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320 comments on DrumBeat: October 15, 2008
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I think most Americans don't realize how rapidly food security is about to crash onto the national stage for us too. World Food Day sounds like it belongs to far away starving people - but already the safety nets are crashing. One of my local food pantries has dropped back two days a week of distribution because there isn't enough food here - and we're right in the middle of harvest season. Meanwhile, demand has grown and grown and grown. With just over 1 in 10 Americans requiring food stamps, food stamps now operate as a basic subsidy in a nation where people can't afford to eat, pay for housing nad meet other needs.
The crash of oil prices has not been followed by a crash in food prices - unsurprisingly. It is worth remembering just how close we are to a food crisis here - and how many Americans are already having one.
Sharon
Sharon: I would very strongly advise communities everywhere to copy what my town has done. At our community garden, half of the plots are dedicated to food bank production. Students from a local college provide most of the volunteer labor to plant and tend them. This is not a full solution, but a very good first step.
I've actually never been to a community garden that didn't have a substantial portion of its plots devoted to local food banks, as well as plots in which low income households were enabled to grow their own. I agree with you that this helps, but we also need more community gardens, more gardens in general, better agricultural policies (right now, regional food banks are dependent on industrial agriculture and offer them tacit support, for fear that people will go hungry - setting agricultural activists and anti-poverty activists against each other on the subject of things like the farm bill, which is disastrous - we need not only more food for the poor, but better food policy so that there are fewer poor), more food and housing security (there is no incentive to plant gardens and fruit trees in houses you will be evicted from shortly) and a host of other major shifts. I know you know this, but it is worth re-articulating.
Food has got to get on the front burner, ahead of most other things. Because there are plenty of good mitigation strategies out there for transportation and a host of other things. But the only answer to the coming food crisis is radical transformation.
Sharon
You are absolutely right in my opinion. There is a problem, however, and that is that many of the people in need of food do not have the slightest idea of what to do with fresh produce.
Two generations of super-market food, agri-business, advertising, packaging, pre-prepared freezer food and a food stamp program that promotes all this (instead of the old commodities programs) -- plus, I imagine, growing homelessness which deprives people of cooking facilities has set the stage for a real disaster in the "developed" world.
NeverLNG, I agree with you. This is one of the reasons I argue that cooking the food may be more important than growing it - that is, we manifestly have a nation in which people go hungry because they can't cook cheap basic staples. Shifting diets radically and rapidly is going to be a huge social project - and it has to be undertaken, because hunger is already here and rising *FAST*.
Think about what icelanders will have to do if they are to eat the food they can produce locally, and perhaps what basics they can import. Cooking is one of those small things I mentioned in comments yesterday - and it is huge. The hand that stirs the pot, shapes the world.
Sharon
"This is one of the reasons I argue that cooking the food may be more important than growing it..."
Great point and this is where I am now putting my focus as it also addresses processing and preserving, a HUGE issue.
I am putting together a cook book of sorts called "The adventures of SOUPERMAN - or How to cook anything."
I encourage making intense soups, stews, sauces then put them up.
I can't tell you how many people have told me they never liked eggplant until they had my Ratatouille.
Hey Souperman,
Maybe you could put up a few web pages to sample? I love soup, but have to confess that it doesn't usually turn out when I start from scratch.
The CSA farm in my area has programs to teach people how to cook the vegetables they grow.
Yeah, it's kind of a lifestyle change, learning to plan meals ahead of time. I didn't have a clue when I picked up my first CSA box. Fortunately my Grandpa, who grew up in the depression, was able to help me out. I think a local depression era recipe book would be an excellent find.
While "traveling" we got a lot of boxes of mac n cheese from food banks. We had a little propane burner and we ate off frisbees in the park, then threw the frisbees. Those were good times. The other day I picked up a pre-packaged donation bag at the supermarket and guess what was in it, mac n cheese.
Akin to cooking and perhaps more important, is preservation. I mentioned a garden I grew this year in an earlier post -- since that post I've had additional harvest but I also purchased a nice rear-tine tiller off Craigslist for $350 so my net for this year is -$172.51, or +$621.89 if I depreciate my hard goods over 5 years at a simple rate of 20%/year.
These figures are a little misleading however, in that they represent what I produced rather than what I consumed. I planted too much summer-squash/zucchini ("soft squash" hereafter), and although I love this kind of veggie, the 55.454 kg was too much for me to deal with. I ate a pound a day for a month -- but gave away the lion's share. In the absence of significant cold storage, I just couldn't manage this volume.
