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146 comments on DrumBeat: June 22, 2008
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146 comments on DrumBeat: June 22, 2008
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GAIA Host Collective
Did The Iraq War Cause High Oil Prices...$40 per bbl?
'Salameh told a British parliamentary committee last month that Iraq had offered the US a deal, three years before the war, that would have opened 10 new giant oil fields on "generous" terms, in return for lifting sanctions. "This would certainly have prevented the steep rise of the oil price," he said. "But the US had a different idea. It planned to occupy Iraq and annex its oil."...snip...
' An oil economics specialist, Mamdouh Salameh, who advises the World Bank and the UN Industrial Development Organisation, contends that oil prices would be at less than 1/3 of their current level had the US not invaded iraq.'...snip...
'Mamdouh Salameh believes the oil price would now be no more than $US40 a barrel, less than a third of the current price, if not for the Iraq war.
An oil economist adviser to the World Bank and the UN Industrial Development Organisation, Dr Salameh says that among the world's biggest oil producers, Iraq alone has enough reserves to increase flow substantially. Production in eight others - the United States, Canada, Iran, Indonesia, Russia, Britain, Norway and Mexico - has peaked, he says, while China and Saudia Arabia, the remaining two, are nearing the point of decline. Before the war, Saddam Hussein's regime pumped 3.5 million barrels of oil a day, but this has fallen to just 2 million barrels.'...snip...
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/06/did-iraq-war-cause-high-oil-price...
How many billions of barrels of oil are still left in the ground in Iraq due to the war? What kind of effect has this had on the peak production date for Iraq?
I've seen this discussed a lot. It would have been far cheaper for the US to have bought all of Iraq's oil up front than to launch the invasion. Assuming that cheap oil was your goal.