Conserve. I won't list all the ways. It's been do so many times in so many places.

I will list one that has not been done often enough or loud enough.

a) stop population growth.

One of the biggest ironies of our time is that with oil starting to skyrocket in price enough that even the business shows have people discussing finite limits, with websites appearing that deal with the coming decline in global oil production, with former politicians and oil billionaires talking up wind energy and against business as usual with fossil fuels - the amount of people in the media calling for a stoppage of immigration into the United States is zip, zilch, zero, nada, nothing. Right now the vast prevailing thought - both the conventional and the unconventional wisdom - is that we not only have enough oil, natural gas, and coal to produce energy for 304 million Americans, but we have enough to produce it for 400 million Americans. Or is it enough for 500 million Americans? I guess until one of the many many immigration cheerleaders puts an end date on it, it means we have enough fossil fuel for an infinite amount of Americans.

If I could paraphrase one person who had the clarity of thought and cajones to express it - Tad Patzek - talking about energy solutions without talking about population control is like mopping the floor with the pipe still leaking.

Hi FQ,

Are there any truly effective ways to limit population growth that are also politically and morally palatable?

Cheers,
Paul

Not really. Bashing on morals and responsibility is counter productive, for Darwinian reasons. People who answer to the call to 'responsibility' (ie have less children) will reproduce much less than those who don't. Those who have more children will proliferate, and their children are more likely to have more children too. Thus, the effort will result in more population growth.

The only way to do it is by very restrictive birth control, which is a total social and political non-starter. It won't happen, especially not globally.

Population is going to level off anyway. We just have to manage the affluence of a population that's perhaps 40-60 percent bigger than today's.

And the Pope's in town at the moment, asking us to go forth and multiply. Religion, now there's a topic!

Regards, Matt B
PS. The "baby bonus" in Australia is still around $7000 cash! Think there's a baby-boom on at the moment over here?

If there's anything we know how to do, it's stop population growth.
1. Install social security and public health care.
2. Install cable tv.
That's really all you need to do to smash population growth. It has worked every single time, no exceptions.
Well, except for Mennonites and Orthodox Jews in the US. Don't know why they are so resistant.

Even religion cannot escape the Darwinian logic. Religions that are peace loving, that don't force others into their religion, that don't urge people to be 'productive', end up losing the Darwinian battle.

Are there any truly effective ways to limit population growth that are also politically and morally palatable?

I am going to speak about American population growth only. You won't get the majority of people to immediately embrace a stoppage of immigration because it has been romantized for so long and they have been taught for so long by its proponents that it is "what makes America great". And the proponents have also been very effective in painting anyone who is against immigration as a racist. And business people wield undemocratic influence over politicians since they are allowed to bribe them (euphemistically referred to as a contribution) and these business people absolutely love a never-ending wave of extra workers from which to choose and a never-ending wave of extra-customers to sell to. Even among the sharp number crunchers of this site, you won't see graphs or bar charts or tables comparing energy needs with a stable population (forget declining) versus growing population or captions that say something like "I have factored in an annual growth in US population of 1.5% compounded" or the words "due to population increasing".

But I don't believe it is an impossible task. It has to be done in steps. First politicians and business leaders have to realize there are finite resources that are in productional decline and that the amount of coal we have and can produce is vastly overstated. Then second, some of those politicians that are retiring - like George Bush - can begin to speak the truth about it and start to convince the people that fossil fuels are finite. Right now there is some bizarre thinking that takes place in the mind of both the elite and the common person in America. They somehow believe that there is plenty of oil - we just have to drill for it, both in America and overseas. They don't know how much is remaining, how much we have already used, how much we need now, how much we will need in the future - they only "know" that there is plenty of oil. Prices are rising from "greedy oil companies" or "greedy Arabs" or anything else unrelated to using up a finite resource. But people are amazingly sheep-like in their thinking and also very deferential to authority. Tell them Iraq has WMDs and you are sure of it, even though you cannot tell UN Inspectors a single place in the country where they are, and they will not only not impeach you or try you for war crimes when it is found out that you lied in order to invade and destroy a country, they will reelect you. So they will ultimately come on board to the idea that we don't have enough fossil fuel. Particularly if a Republican President does it. Then you immediately get an entire network, FoxNews, speaking about limited fossil fuels and the majority of a political party coming on board.