In contrast, winter squash (65.978 kg), requires nothing but an unheated room (no canning, drying, freezing, or refrigerating) and as such, represents a much better investment despite its lower per unit value, e.g., the value of my soft squash was $140.15 while the value of the winter squash, despite greater production, was only $109.02.
Let me get a point here. Aside from losing knowledge about how to cook, knowing what to grow is also very important and I made some mistakes in my garden. Certain vegetables preserve well and produce a lot of food: winter squash for instance, but are rather cheap (lower profit). Other veggies such as snow peas have a high value (my 6107 g were worth $80.48), but are impossible to preserve in a low energy fashion (freezing is the only option and I'm not interested in that).
I think one of the factors working against effective local farming, is that the price of those vegetables which can be stored without resorting to massive energy usage (cold storage), are also the cheapest in the market. In my garden, about 1/6 of the space was devoted to winter squash, and 1/30th devoted to snow peas. I'll enjoy the winter squash for a few months now while the snow peas were a transient (but delightful) experience. Still, the snow peas were really good "money" makers.
It seems to me that in order to succeed in our current market situation, that a market garden would need to focus on high value produce -- most of which is hard to store without high energy usage. A different way to think about this, is that with our current pricing structure for vegetables, a market garden designed to provide luxury items might work, but one growing staples is likely to be a poor investment. Sadly, it is the production of staples that would make a real difference.
Maybe that explains why no one in praetzel's community garden wants to grow vegetables that can be stored.
I think most vegetables that are poor keepers, summer squash included, are fine candidates for dehydration. A car parked in the summer sun is a very effective solar dehydrator, IME.
All the squashes, especially zucchini, make fantastic marmalade (basically ad lemon, pectin, and sugar along with whatever seasonings like cinnamon that you like). It keeps forever if you do your canning right, and makes for good unusual gifts.
I've been dehydrating lots of veggies, and I tried dried zucchini -- it wasn't very good in dry form (sweet in an odd way) and I didn't like it rehydrated. There are some things that are really hard to preserve well.
As for marmalade --- what would I do with 100 lbs of it? I think a better idea is to cut way back on the number of soft squash plants for next year.
Grate the extra zucs, and freeze if you have space.. makes a great soup or stew thickener.
When I plan my garden for the next year (as I am starting to do today, as it happens), the first thing I do is to list all the crops that I know I can grow, plus maybe a few experiments, and my expected yields per square foot for each. Getting good yield data is difficult, but there are several cooperative extension websites online that have some data; with experience you can substitute your own data.
Next, I try to figure out how much of each crop we can use for the year. I break this down between what we will be consuming fresh per week on average for however many weeks we can stretch the season (and season extension is a VERY important issue - see Coleman's Four Season Harvest for ideas), and how much we will be consuming from storage each week on average for the rest of the year. I also make notes on my storage strategy for each crop. From the fresh and stored figures I determine the total amount that I need to grow for the year. Dividing by the yield per square foot determines how much garden space I need for each crop - as a first approximation, anyway. It gets more complicated for that for some crops. For example, for some vegetables like lettuce you should be able to grow two crops in the same space in succession, which halves the amount of space needed. For some crops you need to allow extra in case of poor germination, losses to pests or drought, etc. If you grow some crops in containers (as I do), then you need to come up with some sort of square footage figure for the containers.
Some of us don't have enough space to grow 100% of what we need. Thus, if you add up your required square footage and it is way more than what you have, then you are going to have to cut back and prioritize. As a general rule, my first priority is to cover as much as possible of my fresh vegetable needs in season, if the vegetables are not too difficult to grow and I'll be growing enough of them to make it worth my while. As for storage, things that are easy to store, or that will be difficult or expensive to get during the winter, are my next priorities. The relative dollar values of the crops are a consideration as well.
Once you have identified what you are going to grow and how many square feet to devote to each crop, then you can proceed to actually plan out your garden.
This is a lot of complicated work, but is the only way I know to avoid the "feast or famine" syndrome that is so typical amongst so many gardeners.
'the "feast or famine" syndrome'
I have found that the only way to have enough is to go for more than enough. Being a gardener rather than a farmer I feel free to give away or barter (informally) with the surplus.
