It should be freakin' punitive.

Better yet, it should be nonexistent.

Regarding bailout I am annoyed as everyone of you, however:

This is a in effect consumer society. In the end it is not the banks who get bailed out, it is actually the consumer, who will be again able to (at least this is the plan) to take loans and spend money on stupid things.

Majority of people here (myself included) are probably not the big spenders. As such, we don't add a lot to this sick consumer society ;) Since we don't know how to spend, the money goes to those who can (yes, it is not fair). We should not think about the bailout in terms: is it fair or not. Of course it isn't. It is like Peak Oil. Deny it until you can, and when you have to admit it, deny it further.

btw: Wanted to ask you another thing. I see you post a lot from Denninger. That guy, however smart he is, does not want to acknowledge Peak Oil and thinks drilling will save the problem. I think he has got some issues... In the end it is not Paulson's and Bernanke's fault, the problem is that capitalism can't grow without limits, especially not when energy is becoming a problem.

In the end it is not the banks who get bailed out, it is actually the consumer, who will be again able to (at least this is the plan) to take loans and spend money on stupid things.

That may be the plan...but it's not going to work. That's my main beef with this.

Probably not. It is like life though. We all know we have to die at one point, but not counting suicidal persons tommorow is infinitely better than today ;)

It's not going to work well in part because countless tens of millions of consumers (as opposed to citizens who might have had responsibilities and duties, some of which might have had something to do with prudence and earning one's own way), such as these parasites (most of whose "jobs" were to press the start button on trains that should have been fully automated decades ago), and the parasites in Detroit (where the "jobs" are, or were, to do assembly "work" that ought to have been fully automated decades ago), and on and on and on, have already gotten and spent their bailouts, in many cases several times over. The visible part of said bailouts includes countless trillions sunk into vast tracts of enormous houses "owned" by thick-witted, semi-educated drones who never could have earned them in a billion years, but were able to pay the mortgage out of a presumed perpetual and rapid increase in value - that pesky exponential yet again. The invisible part includes the countless trillions sunk into far-reaching infrastructure supporting all those unearned houses.

The Ponzi scheme was immensely popular for the decades it lasted, since as long as dimwitted consumers could use their houses as founts of free money, they certainly didn't care a fig what the big boyz did, or how rich they got doing it. Now, the party that was never to end may be doing just that, with the bills coming due. I expect the political enablers to put off the real reckoning until at least November 5, but beyond that ... ?

I disagree, and find this a bit superficial

The visible part of said bailouts includes countless trillions sunk into vast tracts of enormous houses "owned" by thick-witted, semi-educated drones who never could have earned them in a billion years....

The short-term winners in the Ponzi scheme were the "drones" in the banks that pushed this poison, the media hacks who made their careers touting it, the real estate agents in every little town in America who seemed to grow rich beyond their wildest dreams (even though they may have failed at every other endeavor they tried in the past)... and so on.

Yeast makes flour and water bubble up real good -- but it will collapse unless you bake it.

Now we are about to bake the bubble.

Spengler over at ATimes has a great piece on why Congress is going along with this -- it is because USA is not a nation of sheep, but rather a nation of addicted gamblers: E pluribus hokum or
When the gamblers bail out the casino

Paulson's dreadful scheme will become law, because Americans love their bankers. The bankers enable their collective gambling habit. Think of America as a town with one casino, in which the only economic activity is gambling. Most people lose, but the casino keeps lending them more money to play. Eventually, of course, the casino must go bankrupt. At this point, the townspeople people vote to tax themselves in order to bail out the casino. Collectively, the gamblers cannot help but lose; individually they nonetheless hope to win their way out of the hole.

Thanks for that link.

Cheers

Check out online reports of McCain being seen at the craps tables too many times.

I especially like the end of the Article:

Where, oh where, is America's Vladimir Putin, who will drive out the oligarchs who have stolen the country's treasure and debased its currency?

Ron Paul lost in the Republican primary election.

The End of the United States of America

What is outrageous, is they are proposing to give the financial institutions the power to run their own bailout and TAX(because that's what it is) the taxpayer to cover the bill, while taking away the right of Congress or the Supreme Court to challenge their actions.

Sec. 8. Review.
Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.