Once you have them convinced there is a PERMANENT shortage, then the third step, stopping population growth via immigration becomes much much easier. Years ago in California there were two years of a severe drought. In the second year, amidst bans and restrictions on watering your lawn and washing your car, they stopped issuing building permits in some areas. An amazing amazing thing. The system is hard-wired for builders to pay bureaucrats to issue building permits forever and ever and yet they stopped. In the face of scarcity they suddenly saw a link between population growth and a finite resource. Now this didn't last, because they apparently thought that it was the last drought. So the emphasis would need to be on PERMANENT shortage of fossil fuels. We aren't going to drill our way out. We aren't going to "coal-to-liquid" our way out. There aren't "political factors" or "above the ground factors" causing a temporary shortage. At the very least, even if it turned out population growth was so ingrained in the minds of Americans that it could not be stopped even when people realized that resources were finite and expendable, the population growth advocates (via immigration or lack of abortion and birth control or what have you) would be forced to become the biggest chearleaders for wind/solar/wave/nuclear the world has seen to date.

Hi FQ,

Thanks for fleshing-out your thoughts. Would it be fair to say the measures you propose are not intended to limit population growth as such, but rather to restrict U.S. immigration? And at the end of the day, would that resolve our issues with excess resource use and environmental degradation?

Cheers,
Paul

Would it be fair to say the measures you propose are not intended to limit population growth as such, but rather to restrict U.S. immigration?

Since I prefaced it by saying I was speaking from an American perspective limiting immigration drastically limits population growth where I live - America. Al Gore didn't call for the world to have 100% renewable energy by 2020 - he called for America to do it. We won't hit 100% by 2020, but whatever percent we hit, will be higher if we end immigration today. And ultimately ending US immigration will limit total world population as well since the countries that are overpopulating through births (which is now the US as well thanks to immigrant mothers), most notably Mexico, but also India, Pakistan, the Phillipines, and others, will have to deal with their population problem sooner. Mexico can't shreak loud enough at any proposal to stop illegal immigration. They see it as a big solution to their problems. Stop it and they need to find other solutions. Like maybe birth control.

And at the end of the day, would that resolve our issues with excess resource use and environmental degradation?

An American uses more resources than a Philipino or a Mexican or an Indian. Allowing them to come to the US causes more resource use and environmental degradation than if they had remained home. At the end of any day in which people immigrant from the 3rd world to the US, there is more resources used than there was the day before, more environmental degradation that day than there was the day before. No one thing will resolve our issues with "excess resource use and environmental degradation" so I think it is unfair to say that if something doesn't solve the problem completely than it shouldn't be done. That is what people that don't want a local wind farm always say. They point to how small that wind farm's output will be in relation to what the state needs and then say "this wind farm will not solve our energy problem, therefore it can be canceled with no bad effect".

At the end of many many days, 2 million immigrants a year into the US, plus their offspring ends up being 10s of millions and uses tremendous resources and causes tremendous environmental degradation - if nothing else - for the US.

Limiting immigration as long as WE in the US have such a disproportionally larger share than anyone else, as long as that disproportional share is based on taking away from those same people who then must try to work their way here, no, it will not work. No, if we want to stop the urge to come to US, we need to
take less and help others have more.

Or put all our efforts into guns. Maybe just shooting people at the border. And it won't be long before we start shooting people within our borders with equal abandon. How we make and pay for those guns is going to be an interesting question. Nuclear and biological weapons - on a mass scale - that's probably what US will do. After all, we already have the stockpiles.

Before we do that, however, we're going to need a Pinochet-like purge of the unpatriotic elements within US society. Which is why Homeland Security's terrorist watch list is now over 1 million Americans. Nixon was just playing around.

cfm in Gray, ME

We can stop immigration without stopping "the urge to come to the US" or using guns to kill people. And we likely will, only for very sad reasons. As horrible and "immoral" as the pro-immigration crowd want to paint a stoppage of immigration, it happened once before - during the Great Depression. And it wasn't turned on again (for the most part) until Teddy Kennedy and his team got fired up about it in the 1960's. That's 30 years without significant immigration. The country survived fine, the world survived fine. No one went to hell because of it.