"The price of good food is too high to buy it and too low to sell it." Store that comment with your other economic paradoxes.
Plant zucchinis in the shade, only thing I know that keeps them down to reasonable production levels.
That is in fact how horticultural societies (societies that don't grow crops like grain, that can be stored) do it. They share any surplus with friends and family, and trust that friends and family will share with them.
When you cannot store food, you bank your neighbors' good will instead.
To give an idea. In the community garden which my wife and I run:
2/3 of the people are transient - often Chinese grandparents who are visiting for most of a year to help their kids with new babies. Language problems are a real issue. How can you enforce garden rules when you can't communicate?
Just to be different, other community gardens in town have waiting lists.
Theft is an issue. At least yearly we have people who stop by and just start picking things. After all it's a "community" garden and that means that you can help yourself right?
A small fraction is always well meaning, but never ending talkers, who plant very little and are forever asking for advice about everything.
Another fraction is always taking whatever they can - using the walkways, stretching their garden every way possible.
We've tried to set odd plots and unused space for the Food Bank - but people who are assigned to weed and water it do nothing. Trying to deal with the Food Bank is another issue. Fresh Food!?? What's that? You try to drop it off, but the place is close; they're only open wierd hours or don't know how to handle food that isn't in a cardboard box. It makes us wonder if it's ever used.
Many couples new to the country come and plant gardens - bringing varieties (and pests) which we've never seen. Very few gardeners are WASP's as it were. This is also true of big parks in town - English is a rarely heard language on weekends when the rich white folk escape to where ever it is they go with their kids.
Rarely do people in our garden plant crops that can be stored. This year the Chinese went beserk with the tallest sunflowers I've ever seen. Now we've got stocks from hell that don't compost ....
Of course we can't have composters (pile or box) because they get stuffed full quickly of weeds and plastic bags of dog droppings and refuse.
I'm the only one who planted potatoes and carrots and few planted onions and only 3 plots planted corn. The coons got the corn (my "indian" corn was attacked last and I was forced to pick it before maturity). Rutabaga doesn't seem to mind the hard soil and loved our Square Food Garden.
The soil is clay crap and we're bringing in (at personal expense) a 22 yd truck of mushroom compost. My spidey senses are tingling - I'm going to have to distribute it and work it into the soil in all garden plots. People will buy bags of weed seed infested "black earth" bags, but trying to get a group (transient) to pay for a truckload of compost is nigh on impossible for us. For the curious that compost is around $5/ton and delivery is about 2/3 of the cost (22yds is around 20 tons). It's dirt cheap compared to any other compost or soil ammendments.
My expectation is that these gardens will be pillaged if times get tough. There is nobody there watching over them.
I expect that food growing will move closer to home ASAP when things get worse - taking over the front yard, sidewalks ... Seed saving will become the issue. I'm working on that with potatoes this year as spring supplies go in just a few days.
If I was buying another house I'd buy backing onto a park and extend the garden into the park (I've seen that many times - and the city will do nothing about it - even if they fence off the garden) or onto power lines (we have a CSA which has about 2 acres under cultivation - all in the powerline right of way).
Thanks for your post from the frontlines.
Your problems seem to mirror those of society.
Sorry to hear of your bad experiences. This points out that you can't just plop down a community garden anywhere and automatically expect success. We have a much better setup in my town.
-First, it is a small town and not a city. US cities come with horrible social pathologies these days, and living in them presents one with constant challenges & difficulties in so many different ways. I really don't have a good answer for that. Life is just a lot easier in small towns; we have our problems, but like our towns they are smaller in scale and thus more manageable.
- We actually have a couple of people "in charge" that are there on an almost daily basis, and there are frequently college kids working on the plots during the week. We are also located in an out-of-the-way location that most people have to go to some trouble to get to, so we don't really have the problem of people just happening by and deciding to help themselves.
- Our relationship with the food bank is formalized, not haphazard. Actually, we don't deliver food to them. Rather, their clients are given vouchers which entitles them to come to the community garden and to harvest from the plots dedicated to the food bank. There is usually some supervision there when this is going on. I would like to think there is a little bit of dignity built in there when they have to make the minimal effort of at least picking the produce, rather than having it just handed to them.
