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228 comments on DrumBeat: September 4, 2008

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PeakOil Tarzan on September 4, 2008 - 9:47am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Palin's speech last night was short on specifics and long on fuzzy feel-good stuff:

Americans, we need to produce more of our own oil and gas...and take it from a gal who knows the North Slope of Alaska: We've got lots of both.

Starting in January, in a McCain-Palin administration, we're going to lay more pipelines, and build more nuclear plants, and create jobs with clean coal, and move forward on solar, wind, geothermal, and other alternative sources.

Something for everyone. Enough even for hubby Todd to keep racing his "snow machine."

WT, a question (and sorry if I've missed it): Have you guys attempted to aggregate, by country, net exports to develop a global net export model?

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westexas on September 4, 2008 - 9:52am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Re: Global Net Export Model

My evaluation so far is that there are too many variables, especially regarding trying to model the unconventional production, e.g., Venezuela--which has great unconventional promise, but which has shown 10 years of declining net oil exports. I suspect that slowly increasing unconventional production in Venezuela will primarily serve to offset falling conventional production and increasing consumption.

My guess is that total world net oil exports in 2031 will be at 25% or less of the 2005 rate.

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wisco on September 4, 2008 - 12:03pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

How about a net-export model for the State (some wish Nation) of Alaska?

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wisco on September 4, 2008 - 12:29pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

I wasn't trying to be facetious. I see elsewhere on TOD that Prudhoe is in 11% decline, but I can't find anything highlighting AK as a whole. Also, what's going on with Alaskan consumption? What projects outside of ANWR are coming online? What are the prospects of Alaska increasing its ability to meet U.S. energy demand? What portion of Alaskan production is exported to non-U.S. markets?

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doug fir on September 4, 2008 - 4:03pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Good questions. A major post on Alaska oil would be appreciated and timely. I am especially curious as to the non-US exports. IIRC, most initial North Slope oil went to Asia.

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228 comments on DrumBeat: September 4, 2008

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