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77 comments on Energy Prices, Inflation and Denial
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GAIA Host Collective
A 'One warm room program?'
From Mudloggers link to the Mail article
It is apparent that we will now in the UK whatever measures are taken have a massive energy gap, which will cause great suffering.
So how can we reduce this suffering?
It is too late to retrofit houses to Passivhaus standard, or to build out the generating capacity we need without using gas we won't have, so I am just focussing on emergency mitigation measures, rather than looking at loner term policies.
We have around 24million households in the UK, 3 million of which are in band F, the lowest insulation standards, and 9 million in band E.
There is no way we can bring this stock up to survivable levels in the time available.
What we could do is to bodge up insulation so that one room in every dwelling could be kept at acceptable temperatures - in Japan only one room is normally heated, so it is survivable.
This would have to go with a rationing system, so that the little heat we do have does not go to large houses of wealthy people, but keeps the general population alive.
This means the end of the 'free market' - Each house has a cut-off on energy.
Here is what we could do:
Loft insulation
Plastic bubble for windows:
http://www.simplycontrol.com/catalogue/insulation/default.asp
Greenhouse insulation, bubble insulation, snap mini kaps
Interior cladding, which reduces the usable space, but keeps you warm:
http://www.celotex.co.uk/
Celotex Insulation | High Performance Thermal Insulation Boards
These are not very Homes and Garden measures, but if just one room in each house is insulated the cost should be reasonable.
The bubble wrap for windows is very cheap, around £1.50 meter, so all the rooms in the house could have their windows sealed.
The greatest expense would be dry-lining the walls.
In an environment of high unemployment and hence low labour charges I would guess that about £2k might be enough to insulate.
Not every house in the country would need to be a public charge, so for back of the envelope you might have to pay publicly for half the stock.
So the total cost might be £24 bn or so, and it would not happen overnight, and would take time to get going.
Assuming that our masters realise that something is going on by around 2010, and taking 2015 as then year when we have lost really huge amounts of generating capacity, then a 4 year program night be realistic, so you are talking about £6bn a year.
At later stages then the use of air heat pumps etc could further reduce energy use - this would just be a basis on which to build.
What do you think?
Gardening leave for Gordon and 644 of his colleagues at Westminster (I'm letting Michael Meacher stay), and for most of the civil service that has advised them?
I would suggest garden leave - Bob tells us that fertiliser is in seriously short supply, and they have been one of the main sources of bs for years.
As part of the compost they would actually be of benefit.
Hi davemart,
This has all been done in Canada in the late 1970's energy shortages. Lots of lessons learned including that most heat loss is through cracks under doors and around windows, causing 100%air exchange in 30mins( easily fixed with silicone cement) and through ceilings and windows. In Winnipeg( can be as cold as minus 40(C and F) they add about 60cm(2 feet ) of insulation in roof space, while windows are double or triple glazed( can use plastic sheeting or buble wrap) but looks lousy.
The big problem with a very well insulated air-tight house, that requires almost no extra heat, apart from body heat, lights and cooking, is the build up in humidity, causing condensation and ice build-up on the insides of windows, requiring a heat exchange fresh-air circulation system. Paybacks were only one or two years in natural gas savings, at much lower gas prices in 1970's.
That leaves most gas for hot water and cooling, much harder to save if solar is not practical.
Solar thermal is practical even at the latitude of London, capable of generating around 50% of hot water needs, and it is further North than the heavily inhabited areas of Canada.
It would perhaps not be easy to prevent freezing in the climate there though - the person on this site who is likely to have information on this would be Paul in Halifax.
In Europe where they live at high densities hot water is pumped to the houses from co-generation sites.
A possible solution, although one I would not put my money on, is fuel cells in the home:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23451723/
Japan plugs into fuel cells in homes - Green Machines- msnbc.com