We are talking the wholesale gutting of the Constitution, the end of the seperation of powers, the end of self-government for the American people.

We are facing taxation without representation(one of the causes of the American Revolution), and the subjegation, the enslavement of the American people for generations to come, to pay a debt they did not incure, while handing the ultimate power to a ruling class.

This is not a bailout, this is a coup. It is the overthrow of the United States Government and the enslavement of it's people.

The easiest way to defeat this coup is to just say no to the bailout and let them fall under the weight of their own debt.

Will that happen? No, because they have already purchased the representatives of the American people, who will sell us all for 30 pieces of silver.

Sweet Jeebus, the whole country is about to get a Section 8. Lovely.

If one takes your post seriously then the possibility arises that the whole subprime fiasco was a planned strategy, designed to precipitate exactly these events.

Close. The initial plan of heavilly shorting the ABX index used to calculate mark-to-market valuations for MBS and MBS-backed CDOs was done to enable the easy takover of numerous mortgage companies, whose own stock was mercilessly shorted though naked shorting and through the use of the Options Market Maker's own "legal" ability to naked short. What wasn't planned was the quickly cascading effect on the whole financial system, which was already stressed do to high energy and commodity prices, and war. That's the synopsis. Oh, and I should certainly mention the do nothing SEC, which could have stopped the whole process if it had enforced its already existing regulations; so, there was certainly indirect collusion. And I would be very remiss to not mention the financial press's role in this, too. Especially thestreet.com, marketwatch, and CNNmoney, with help from Forbes, the Wall Street Journal, and many others. I know all this very well because I was an investor involved up to my eyes in REITs from 2001-2007 as it all unfolded. As events unfolded and we debated and discussed at the Yahoo Finance message board for NFI, I was among the first to call these financial pirates Financial Terrorists, and they are deserving of a pirate's or terrorist's fate. They already got their money out of me; they ain't gettin' another penny.

Where, oh where, is America's Vladimir Putin, who will drive out the oligarchs who have stolen the country's treasure and debased its currency?

"The only difference between the Republican and Democratic parties is the velocities with which their knees hit the floor when corporations knock on their door. That's the only difference." - Ralph Nader

Case in point: The last 7 days...

aaargh... This guy sometimes make so much sense its almost a crime. Will he concentrate his limited resources in states where a few votes could tip things to the Far Right yet again? If so, he's decided not to beat 'em but to join 'em in self-fulfilling prophecy land. The Right loves to wreck government using corporations and their cold money logic. Ralph loves to grandstand while watching them do it.

I'm in the UK. I don't know much about Nader. But, and I may get down-voted for this one, I've always wondered about Nader's true loyalties.

What he misses is that velocity matters.

Hey, he stole my line.

Dollars gone down considerably, Oils up 10 bucks and gold is soaring since last week at 910!

As of 1730 GMT, the Dow is down 230, 2%, and Nasdaq is down 58, 2.5%.

Market's down, dollar's down, oil's up, and gold's up.

Just another day at the bone yard.

Looks like oil is up limit at $123 & change. Time for a new poll?

another day, another poll :)

today, we just skipped the 102 and 112 polls alltogether

Any suggestions for a new poll? I'm thinking we need a wider range here...

A. The world economy will implode within the next 30 days.
B. The world economy will implode within the next 60 days.
C. Who cares? I'm already underwater...
D. Who cares? It's almost Winter and the SURF is going to get good...
E. Everybody knows oil is finite; whether it costs $30 or $300 a barrel, there won't be any for us...

You forgot

F. All of the above

G. The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) will produce a black hole that only swallows toxic debt.

G. The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) will produce a black hole that only swallows toxic debt.

But, they gotta fix it first. That is expected to take months. What we are more likely to get is a white hole that spits out an unlimited quantity of toxic debt.

Yes, we're seeing more volatility and we need a wider spread or the poll will be weekly. My suggestion: $100-200. Look at marginal costs of the most expensive barrels skidding to market as the bottom. I've argued that anything under 100 is artificial at this point. But with this latest bailout, US currency approaching a rapid descent changes the whole picture. 200 may be too low as an upper limit. We got a taste today and you only have to go back one day in the news to see how many experts got it wrong and got blind-sided by the bailout extravaganza. Maybe 100-250 would be better. That's for three months.

