You are taking the same counterparty risk buying the real stuff and storing it until 2013. People will take your money now, and sell you oil, but will the guy who comes to get the oil in 2013 bring you any money?

The risk may be higher or lower with actuals vs. futures, I don't know, but it's the same type of risk, and shouldn't be written off.

No. Because you've got the actuals in hand.

It's now "performance" risk. And who's talking about a guy coming in 2013?

And while you're waiting, you use it yourself( more on request).

The only way you get hurt is you can't afford to store it.

And if you can't afford to store it, you shouldn't be in the market anyway.