- We've got some pretty extensive composting operations. There have been some problems with the wrong stuff dumped into them, but proper signage is keeping that pretty much under control. We are fortunate in being located immediately adjacent to our local riding stables, so we get all the free horse manure that we want. The gardens are located on flood plain parkland, so the soil is pretty good. Being located next to a river (smallish, we're very close to the headwaters), we've also rigged up a pump and distribution system, and have a number of storage tanks located around the site. Thus, we also have free irrigation water.
It really is an ideal setup. I wish everyone had access to such a good arrangement.
That's true. Food pantries are really hurting, with increasing demand and falling donations. Last year, there was an article in the Boston Globe, about children who were malnourished in winter because their parents could not afford both food and heat.
But...we waste so much food. Studies in the UK show a heck of a lot of perfectly good food is thrown away, and I suspect the numbers are as bad or worse in the US.
Yes, one reason for declining donations to food pantries is an economy that encourages grocery stores to keep leaner inventories and to sell unsold goods to dollar stores and such. But another is a recent lawsuit, that claimed donated food caused people to get sick from eating it.
Stores can't sell or give away food that's past its sell-by date, even if it's perfectly good. They throw it away, and often pour bleach over it in the dumpster, so people can't eat it. Look in the bin behind a grocery store or restaurant - the food waste is incredible.
Leanan-- do you have a link for lawsuits such as you mentioned? Or is that just urban folklore?
I suspect that most of the food destruction by supermarkets is done more to keep prices up than to protect against lawsuits -- but I could be wrong
I looked it up once, and there was a lawsuit. IIRC, it was Safeway that was the store in question. If you're really dying to know, I'll try to find it again.
The bleach, I suspect, is simply because they don't want to attract homeless people. (And to be fair, foragers often do leave a big mess after rooting around in the dumpster.)
No, I'm not dying to know -- the world is bizarre enough as it is without knowing that the threat of lawsuits prevents distribution of left-over food. Clearly, we are also at Peak Liability.
On the other hand, I always try to accurately source anything I might pass on. There is a lot of urban folklore out there -- such as, that the poor are responsible for the mortgage meltdown because they should have known better than to sign those mortgages. Now we are to believe that litigious poor people are responsible for their own hunger?
I don't have a link NLNG but I do have friends who work at Walmart who have verified the liability issue. The folks who would dumpster dive for food in their bins wouldn't being buying inside any way for the most parts. They have actually been having meetings about locking the dumpsters. The legal reasons parallel the reasons for security fences around private pools. The common legal term is "an attractive nuisence". In other words, if Walmart throws away food items that would be desired by others, Walmart is responsible for any injury occuring by retrieving those items as well as consuming them.
It's really bizarre to imagine guards watching over dumpsters just so the lawyers have plausable deniability in future legal actions.
I doubt that any of the "divers" would actually file a lawsuit in case of injury-- for a whole lot of reasons. I can imagine an ambulance-chasing lawyer filing a lawsuit "on behalf" of divers, however.
I have briefly checked Google. Most of the "diving" lawsuits seem to be about theft of privileged information or theft of intellectual property, not injuries to hungry people looking for food.
"I doubt that any of the "divers" would actually file a lawsuit in case of injury-- for a whole lot of reasons."
I, too, am suspicious of the "fear of lawsuits" reason for preventing dumpster diving for food. Dumpster divers and "freecyclers" have evolved their own culture and mores for diving, such as leaving good finds you don't want on top for someone else, not creating a mess, etc. It's in their self-interest to avoid creating problems that would motivate grocery stores to lock dumpsters, pour bleach over food, etc.
lilith
I once had a job in the warehouse of a supermarket chain. The waste food was kept secure until the disposal van arrived. I was told this was because they would be held liable if anybody ate the food and got ill.
I can't find the link, but after WWII the Italian refugees would crowd the allied soldiers' dumpsites to pick at the food scraps. Soldiers would deliberately leave food on their trays to help them, but this incensed the brass, who ordered that the food waste be bulldozed into the dirt. The lasting image of the soldier who wrote the account was of a crying child being pulled out of the dump by MP's, clutching a dirt-covered crust of bread.
The difference between the truly rich and the rest of us is that the rich are willing to sacrifice their children for the sake of increasing wealth.
Maybe more like the truly rich will sacrifice your children to increase their wealth.
Well, they're sophisticated enough to have a Plan A and a Plan B.
What I have noticed more recently is more and more of what we once termed 'hobos' out on the roads and highways.