Ultimately I don't see how that won't be the story again if things go as badly as they could once oil production starts to decline. You will not have a Great Depression II, with high 25% unemployment, and a government that looks the other way as employers hire illegals from Mexico.You will not have a Great Depression II and have a government that cows to the incessant begging and whining of greedy businessmen who claim they must have more and more foreign workers or they won't be able to compete ... with the American company down the block. And you will not have a Great Depression II with 25% unemployment and a million new immigrants each year waiting for their citizenship papers.

And also, you will not have a Great Depression II, and have a government that looks the other way as employers send jobs to China and India in massive amounts. Pulling back jobs from China and India while simultaneously freezing the US population would be a great way to lesson world demand for oil, just as sending massive amounts of jobs over there was a great way to hit Peak Oil sooner rather than later.

...

Where do people like you come from? Are you posting from your bunker in the hills, or what?

The mind boggles.

An American uses more resources than a Philipino or a Mexican or an Indian.

Surely, Americans do consume and waste enormous resources. Why do you feel you have the right to spend a life of luxury, while others should be denied of these things? Everyone here wants a better life for themselves and their loved ones. And if its in America, people will go. If not legally, then by illegally crossing the borders.

Do you know how many illegal immigrants enter the US every year?

Surely, Americans do consume and waste enormous resources. Why do you feel you have the right to spend a life of luxury, while others should be denied of these things?

I am not denying anyone anywhere in the world the ability to live a life of luxury. You don't have to come to America to live a life of luxury.

Everyone here wants a better life for themselves and their loved ones. And if its in America, people will go. If not legally, then by illegally crossing the borders.

It is a simple matter to stop illegal immigration. People can't come to where they aren't wanted. Right now the people in power want illegal immigration so it occurs, but if they decide they don't want it then it wouldn't matter how much a Mexican crossing the border or an Indian or Chinese overstaying their visa wants to come they wouldn't be able to get a job, get any services, etc. because Americans would know the penalty was too to severe if they deal with them.

Do you know how many illegal immigrants enter the US every year?

Tons, but you have both George Bush and John McCain who want to give them another amnesty. Rich men love illegal immigration. They lose no jobs due to it, have no salary lowered from it, don't have their neighborhoods taken over by it, have no gangs in their kids schools because of it, etc. - they only see it benefiting them as they hire cheap and desperate gardeners and nannies and maids and what have you while all of society, rich and poor alike has to share the burden of the costs of the illegals. I wouldn't be surprised if Barack Obama was all for it. If the people in power ever decide they don't like illegal immigration they will stop it. If we go into a Great Depression both legal and illegal immigration will stop. Any politician who continues the "great immigration propaganda" at that point will be voted out of office.

I for one would like to see churches sponsoring family planning clinics in Mexico. It is the biggest waste of resources for all these churches to drive a bunch of cars down to Mexico all the time to build houses. One family planning clinic could save 10's of thousands of car trips to Mexico. I am not going on anymore of these missions. I supose they do offer a modicum of help to needy people. But family plannning is the hot ticket.

At least that is the way I see it.

It's like African aid. It should go hand in hand with population control. They are very poor and beset with numerous challenges and frequent crisis, and yet have a very high population growth rate.

I read once that Warren Buffet was a big contributor to Planned Parenthood or something similar. But now he has turned all his money over to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Their foundation lists these Grantees:
----------------------------------------------------
Global Development Grantee Profiles
Our partners in global development are committed to helping hundreds of millions of families in the developing world emerge from extreme hunger and poverty.

Global Health Grantee Profiles
Organizations we support are working on innovative solutions to prevent and treat disease and provide access to health interventions in developing countries.

United States Grantee Profiles
Organizations in the U.S. are expanding access to technology and making a difference in the lives of students, and vulnerable children and families.
--------------------------------------------------------
Even clicking on the "Read more" links for the above shows nothing about population control. So you have to wonder - did Warren Buffet help or hurt people by diverting his billions from a situation where he was donating part of it to population control - to a situation where it is all going to things that are worthy and good but that do nothing to solve the underlying problem of overpopulation and increasing population. The hope I suppose is that all the poor areas will become rich enough to where parents have better things to do with their time than raise more than about 2 kids. But do we have the time and the resources to get to that point?