Yikes. $200 is a bit extreme, let alone $250.

The way the markets are, and the exchange rates, I reckon it is 50-50 on oil staying within the range of $1-$1,000 for the next six weeks until the US election.
No economy = no market for oil, but OTOH hyper-inflation in the dollar or a strike on Iran might put the price up considerably, until folk realise that they might not have an economy anymore.
The situation is clearer if we vote on what the price of oil will be in the Zimbabwean currency, as it is more predictable.

Well, I wouldn't be surprised if we are nearing the 'decoupling' of the dollar from oil. Are you ready to be further impoverished? Once the Euro (or other) becomes the currency for oil trading, the dollar and all dollar assets can take their place next to, or behind, other 'developing' or 'unraveling' countries, perhaps below Zimbabwean currency and assets. As for oil going above $200 in the next three months, "This is a big price tag because it's a big problem." Remember, there was a time when Good Germans found themselves carting wheelbarrows full of Deutchmarks to buy loaves of bread. $200 for 25,000 hours of human labor is dirt cheap. So, in the world of energy and entropy, oil is still being given away--and for increasingly-worthless paper! Buy your wheelbarrow NOW.

Anyone any idea how significant this is? It is clear it is bad for the dollar, and currency stability:

What was perhaps even more worrying for investors was an item in the small print of Hank Paulson’s rescue plan. It said that, separate to the $700bn markets rescue package, the US Treasury would plunder the Exchange Stabilisation Fund – the US currency reserves, established in the 1930s – in order to pay for an insurance scheme for the money markets.
“The Treasury has committed the nation’s FX reserves to supporting the money market industry,” said Chris Turner, head of foreign exchange strategy at ING. “That suggests to us that the dollar has fallen down the list of the administration’s priorities – a worrying development for foreign investors in the US.”

The fund’s cash is being funnelled into a new scheme designed to protect money market mutual funds, which mirrors the Federal Deposit Insurance scheme for consumers’ bank savings. “What worries us is that the US Treasury has committed the nation’s FX reserves at a time when the dollar is exceptionally vulnerable,” said Mr Turner.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/3062121/US-dollar-set-to-be...

I wish I knew more, trying to sort out what is going on in the financial markets if you are a neophyte is like trying to disentangle a particularly thick thieves' patois. But it is clear that the intention is to leave nothing unplundered.
I hear that the total value of 401's is around $3.7trn, so presumably that is next for lunch.

perhaps this would be about the right time Bush and co to announce the north american union, then switching to the new amero currency and at the same time introduce the rf-chip, aka real-id to the new union so as to know who is here.

by the way, i was talkng to fellow co-workers and mentioned what if
congress borrowed from your 401k for this bail out? and they said that would probably start the next revolution. as there would be riots in the streets.

there was talk of congress wanting to access to borrow from our 401k's in the early 90's. but never happened.

Actually they are already implementing the technology to chip you through your driver's license. That will be the day I start driving without a license.

Suggested new format:

"The front contract expired today, closing at $XXX. Within the next thirty days the trading range for the new front contract will be: +/-10%, +/-20%, +/-30%".

Interesting idea, but I don't want to stray too far from PG's format while he's away. Maybe for the next poll...

The new poll is up.

Hello VK,

I might also add that some people prefer to hug their bag of NPK, too:

http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/business/20080922-0429-fertiliser-out...
--------------------
Fertilizer prices stay high as supply lags demand

...“Because supply and demand fundamentals are so incredibly tight, supply and demand fundamentals are a much bigger factor than production costs,” Rabobank analyst Joost Hazelhoff said.
-------------------
We are evolved to sit in the dark, but starvation is the insurmountable hurdle [see Haiti, Zimbabwe, etc]. Even through great FF pricing volatility, but mostly upward, people continually place a premium on I-NPK by food purchases.

Too bad our tax dollars are not buying the stocks of agricultural companies, afterall, job specialization depends upon food surpluses and I-NPK is nothing more than transformed FFs. My speculative 'Federal Reserve Banks of I-NPK' could have gotten a tremendous $700 billion dollar boost.

My guess is many of the Banker Boyz are shifting some of their ill-gotten gains into I-NPK stocks. The last thing these people want to do is to actually have to manual labor in a field. They hope to make another financial killing plus achieve 'Elemental Control' [see prior discussion in archives] so that they can force us and our children to do the stoop labor instead.