I suspect this is the underbelly of our countries misfits and those who just can't make it anymore. I see them sometimes lugging a plastic milk jug of water and a few small items on their backs.
More of them standing by the edge of the interstate with a cardboard sign.
I used to pick up hitchhikers long ago. I even hitched myself while in the Navy. Once all the way from LA to St. Louis..a long long trip. Got picked up by two gypsy women but thats another story. Back then one could almost trust hitchhikers. Now? No a chance.
I also see more younger people who have almost nothing working as farm hands on a temporary basis. They come by the farm shop , one guy walked there, and ask for jobs. The pay is really just enough to get by on. There are very few cushy jobs that pay decent out here in the outback-flyover. Poor guy got his clothes are greasy and black the very first day and yet wore the same dirty clothes all the rest of the week.
You want to see folks just getting by? Its those who didn't do well in school,lost construction jobs elsewhere,have no real skills, and are right on the very edge of going under.
High food prices? Not because of worker pay out here. IMO the food industry has gouged us unmercifully and continues to try to blame it on crop commodity costs.
Hey we are looking at 4 dollar corn out here. Not too far from the breakeven point.
I have given up the modest amount of time I used to spend helping farmers with their electronics and comm gear. The pay wasn't worth it. I now do it only for a favor returned when one is given. My time is too precious to spend for the payback in almost worthless currency.
The cost of living has increased rapidly yet farm hands have never seen their wages increase, or very little if any. We are talking $7 - $8 per hour. Basically I suppose what a burger flipper earns.
This country has been screwed into the ground by the wall street types who are now being bailed out with hardworking taxpayers money.
It sickens me to think of the ego and greed that has spawned in this nation. Who taught these ugly values to our younger generations?
I remember the 60's where our young people dreamed of 'living on the land'. I still have all those Mother Earth News magazines to tell me how once the young folks had real dreams. Now most perhaps dream of a crack pipe and a good line of coke. A trip to the casinos later. Some porno of a lazy afternoon on the net via YouTube or whatever else passes for excitement out in Drugville,USA ,which is now twisting in the wind and going over the hump for perhaps good.
A grassroots revolution was how I remember the mantra about the Internet. What then has it become but a merchandisers paradise?
A spammers delight. Phishers dreams of ripoffs. Pharmers run wild.
Netbot controllers wage battles. Indenity thiefs working the DNS servers to send you to makebelieve banking sites. (Poisoned Cache hack)..
Airdale
Pretty much agree, Airdale. However, I would beware excessive romanticism about the past.
A lot of the people I followed, and who followed me, "back to the land" were funded by family trusts and food stamps. They were gone when the money dried up, or when they got bored -- or when they finally landed a lucrative job in an investment bank.
I very much take umbrage to your characterization of the homeless as "the underbelly of our countries misfits." This sounds like something Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity or Bill O'Reilly would say.
With the current economic downturn there will be many more unfortunate souls who join the ranks of the homeless. And the social safety net in the United States has all but been dismantled.
I lived in downtown San Antonio some years back and the many homeless living on the streets became a "problem" because downtown SA is also a tourist destination. The city fathers began a program to systematically remove them. This caused a huge uproar from many of San Antonio's more compasionate citizenry. A huge public debate ensued and the end result was the city fathers ended up with egg all over their faces.
One of the things that came out then was that many of the homeless are not "misfits" or "the underbelly" but persons with mental or emotional problems. Under the "starve the beast" philosophy that has dominated our country's political scene for the past 35 years funding for mental institutions has been slashed, and many people who once had a place to live are now put out on the streets. Granted, this is just one facet of a very complex problem, but my point is that many of these homeless people are not on the street because they are "misfits" or refuse to work. Many, if not most, are unfortunate people with problems not of thier own making.
... and lest we forget:
http://www.cnn.com/2007/US/11/08/homeless.veterans/index.html
One of the principal mentors in my life, who was a petroleum engineer and a great oil man from the old school, told me the following story:
His father, who was a driller and therefore not one of the first to get laid off when the Great Depression struck, would frequently comment upon seeing healthy, grown men idling on street corners: "Why don't they get a job?"
And then his father lost his job. Only then did his father understand why they didn't "get a job".
That reminds me of what Dmitry Orlov says, "our american/capitalist culture robs poor people of their dignity."
I suspect we are all much closer to destitution than we realize sometimes - expecially during times like these.