I didn't know we were giving money to poor people in Africa. I thought we were just propping up corrupt governments with money that we borrowed from Swiss banks that got the funds from the corrupt government officials that we bribed.
Just goes to show that you learn something new every day.

Actually, a good part of that money comes straight back to us in the West. Typically 50-75% of foreign aid is "tied" foreign aid, that is the receiving country must use it to buy goods and services from the donating country.

For example, a few years back the US gave $175 million in aid to Afghanistan, and $125 million of that went on building a luxury hotel for foreign VIPs to stay in. Entirely built by foreign contractors, and staffed at most levels by them, I think they might have let some Afghans sweep the street outside or something... But hey, it's foreign aid, honest!

FQ

a) stop population growth.

I'm with you all the way - in fact I stumbled into PO while doing research on projected oil consumption to 2050. The curve looks like a wall by 2012.

But -

Just as their is a 1:1 relationship between unitl fossil fuel and unit GDP, there is a similar relationship between unit human and unit GDP.

Roughly expressed.

Unit GDP:Unit Fossil Fuel:Unit Human

By extension throw in the byproduct of burning fossil fuel and you get.

Unit GDP:Unit Fossil Fuel:Unit Human:Unit GHG

Constraining the growth of any one of these units slows, stops, or shrinks the economy.(Remember Bush rebuffed Kyoto because it would negatively impact the economy)

So as a guess, the only thing that is going to downsize the population is PO or GHG as humans are too selfish to give up money or percieved wealth voluntairly for any reason. Including saving themselves.

Believe me, I'm with you though. No money = no 'work' other than food, clothing, shelter, art & entertainment, and heat. I'd much rather be doing that than what I do now!

Carl

Although Unit Human:Unit GDP, Unit Human has no relation to Unit GDP Per Capita. If population stays stable, GDP only grows slightly (due to efficiency gains etc), but the increase in GDP goes straight into people's incomes, so they actually get more wealthy, not less.

But alas, it is the percieved wealth that matters, not the actual wealth, and percieved wealth is measured in GDP...

Money is too abstract. Look at the relation between population growth and primary energy use: the per capita primary energy use over time is almost flat. This is because we are more efficient with energy, both on the generation side as on the demand side. With population levelling off maybe at 40-60 percent bigger than today's, that strongly suggests that at least the problem of exponential energy growth isn't escalating ad infinitum like some doomers believe.

There was a time when the term population control referred to the right to decide whether or not to have more kids. I guess 'population control' is now just a euphemism for xenophobia.

http://www.womensenews.org/article.cfm/dyn/aid/3672

White House Defines Contraception as Abortion

In other words, health care providers would have the right to refuse to provide patients with comprehensive information about abortion or birth control even if they ask for it.

Providers could also refuse to write prescriptions for birth control or provide referrals for abortion services based on their personal beliefs, adding to a trend that is already reflected in litigation involving pharmacists around the country who argue religious freedoms in their refusal to dispense emergency contraception.

Organizations that don't comply with the proposed rule could be forced to scale back services due to lack of funding, leaving women who rely on government-funded family-planning clinics with fewer options for affordable services and supplies, Richards said.

Superceding States' Policies

The regulation could also undermine state laws that require hospitals to provide emergency contraception to rape victims and that require health care insurance plans to cover contraceptives if they cover other prescription medications.

I guess 'population control' is now just a euphemism for xenophobia.

What we need is a non-euphemism for the phenomenon of people worshiping immigration and immigrants and/or romantically spinning immigration into some fairy tale that never ends. Isn't it amazing that even on a site dedicated to discussing the decline in production of a critical natural resource the politically manufactured term "xenophobia" is still used.

The media circus around anti-immigration sentiment is a drug-induced haze that prevents realistic assessment of this government's counter-productive anti-birth control policies. That you can rant against immigrants as a form of population control but ignore the contradictory pro-population/ anti-reproductive rights issue is a testament to the power of that drug.

If you want world population control, then stop trying to prevent US Citizens [AND non US citizens here and abroad] from limiting the size of their own families.

If you REALLY want to stop illegal immigration, you'd undo NAFTA and you'd crack down on their non-law-abiding US corporate employers. But cracking down on the illegal immigrants themselves is only token zenophobic action - whose sole purpose is to rile up the political base before an election: suckers!