"Make us your slaves--Just feed us!"

Just remember that a farmer will trade for either I-NPK and/or O-NPK as there are No Substitutes to these Elements to leverage photosynthesis above a Liebig Minimum. Recall that the original banks held grain, not electronic zeroes and one.

A crust of bread has incredible power politically embedded within-- recall Tadeusz Borowski, #119198.

Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?

Dollars gone down considerably, Oils up 10 bucks and gold is soaring since last week at 910!

If they are prevented from paying dividends and the equity is marked to zero, how do the banks get bailed out?

Is it going to cost money, sure.

But the losses already happened.

We can also leave them alone, and then the same losses have to be paid via recapitalizing FDIC when they blow all at once.

It's really not a question of spending the money, it's gone.
It's a question of giving one guy full authority to force mark to market right now and unwind, or letting it go to shit all at once.
The only fix is clarity and all cards open face on the table.

It is quite possible that what they intend to do is virtually identical to what Denninger is proposing.

The only additions to the bill should be ones clawing back bonuses paid to executives and employees of the banks that were based on false valuations. No recourse.

Force them to mark to market?! The agency being proposed is free to buy assets at whatever price it wants, and it sure as hell won't be fair market price. The purpose here isn't to force these institutions to take losses, it's to funnel them money.

A lot of people still don't get it. IMO this one is like the Iraq war-the politicians who are opposing this one (few in number) will be bragging about it for years, all the others will be saying they were misled. 7 trillion wouldn't be a surprise as the total taxpayer loss on this one.

I see flaws in your reasoning too, BMW.

There are two underlying problems here:

1) The people of the United States, cumulatively, in the past couple of years have consumed about 6.5% more than they have produced. But this is not something that happened overnight, it comes on top of almost three decades of consuming more than we produce.

2) As a result of decades of consuming more than we have produced, we have accumulated huge debts.

Firstly, I question your assertion that "in the end it is not the banks who get bailed out, it is actually the consumer, who will be again able to (at least this is the plan) to take loans and spend money on stupid things."

But even if your assertion is correct, are we to believe an appropriate response would be for us to support an expenditure of $700 billion of taxpayer money, including those taxpayers of us who do not over-consume, so the over-consumers can keep on over-consuming like there's no tommorrow?

Your argument is internally inconsistent. The solution proposed does not address the underlying problems.

Another thing, BMW. You paint with a rather broad brush when you use that word "consumer." Let's take a look at the numbers.

There are approximately 116 million households in the US.

Of those approximately 1/3 do not own their home. That means about 39 million households rent.

That leaves 2/3 who own their home, and of those approximately 1/3, or 26 million households, own their home outright--they owe nothing on their home.

I don't have any figures on this, but let me venture a wild guess and say that, of those who do have a mortgage, half are in good shape with their debt-to-equity and/or don't have any problems making their payments. That's another 26 million households.

So here's how it adds up:

People who rent--39 million
People who owe nothing on their home--26 million
People who are in good shape on their mortgage--26 million

Total "consumers" who would not benefit directly from the bailout--91 million

Total "consumers" who might benefit from the bailout--25 million

So tell me again, using your logic, why I and 78% of America's households that are fiscally sound should support this? It's not our responsibility to keep extending unlimited amounts of money to consumer junkies and their dealers and enablers (the banks), with absolutely no requirement that they curtail their addiction. Granted, maybe cold turkey isn't the best solution. But the solution proposed by the Bush administration? Give me a break!

Oh, but I forgot. "You're either with us or against us!"

Maybe I should put it again: I am absolutely against any bailout. I just want to rationalize it. It makes me sick as anyone else here that people who over indulge with their spending will be given another round of dope (and 80% of sound consumers will pay up). You have to agree though, that the society we have today is built around consumer. We can change that, of course, but until we absolutely have to, we probably will not. Of course one day the game will have to stop. I think that if you cut off that 25 million of crazy consumers, the world we know would change a lot. Not only for them, but also for other people, because their standard of living often is a function of disfunctional consumers spending.

