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218 comments on Hurricane Ike, Energy Infrastructure, Refineries and Damage Models Thread #4 (Updated 9/12 23:00 EDT)

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unrepentantcowboy on September 12, 2008 - 10:15am Permalink | Subthread | Comments top

There seems to be disagreement between latest storm surge estimates and the latest track estimates. The storm surge map shows the eye landing east of Houston while most models are still forcasting landfall on the west side of the bay.

As you have suggested, slight variations make large differences in the outcome.

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kjmclark on September 12, 2008 - 10:23am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Yeah, the National Hurricane Center's 3-day chart this morning shows a hit just southwest of Galveston. The model runs at the the WeatherUnderground show the same thing. Yesterday's damage projection chart seems to fit this morning's track projections better.

It's too bad the US doesn't have a gasoline strategic reserve. Today might be a good day to make sure your gas tank is full.

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ken1 on September 12, 2008 - 6:26pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Commentary by one of my colleagues, Warren Karlenzig:

"Ike Takes Dead Aim at Houston Ship Channel, Nation's Petrochemical Nerve Center"
http://www.commoncurrent.com/notes/2008/09/ike-takes-dead-aim-at-houston...

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218 comments on Hurricane Ike, Energy Infrastructure, Refineries and Damage Models Thread #4 (Updated 9/12 23:00 EDT)

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