That you can rant against immigrants as a form of population control but ignore the contradictory pro-population/ anti-reproductive rights issue is a testament to the power of that drug.

Even with the birth-control views of the right wing, had liberal Teddy Kennedy not gotten the immigration spigot turned on again in 1965, we would be at negative population growth. The birth rate just went above the 2.1 per woman replacement level recently and it was ascribed to a higher birth rate from immigrant mothers.

That you can rant against immigrants as a form of population control but ignore the contradictory pro-population/ anti-reproductive rights issue is a testament to the power of that drug.

I am with you 100% on the US promoting birth control, regardless of whether abortion is part of it, but I don't think American policy has that much affect on births in other countries.

If you REALLY want to stop illegal immigration, you'd undo NAFTA and you'd crack down on their non-law-abiding US corporate employers. But cracking down on the illegal immigrants themselves is only token zenophobic action - whose sole purpose is to rile up the political base before an election: suckers!

I agree, this "crackdown" is just for show to placate the right wing. We have never done more than give token enforcement to employers hiring illegals. I have seen cases get thrown out of court because a plant was inspected for illegal hiring without giving the employer sufficient advance notification. The penalties should be so severe that hiring just one illegal puts the business at risk of going under and the second offense puts it out of business. But I disagree on NAFTA. NAFTA sends jobs from the US to Mexico which to some degree would lower the amount that are streaming here illegally.

But I don't think there are many people who have xenophobia - "fear and hatred of strangers or foreigners or of anything that is strange or foreign". Which has an implied "irrational" tacked on to the front of it. There are clearly many many harmful effects of immigration that go hand in hand with the harmful effects of native population growth and are far from irrational. It's actually irrational to ignore them or pretend they don't exist. Housing and land become more expensive and life is more crowded and congested. Finite resources have to be divied up in smaller allotments and run out sooner. Renewable resources like wood and fish are harder to renew. Garbage must be piled higher and further away, pollution increases, democracy decreases - each vote is worth less. Employers have more power over their workers as the population growth puts supply/demand in their favor (which is one of the reasons they absolutely love it). And immigration adds problems that native population growth doesn't - like increased crime among immigrant groups versus natives, extra costs for educating and other activities for non-English speakers. And there is the negative that the poor feel the worst - the phenomenon of living in the same house or apartment and yet, in effect, ending up in a foreign country - where you are not welcome.

If you really have a population argument rather than a xenophobicracist one, then you must argue instead to ban all immigration legal and illegal, and not differentiate between the two. But the insistence upon differentiation is the clue to the racism in the arguments made against illegals.

Whether they realize it or not, most Americans concerned about illegal immigration DO have xenophobia and blatant racism, fuelled by right-wingnuts in power in politics and media. They are not clamoring for waspy-looking immigrants to be stopped at the borders. They are upset about the brown impoverished non-english speakers from south of the border.

Regarding the increased crime comparison you cite: Many illegal immigrants are the victims of crime. They are known to be 'walking ATMs' because they can't open checking accounts, and so they are targets of 'native' thieves looking for an easy mark so they can go do more meth amphetamines while the immigrants go do underpaid outdoor manual labor all day.

If you really have a population argument rather than a xenophobicracist one, then you must argue instead to ban all immigration legal and illegal, and not differentiate between the two. But the insistence upon differentiation is the clue to the racism in the arguments made against illegals.

You pulled out the race card on the wrong guy. I am against all immigration.

Whether they realize it or not, most Americans concerned about illegal immigration DO have xenophobia and blatant racism, fuelled by right-wingnuts in power in politics and media. They are not clamoring for waspy-looking immigrants to be stopped at the borders. They are upset about the brown impoverished non-english speakers from south of the border.

Doesn't matter if they are calling for it for because the immigrants are of a different race or if they are calling for it because they don't speak English or any other reason - just calling for it is the right thing to do. Immigration is ludicrous in a period of declining critical resources and/or finite resources. Immigration is ludicrous into a crowded country with expensive cities with over 300 million people. Immigration is not sustainable. At this point in time, as we face tremendous crisis, anything that is not sustainable should be stopped as soon as possible. It's technically possible to stop immigration tomorrow.