IMO you are swallowing the bait by thinking that this is about the USA consumer-that is a side effect, collateral damage. The whole intent of the legislation is to directly transfer taxpayer money to connected insiders, thus Paulson's adamance that no oversight or limits can be placed on executive compensation or fees charged to the taxpayer.

Once a mortgage goes to foreclosure it is worth the auction value of the property behind it, the face value may be much higher as some homes were sold where the mortgage payments were more than double local area rents.

If the government gets toxic loans, it will need to set up an agency or trust to sell off the properties it takes in foreclosure. A glut of property on the market will drive prices down.

In 1989 the Feds formed the RTC to take over properties of banks and S&L's that went belly up after a lesser round of real estate speculation. There was a catchy phrase called "creative financing." It was like very little money down and easy credit terms. Easy come easy go.

Indeed, I don't even understand why executives should be compensated at all.

That just makes no sense to me at all.

If there is to be a bailout, with taxpayers money being used to releave troubled financial institutions from carrying distressed "toxic" CDOs, then isn't the fact that they can trade the toxic waste on their books for cash enough of a reward by itself?

Or am I understanding incorrectly that "compensation of executives" means that executives will personally receive big bonus payments under this program?

I really can't see how giving company execs big bonusses for screwing up in the first place makes any sense, or how it is going to help the situation.

If someone can make sense of this, please explain.

Corporate executives care more about how much money they can pocket than the stability of their companies. If the government buys the toxic loans, then the banks will receive large amounts of cash, more than the bad loans are worth. Without a restriction, the board of directors, composed of the executives, of the banks would use this money to give themselves billions of dollars in bonuses. These crooks feed themselves first, and it only makes sense to the greedy people receiving the bonuses.

By finding dupes to buy bankrupt notes the exec's can stay in business and continue their high-roller lifestyles. It is in effect saving their jobs. Those who are expert at bankrupting companies should not be given hundreds of billions more to play with. The investment banks that did not reach the brink of bankruptcy should be allowed to take over instead of notorious losers being given hundreds of billions in hard earned tax payer money.

There are approximately 116 million households in the US.

Of those approximately 1/3 do not own their home. That means about 39 million households rent.

That leaves 2/3 who own their home, and of those approximately 1/3, or 26 million households, own their home outright--they owe nothing on their home.

I don't have any figures on this, but let me venture a wild guess and say that, of those who do have a mortgage, half are in good shape with their debt-to-equity and/or don't have any problems making their payments. That's another 26 million households.

So here's how it adds up:

People who rent--39 million
People who owe nothing on their home--26 million
People who are in good shape on their mortgage--26 million

Total "consumers" who would not benefit directly from the bailout--91 million

Total "consumers" who might benefit from the bailout--25 million

I see some problems with the numbers, but this may be nitpicky.

I've heard that 33% of all residential RE is owned free and clear. That's a portion of the total 116M. Your numbers assume that none of the rental properties are owned outright. Conversely, they also assume that none of the rental properties are in arrears. I would think that straight rentals are irrelevant. The property they occupy must be owned by someone.

So, properties owned outright - ~39M.
Properties mortgaged - ~77M.

I don't think that a person's equity position in their home should matter. Can they make the payments is real question. Given that, data shows that only 6.41% of US mortgages are delinquent.

So, I'd estimate that only ~5M mortgage holders are in real trouble.

But the mortgage market is like the dehydration in the human body. You don't need to lose a big percentage before big problems occur.

But if we accept that the recession will become serious, then a lot more households will slip under the water. I can see why that isn't discussed; we're not allowed to draw conclusions that will lead to panic.

Look out for a new law to arrest anyone who tries to walk out on their now-federalized mortgage.

What recession? Dontchaknow the economy is basically sound?

Headline of the day from Bloomberg: U.S. Stocks Tumble on Concern Bailout Won't Stop Recession. I thought that was pretty funny on multiple levels.

Look out for a new law to arrest anyone who tries to walk out on their now-federalized mortgage

Like the laws promulgated at the tail-end of the Roman Empire which required agricultural workers to stay on the latifundia.

Will this new law become the basis of a new serfdom?

The way it should be, look at Europe, the RE loans are recourse.

They can work it off picking lettuce after the illegals are shipped home.

Did you calculate for people who had paid off their first mortgage but have a reverse mortgage?