My mother, who's 91 years old and will turn 92 the end of this month, always told me that 99% of Americans (including ourselves) were just two paychecks away from homelessness.
Having almost starved to death during the Great Depression, she always taught humility. She believed she was put on this earth to serve.
Her's was a great generation.
A story from Zimbabwe...
A man, dressed in a suit, sits in a large skip as rubbish-bins are emptied in around him. He sifts through the "fresh" supply, finds something he "likes", puts it in his mouth and eats.
There are other stories, of course. And they are all very sad.
Regards, Matt B
Yes. It's very easy to see negative things in the people at the bottom, many of these things quite real. And there are going to plenty of negative things in the next wave of people who join those at the bottom. And the next.
It's only when you and I fall to the bottom that we will have the truly flawless there. :)
I think you misconstrue the word ,misfits.
To me it means those who can't or won't play the yuppie game(for this age/generation).
Some have been released from mental institution's for the simple reason that they 'march to the tune of a different drummer'.
Remember the movie "One Flew Over the Cuckoos Nest"?
Back when I lived in Woodstock,NY(during the time of the festival) lots of hippies hitched rides. I always obliged.
NOW you might be picking up a guy who keeps body parts in his icebox.
Or someone lost on drugs and has bad communicable diseases.
Sorry for your sensitivity. Don't think we can afford it any longer the way things are going. It will soon be 'root hog or die' and then how will one classify those who come tramping down your lane? Those who wish to kill,rob and steal? Or someone looking for a handout?
No way to judge...not with the population and our culture of
'take all you can get, give nothing back'....(compliments of Johnny Depp and the Pirate flicks).
For me trying to live on what I personally grow and not asking for handouts ..will look with a very discerning eye those who would approach.
Airdale-"would you rather die with your boots on,or begging on your knees?"
(read that on some blog--but it made sorta sense..in a extreme doomerish manner
In the early eighties I lived in Central Louisiana. Pineville was the location of the state mental hospital. When the Reaganites gutted social programs, that had previously aided states providing mental health services, Louisiana (a poor state to begin with) closed down most of the hospital and most of the patients were evicted. Rather than putting them back on the street (where most of them had come from in the first place) officials in Louisiana instead bought them one way bus tickets to various cities in California.
California, now faced with intractable budget shortfalls, will have little room for social safety nets either. Ahnold, the Govenator, is trying to figure out how to sell bonds on future profits from lottery events to cover present shortfalls.
I vote in Nevada and this year there is a proposition to raise the sales tax to 9% 10% or 11% (depending on where you live). The government (already mandating across the board budget cuts of 30%)is reeling from lost gaming revenues. Las Vegas already has zero mental health and social services so where are they going to cut? The Potemkin Village is creaking under the pressure of "keeping up appearances".
Maybe it was to some extent Reagan, but the basic impetus behind the closure of the assylums was premised on liberating people who were not a threat for violence and was motivating by well meaning left wingers. Not a bad sentiment, but it has a considerable and continuing downside.
The liberals wanted to replace the asylums with half-way homes and assisted living. But the conservatives wanted to save money by closing the asylums and not redirect the spending elsewhere.
There is an assisted living home for about 11 mentally ill people two blocks down the street from me (1100 block of St. Andrew). Proud that my neighborhood accepts them :-)
Alan
Hi Alan. No argument from me that halfway houses are a better and more humane approach in many cases ... or that we would be better off as a society if that approach was more generally available.
However, the point remains that you can't keep someone in a halfway house for the mentally ill that is not a threat and does not want to be there.
The scads of Schitzophrenic and other patients who were put out onto the streets in the 1980s were not being liberated from a prison, they were non-swimmers who were dropped into the pool, and weren't even watched long enough to SEE if they'd float. It was tough love.. without the love.
"It was tough love.. without the love."
trickle down love ?
Your prediction of what the future holds speaks volumes about your world view. I deduce from your comments today and yesterday that you are very much a believer in "rugged individualism," the "imperial self" and what Jacob S. Hacker in The Great Risk Shift calls the "personal responsibility crusade."
Don't be surprised, however, if the nation does indeed fall upon extreme times, that things don't turn out quite like you prognosticate.
In fact, when the Great Depression struck, the mood of the country turned in just the opposite direction. Frederick Lewis Allen, in talking of the many affected by the depression, asked:
What they ended up believing is what he called the "religion of social consciousness":
The world you envision, however, sounds much more like this one:
The trick is discerning whether someone is resigned to the idea that we will go Medieval, not 1930s, or whether he is excitedly anticipating it.