Regarding the increased crime comparison you cite: Many illegal immigrants are the victims of crime. They are known to be 'walking ATMs' because they can't open checking accounts, and so they are targets of 'native' thieves looking for an easy mark so they can go do more meth amphetamines while the immigrants go do underpaid outdoor manual labor all day.

Not too many natives forming gangs and doing drive by shootings. I think you have a tough task ahead of you if you try and make a case for immigrants committing less crime than natives. But that's irrelevant. The primary reason for stopping immigration is not crime anyway. There are negatives that far outweigh more crime committed by immigrants in the areas they inhabit - except of course for the victims of those crimes.

How can you argue immigration and racism are the same, or that illegal and legal immigration are the same? How can you claim that Americans in general don't mind "waspy-looking" immigrants sneaking across the border? Do you invite poor illiterate criminals to live in your house and feed them at your expense? Why not?

If we going to over-generalize, why is that liberals always want to give away my money and resources, and use up other peoples, yet won't part with their own?

It's simple for me -- rule of law. If we have space and choose to allow immigration, come on in legally. If not, stay out. If you are here, legally or illegally, and you break the law, away you go to prison or deportation (or execution -- what's this nonsense about people coming here and not living according to our laws??).

If you don't want to speak English, don't come. If you don't want to take care of your offspring, PLEASE don't come - we have plenty of deadbeat parents here already.

The entire problem with immigration isn't one of hate, but of the extent of finite resources and the cost of liberal hand-outs. It was bad enough when we built a welfare state for citizens, but to extend it to non-citizens is ludicrous. We can't afford it, and we don't owe it to anybody.

And FYI, the media is way left, not right. Most politicians of both parties as well. Us true conservatives don't mind being called conservative, and certainly no big-gov't advocate is one!

FiniteQuantity,I agree with you 100%.In Australia we have a similar problem with the "Growth at any Cost" crowd in control in Government and business.
Consequently we have abominations like a 150,000/annum immigration intake,a previous Federal treasurer telling the nation's women to have a third child for the country and an insane "baby bonus" of about $5000 for each child.
There is a small organization here (Sustainable Population Australia)which has been battling away for years to try to raise consciousness of this issue but it is like trying to penetrate a wall of total shit.
As you may know,Australia is the most arid continent apart from Antarctica.It has a lot of mineral wealth but this is being sold off overseas at an increasing rate.Because there is prosperity at present there seems to be a belief that this can continue regardless of the real carrying capacity of the land.
We already have a >20million population which is beyond the sustainable limit.Factor in the present problems of land degradation due to mad farming practices,a very unreliable rainfall over most of the country and the coming energy and climate change crises and we have a disaster waiting to happen.

I can remember toying with the idea of immigrating to Australia years ago after talking to someone who had done so and then moved back to the US. At the time your population was only something like 12 or 15 million which sounded so tiny - and nice. But yeah, while in a discussion with an Aussie recently on this board regarding immigration I did a query and found out that not only is your immigration 150K, but that the government wants to increase it. They feel you have enough water, oil, coal and natural gas and everything else for not just 20 million people, but an infinite amount. I can say infinite as long as the immigration proponents didn't put an end date or a population limit on the practice.

Talk is that the new centre-left government will increase this to over 300,000 per year (1.5% of our population) because of their commitment to "social justice".

The justification for this is that unemployment is low and we need the extra workers - mainly it is about gratifying their left-wing support base who were outraged at the previous goverments unfriendly attitude towards refugees.

Australia is a big country. If space were the only issue, we could house the entire world here. The real isssue is that it is a dry, drought-prone country and the sustainable population is actually about 20 million when you take water management and soil degradation into account. We are already past that, and are seeing the river system dry up as a result.

Somewhere along the line the left decided that anyone who opposes immigration is a bad person who just wants to see refugees suffer.

My view is that overpopulation is a serious problem that needs to be dealt with. Importing overpopulation into the countries that are currently least affected by this issue just spreads the misery around evenly. It's a curious kind of morality that requires you to import people to help destroy your environment because they've already reached the limits of their own carrying capacity.

Australia is a big country. If space were the only issue, we could house the entire world here. The real isssue is that it is a dry, drought-prone country and the sustainable population is actually about 20 million when you take water management and soil degradation into account. We are already past that, and are seeing the river system dry up as a result.