Also, the averages say Americans move house something like once every 7 years, so that could mean that roughly 50% of them moved house in the last 3-1/2 years. This means your 'half in good shape' with their debt/equity might be too high since today minus 3.5 years is mid-bubble, not pre-bubble.

This is a in effect consumer society. In the end it is not the banks who get bailed out, it is actually the consumer, who will be again able to (at least this is the plan) to take loans and spend money on stupid things.

And without consumption various taxing schemes go south.

Not to mention that taking tax money (that would be American's money) and handing it off to others means that PART of that money leaves the US of A.

To 'chase' goods in other lands. Like, oh, say oil.

This won't start the banks lending again. There's nobody else left who's creditworthy enough to lend to, 'consumers' don't have the means of servicing any more debt.

All this seems to do is transfer money from the poor to the rich (via future tax obligations and inflation) before the whole thing collapses.

If a depression liquidates a large amount of debt the Gini coeffient will probably fall closer to 0 (perfect equality). Which it did during the Great Depression (see here).

I think the elite are trying to save their relative wealth, that's all.

So elites ceased to exist in 1929? I don't think so. Gini measures incomes, right?

Yes, Gini measures income and not wealth and - as you know - the elite didn't cease to exist, but their relative income did fall in the years after 1929. I'm sure they are opposed to that, and will do what they can to minimise the extent to which it happens this time.

Where does the treasury get this $700 billion from anyway? Doesn't it borrow it at interest (by issuing treasury bonds) from the same wealthy elite it is actually being given to?

It's perverse, and hardly anyone notices.

I kind of get the idea its just going to materialize, kind of like the money for the short term loans the Fed was giving at The Auction Facility that dematerializes when its paid back.

Somebody educate me.

In the end it is not the banks who get bailed out, it is actually the consumer, who will be again able to (at least this is the plan) to take loans and spend money on stupid things.

Are you joking? You actually believe this is going to benefit consumers? How do consumers benefit? Paying for the excesses of the elite? Watching our purchasing power shrink away to nothing? Having the gov't own our homes? Having to abandon god-knows-what present and future programs to service a debt that is not ours?

In the end it is not Paulson's and Bernanke's fault, the problem is that capitalism can't grow without limits, especially not when energy is becoming a problem.

Ah, yes, the problem wasn't Hitler, it was Nazism. The problem with Iraq isn't Bush and Cheney, it's fundamentalism and fanaticsm...

Unbelievable.

Cheers

Maybe you're right. I would be perfectly happy if the majority of banks go bankrupt (and hey, this is probably the outcome if they do nothing). But then - business die, real estate goes down, people lose jobs. How is this beneficial to the consumer?

If they ran the bail out in the same way as they did the RTC in the 80's, companies would have to go through bankruptcy, and the fat cats who have screwed things up would not remain in charge.
However, what the government did was to use taxpayers money to put liquidity into the system, so that overall people were able to get loans etc.
It is the difference between a perfectly reasonable plan to keep the economy collapsing, and the present scam which is a naked power grab, is entirely unconstitutional as it explicitly rejects the arbitration of the courts and which is solely for the benefit of the same criminals who have creamed off billions whilst wrecking the economy and people's lives.

What DM said, plus: A downturn can be recovered from, the destruction of a system cannot.

Cheers

Agreed. I couldn't understand one thing though, how much has Bush burnt in war against terror? It has to be much more than trillion, right? Taxpayers didn't mind that?

This 700b seem like a chump change (granted, it is 700b at any given moment...). In any case, I wonder if the care for taxpayers was on the same level back then.

how much has Bush burnt in war against terror? It has to be much more than trillion, right? Taxpayers didn't mind that?

Plenty of taxpayers minded. Its just that the pain of that spending was not in the here and now.

Don't forget nuclear space frisbees. The only logical counter force solution for nuclear space terrorists and their invisibility turbans. Cheap at $1 billion a copy. Whammo!

First, this isn't as simple as the dollar amounts. We are talking about fundamental changes to the way this nation is run, to the distribution of wealth, separation of powers...

And don't forget the cost of Iraq was supposed to be something like 50 billion. Had you told the taxpayers it would cost trillions,it would never have happened. (At least I'd like to think so...)

And,as you point out, the 700B isn't really going to be 700B. It will be trillions. The Keating 5 crap was supposed to cost 20 billion and cost 160 b.

