million barrels a day on tankers, according to data from the London- based tanker-tracking service. That compares with 23.786 million a day in the equivalent period to April 6.

That makes 1.24 million less barrels exported in April over March. It seems that they pumped in 4 weeks of April 31.7 million and exported 23.786 million barrels so they used themselves 7.914 million barrels. In May they will have pumped probably 700,000 barrels more but exports not mentioned for May in first article.

April opec
Production 31.7
Export 23.786
Internal use 7.914

May opec
Production 32.4
Export ???
Internal use ???

So what do other countries get from these 700,000 barrels? Why were exports so down in April? Will they keep the 700,000 barrels for themselves? It seems a bit of a yoyo in production. Priduction up and down but nobody really tracks the long term over last year or the import/export side consistently in the press. This is like reading house prices up 5% this month over last month but down 30% yoy but the press doesn't mention it.

Saudi Arabia's total liquids production in 2005 was 11.1 mbpd (EIA). I estimate that if we they wanted--and more importantly, were able--in 2008 to match their 2005 net export level, they would have to produce an average of about 11.7 mbpd in 2008.

Or, you can put it this way. If they maintained about 11 mbpd forever, with no decline, and if they maintained their 2006 rate of increase in consumption, they would cease exporting oil around 2036.

Because of a rapid increase in consumption, the US hit zero net oil exports more than 20 years before our production peaked.

the US hit zero net oil exports more than 20 years before our production peaked

See Interstate Highways, the creation of modern Suburbia, the universal destruction of our downtowns and inner cities, etc.

Best Hopes for A Reversal,

Alan

By the way, while russian output felt 0.7 percent, the inner consumption grew 5.7 per sent, following strong economy growth and car''s increase. It means that export felt at least 6.4 persent.

No it doesn't.
The 0.7% is a percent of a different quantity than the 5.7%.
You can't just add 'em up.

If we say the US imports 13 million barrels/day at $130/barrel then there is roughly $1.7 billion leaving the country every day or 12 billion/week going to the oil exporters from the US alone or maybe twice that worldwide. It seems clear they do not want to recycle all this into bonds and looking at the huge amounts of building works going on in the ME energy use there will only continue to increase so reducing exports so increasing prices...