I have heard of impending water problems in certain dry states in America like Nevada for quite some time, but population growth has still continued at a faster pace than other parts of the country. I heard a show on the radio that discussed how the state of Connecticut was recycling a certain admirable percentage of their trash and wanted to increase it. Later a government employee said that they had to increase recycling in order to keep from having to transport more of it to other states because the amount of trash they were collecting kept going up. He never mentioned stopping population growth even though they were now trucking their trash to 3 different states, one of which - Ohio - was over a 450 miles away.

America also has vast amounts of land in its center that is "underpopulated". And this land is pointed to by proponents of infinite population growth via infinite immigration. However, and Australia is probably similar - they do not start any cities in those areas for immigrants to live in. The immigrants come to existing cities and make them more crowded and congested and expensive. I remember hearing the Bee Gees comment on how different America was from when they toured it in the 1970's till now. They said "You have a very crowded country now" with their voices rising in a way that seemed to say "Why did you allow that to happen and will it continue to get worse?".

In America both parties are for immigration and that includes illegal immigration. There is some call for a stoppage of illegal immigration from a portion of the conservative Republican party, but the big-business elite Republicans, the ones that have the ear of the politicians via their large monetary gifts and country club discussions, are all for illegal immigration. They love cheap desperate workers. They can fatten their bank accounts while all of society must share in the costs of immigration - both legal and illegal. The current Republican president and the current Republican candidate are both for illegal immigration. They use politically manufactured terms like "comprehensive immigration reform" to try and disguise that fact from the part of the party that is against it. And they have to say different things at different gatherings. But there is not accountability for politicians from a submissive and enabling press, so they get away with it.

Importing overpopulation into the countries that are currently least affected by this issue just spreads the misery around evenly. It's a curious kind of morality that requires you to import people to help destroy your environment because they've already reached the limits of their own carrying capacity.

I have often wondered what limit, if any, do the American pro-immigration group see as to American population. China got up around a billion and saw a need to stop it (but still hasn't). I was astonished to read once that China had 10 to 20 million people die of starvation in the early 1960's. But I don't think the "one-child policy" started until 15 years later. On the other hand, India has passed a billion, and even though it has hundreds of millions in extreme poverty, they still apparently see no problem due to overpopulation.

a) stop population growth.

Yes, of course, but not only or even primarily thru stopping immigration -- there has to be global cooperation on this issue (as well as many others).

For America, stopping immigration is sufficient. The other countries need to work out their own methodology.

This is one of the few net places I know where I can offer the following comment without generating unthinking hysteria. So here goes:

If obscure shlubs like me can see it, then you can be sure that plenty of the gics (gangster-in-charge) can see too that there exist now a very clear set of indications that the world is already well into population overshoot: There are already too many of us here, scrabbling about for a living, plus a bit of jam and cream if possible, for the Earth to carry indefinitely. The number has to go down, and probably will, whether we cooperate or not.

So now, imagine that I'm not the ordinary, and usually pretty humane shlub (thanks JHK for that excellent Americanism!) that I am, but instead a super-rich, powerful, high-status member of the ruling 'elites' -- anywhere in the world, not just in the US.

Moreover, from having either scammed my way into that class, or from having been brought up and educated in its ways by my rich family, I'm inclined to do the sort of cool, amoral realpolitikal thinking which Machiavelli exemplifies so elegantly in Il Principe and I Discorsi.

I think of the common citizens, with whom I seldom have anything but the most superficial contact, as our -- the 'elite's' -- highly useful and profitable, but always potentially very dangerous cattle. They are where they are because they don't have our characteristics, whereas it's those same characteristics which have got us where we are. It's just a Darwinian thing: survival of the fittest, best rising to the top.

(OK, this is very superficial shit. But I didn't say that this eliter was deep, just rich.)

Now, suppose that like T. Boone, I and my like-minded buddies have substantial amounts of the wherewithal at our disposal. But instead of putting it, like Mr T, into practical ways to negotiate everyone through the white water ride that we're just entering, we decide that our best course is to do something effective about population overshoot.

