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348 comments on DrumBeat: July 24, 2008
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348 comments on DrumBeat: July 24, 2008
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GAIA Host Collective
It's almost as if they read theoildrum.com. :) Now let's see if they survive until 2012, I guess they will. Incidentally, I was examining a late model Ford Fiesta yesterday before dinner (I'm in Munich right now) and my thought was that it was a very good looking car. Quite stylish, it was reminiscent more of a Honda than a Ford. I bet it will sell decently well here barring that things do not return to the former era of cheap oil.
Too little, too late. Figure on $200/barrel oil or more. Figure on Mitsubishi (and others) marketing EVs with 100 mile ranges.
Who's going to invest in gasoline/diesel when they can get good EV?
Between now and 2012... they have NOTHING.
Given that Toyota is apparently having difficulty meeting demand for batteries for their Prius, don't you think batteries in general may be an issue and that many people will be forced to choose a high-mileage ICE vehicle as their second choice?
People "underwater" on their gas guzzler and in debt to their utilities will not buy any new car.
That, too.
Nothing makes the point clearer than this chart from the Wall Street Journal:
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-autosales.html?mod=mdc_h_ec...
Oil down $20 bucks from the high, and CNBC hosts today talking about buying SUVs, one of them had her husband buying a minivan today, and the other wanted to buy an SUV because they were getting so cheap…
I guess a lot of people still think that the climb in oil prices is a just a blip, and all will be fine in a couple of years with technology and the artic oil reserves! …
The reality of peak oil remains illusive to the absolute majority of the people, and oil prices have a long way to go before people “never ever” think of buying an SUV!!!..
Regards,
Nawar
I still cannot help but think the 3,566,138 trucks and SUVs are going to seriously be offset by 100,000 Prius's. Even if you include the 200 to date that have plugs.
It still looks like denial to me, at least for the 2,017,941 driving brand new SUVs. Those guzzlers are going to be guzzling for the next 20 years.
Nice graph, though. Thanks.
This entry at AutoBlogGreen gives some more details on Ford's plans:
Ford to retool 3 truck plants for small cars starting in December
The European Fiesta ECOnetic (which I mentioned a couple of days back) gets 75mpg on highways according to the EU test cycle. Hopefully that's what will be built in Mexico.
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/4330#comment-383619