Cheers

"The Keating 5 crap was supposed to cost 20 billion and cost 160 b."

oh yes, the keating 5, and who was that senator that was tangled up in the keating 5 ? hmmmmm.............. yea that white haired ex pow guy............damn i cant remember his name..........from that southwestern arid state ari........arizo....yes that's it :arizona but what was his name mc ???? mcgeaser yes i think that is it.

I would like to state that while I got suckered into thinking our actions in Afghanastan were OK, I NEVER was fooled into thinking that attacking IRAQ was a necessary or prudent action by any stretch of the means. I would like to think that there are plenty of others who didn't buy the lies of WMD's.

We were setting up to attack Afghanistan during the Clinton administration. Lots of military aid to the 'Stans to the north, and to Massoud in Afghanistan in his struggle against the Kaboul government.
9/11 happened the day after Massoud got taken out by Al Queda. In return the Taliban gave them sanctuary against the US response for 9/11. My sister pointed out that Massoud was the main supplier for heroin after the Taliban banned poppy production in 2000. Only Massoud's Panjsheer valley was still wall to wall poppies in 2001. She thinks the Mob financed 9/11. I think she's paranoid, but it is an odd coincidence. I've also noticed that the FBI is spending a lot of time and money chasing down and prosecuting retired Mafiosi.
Now poppies grow all over Afghanistan. I hear the poppy fields are quite pretty, row on row.

The good news is, peak oil is achieving what the war on drugs could not. Food is now so expensive that farmers are giving up on poppies and coca. There's better money in food.

The trillion we wasted then is a main cause of the trillion we must spend now.

How did Bush create support for his War on Everyone? He told us to keep shopping and forget about universal sacrifice.

How did Bush obtain tax revenue to pay for his War? Greenspan supercharged the economy via housing bubble, the government lied about CPI causing bracket creep, and foreign capitalists and states bought vast amounts of US debt to preserve the status quo.

What did the financial beneficiaries of the War invest in? Good question, but I bet in 2004-2007 real estate development, wacky derivatives and cheerleading mergers looked good.

What were the effects of the War? People rushed out to buy SUVs with low-interest loans and drove straight into the oil production plateau, sending prices skyrocketing, wiping out all these other scams to keep them spending.

There are many more ways that the War hurt us, but suffice it to say that future historians will draw a direct line from 9/11 to Iraq to the current crisis, by following the money.

But it isn't just $700b. That is just for the current package before congress. In the last month the US has put up $1.8 trillion.

See: A $1.8 Trillion Bailout: Where the Money's Going

And that just as of now.

I can not log into my Bank of America account this morning - should I be worried?

Francois

I had trouble logging into my bank account this weekend, too. I think it was just heavy traffic. I got in and got my transaction done, but it was really, really slow.

One of the talking heads on CNN said that they're seeing a lot more traffic on their investment web site. Nobody's withdrawing their money yet, but a lot of people are checking in, keeping on eye on it. Thinking about whether to panic and rush for the exits, I assume.

Actually the thing that caused the bankers to believe the end was nigh on Wednesday was a run on the money market funds. EVERYONE was pulling their funds out. People don't realize how close it actually came to a total crash. That said, The financial system did this to themselves and it needs to fail. Their sole purpose is to 'harvest' wealth from everyone else. Time for the subjugation to end.

Just a note...the money market funds that suffered huge outflows last week are not the same as the money market accounts most people have through their banks.

Definitely...why would they have a choice?

Isn't it a bailout...ie. here is money to save you -or- go bankrupt?

So is the other option that the banks are holding the government hostage...bail us out or we will crash the economy...and make it juicy.

Hmmm...looks possible.

(So is the other option that the banks are holding the government hostage...bail us out or we will crash the economy)

thats exactly how it looks. the banks are saying, pay us now this lump sum, or else the american people will suffer so badly, that they had wished they had payed us sooner.

far as I can see the banks are in a win win situation. either way they get their bailout money, they are going to either get it up front, or wait 10, 20 or 30 years of interest payments made back to them. which is where they would suffer the most. we the tax payers would actually suffer the most, it's just the banks would struggle a lot longer till its paid.

either way, it looks dire for the tax payer.
depression here we come.