We go looking for more like-minded people amongst the gics in our particular empire, or maybe if we're REALLY visionary people, amongst all the gics of the world. Our argument is that if we, the gics, are to hold on to our special position in human society, with all its power and privileges, then we have to do something resolute and effective about the overshoot. Just leaving it to natural, four-horsemen solutions won't do, because it will maybe wreck our world too, and also may well precipitate a time of chaos, upheaval and -- obscene word! -- revolutions, in which no gics can be sure to hold on to what they have. Sure, if we all just carry on with BAU the big Four will assuredly get to work without any other help from us. But just too chaotically.

So we have to reduce population drastically, and soon; and -- inescapably -- without the knowledge or consent of the reducees.

Now, we know that already, molecular biology is well into the borderlands of manipultating genetic materials quite subtly. And with intesive, well-funded effort, more breakthroughs in capability are not far away.

So because our particular clique of gics is Causcasian/Semitic/Mongoloid/Afro/other (choose one) we want to develop a line of biological agents which will target Caucasian/Semitic/Mongoloid/Afro/other (choose as many as seems good) but without affecting our racial group, which will be specifically left out of the genetic targetting.

Once a range of credible agents has been developed, we begin to solve the overshoot problem by releasing them in waves, widely, in appropriate areas of the Earth, to create vast pandemics, but mainly amongst the target races. (We also develop complementary vaccines for the exempted racial group(s), of course, at the same time as the plague agents are being developed, as an added assurance that our privileged ethnic group(s) is left untouched by the plagues)

Someone once said that whatever humans once become capable of doing, you can be sure that sooner rather than later some humans will do, just to see what happens. We're now on the brink of being able, as a meddlesome species, to do the sort of thing sketched in above. People have been thinking such things, quietly, for some time now. Pretty certainly, there will be people thinking these ideas in every empire, in every racial group in the world.

Can anyone explain to me why some coterie of people with the right level of Machiavellian amorality wouldn't decide round about now that they had a heavy but necessary duty to do something like this, to -- so to speak -- partly destroy our swarming species in order to save it?

Sound thinking IMO.

Thank you for stating what needs to be considered.

Think products like;
Roundup - (for weeds)
Advantage - (for fleas)

The other option would be to have a huge global sit down chat carefully outlining the constraints the world faces and then every human modify their lifestyle accordingly.

Yeah, like that would ever happen.

I don't want to be too dogmatic about this, S, but I think that that sort of all-including conversation that you describe, and a global agreement for us all to climb down together, very carefully and cooperatively, from the high pinnacle of risk that we're now on, is about the only feasible alternative to the sort of grisly scenario that I outlined above actually being tried.

Like you, I'm not inclined to give the humane option short odds. But yet -- we are a very agile and limber species. In the face of unprecedentedly terrible dangers, we might actually pull this willingness from somewhere deep in our collective alterconscious mind.

I suspect that an awful lot of us, once we saw clearly and soberly what's facing us, would opt for the humane option. But first we have to do something decisive to get our species' tendency to gickery under effective control. We've never cracked that problem yet. But now might be the time that we do.

So, stock up on ordnance and MREs?

Praise the lord and pass the Cipro...

Figuring out how to have gentle population reduction without biological or other warfare while mitigating the downslope of Peak Everything is the most important task facing the human race.

Here's one perspective on a Doctor Strangelove (or is that Doktor Mengele?) approach to overpopulation:

Project for a New American Century
PNAC: the "Mein Kampf" of World War IV

"While the unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the immediate justification, the need for a substantial American force presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of the regime of Saddam Hussein ...
"the process of [military] transformation, even if it brings revolutionary change, is likely to be a long one, absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event - like a new Pearl Harbor ...
... advanced forms of biological warfare that can "target" specific genotypes may transform biological warfare from the realm of terror to a politically useful tool."
-- Rebuilding America’s Defenses, September 2000, Project for a New American Century
www.newamericancentury.org

signed by Dick Cheney, Paul Wolfowitz, Donald Rumsfeld, Jeb Bush, Richard Perle, Scooter Libby, et al.

Collapse, if and when it comes again, will this time be global. No longer can any individual nation collapse. World civilization will disintegrate as a whole. Competitors who evolve as peers collapse in like manner.
-- Joseph A. Tainter, The Collapse of Complex Societies

there has to be global cooperation on this issue

If the populations are confined to their native regions, failure in one area does not have to cause great consequences in others.  It also prompts people to act, because their own errors will affect them first and hardest.