Note that no one ever joined the Society for Creative Anachronism in order to play a serf.
Excellent point, super390.
I really hope you're right, but...
FBI: Justifiable homicides at highest in more than a decade
PostPeak, we, the taxpayers, cannot afford to spend millions like we did on the OJ Simpson and Scott Petersen murder trials.
The real problem is the increase in crime, I would say, rather than an increase in self-defense.
Here the police don't even respond or investigate crimes without assault -- no money, no officers, they say. Until a crime spree becomes newsworthy little effort is put into it. If you want to keep your stuff safe, you'll increasingly have to do it yourself as the police budgets get smaller and the crime levels rise.
All was not sweetness & light in the 30s. Attacks on "hobo camps" were commonplace. Some of them were quite violent. Many towns had signs that read, "If you're unemployed, keep moving. We can't take care of our own." I think what happened in the depression was that most people became more generous towards whatever they viewed as their "community" and much more ruthless towards outsiders.
Yes, but lots of people from those times have stories of people frequently showing up at the back door asking for food. Most people were good hearted enough to give them what they could. The thing is, helping ONE person is not that much of a burden, but helping LARGE NUMBERS of them is something else. It was when groups of dozens or more of unemployed started coming to towns every day that those signs started going up.
Down South,
I don't think you have a clue as to what my mindset is or what type of world I might 'envison'.
And I never did get into the Political Correctedness thing.
I post here what I observe in my world. Here in the flyover of Kentucky in a very rural area where I was born and raised. You can call it misguided or lies or whatever.
I was alive when the depression had devastated this country. I remember being slapped silly for not eating a whole slice of bread but discarding a portion of that slice. I remember hard times. I remember WWII.
I am not bragging.I was there.I lived it.You don't need to be telling me anything or assuming whatver you like. My brother and I had to beg for food or steal it during one sojourn in the bowels of St.Louis down in the seedy run down section of Chouteau Ave. All the while my mother was drinking and screwing and starving us to death.All the time my father and his 5 brothers were fighting for their lives overseas serving this country.
It was a relief to return to the farm.I vowed to never live in the filth and degradation of city life again.
Airdale
You made it through - and you prospered. Not only in the material sense - but you've learned a lot and have a lot to share.
I eagerly read your posts - I value your insight. What you have built/are building is what I want to create for my family. I also follow Sharon's posts avidly.
I only hope I can maintain the dogged determinism required to push my vision forward.
Regards from a fellow doomer
Al
Thanks Alakazaam,
Yes I did learn a lot. Here is how.
WIth all the able bodied men gone to war(WWII) all that were left were the ''oldtimers'. My grandpa mostly but others who I lived with as my brother and I were passed around a bit from time to time.
These 'oldtimers' became my role models. They were the salt of the earth. There 'word' was quite literally their 'bond'. If they said they would do something...then they actually did it. They never lied or played gamesmanship.
So I grew up in their molds.
I learned a lot from watching them. I never forgot those lessons.
I live that way myself,,as much as I possibly can.
Now I live alone. Wife refuses to live on the farm. Children prefer the 'burbs or a condo. Just me and my Jack Russells here.
I haven't a lot longer to live on this earth. Just survived kidney cancer and clean but I hold everyday I have to be worthy and I try to do the right thing ifn I can. Sometimes failing.
Its sounds trite but it gets me thru.That and kneeling in the good rich dirt of my garden or walking my woods.
Airdale-singing that old man's praises and the granmama who stood resolute by his side and never ever once bad-mouthed him...who cared for us when everyone else was too busy to care..and I minded that they had already raised 14 children on that 100 acre farm..
PS.People like that are not being made anymore these days I fear.
Airdale My father grew up in the Ozarks, the Missouri-Arkansas border, before the Depression. From his stories, it was just as rough in the preceding times. Mother dead shortly after his birth, no paying work, hauling firewood with goats because it was the only livestock most folks could afford. I visited that country long time ago, but recall it was beautiful, Merrimac? Springs esp. Huge freshwater spring, clear as a bell.
Hello Doug Fir,
Your Quote:"..hauling firewood with goats because it was the only livestock most folks could afford."
Compare with my earlier Zimbabwe photo of the worker moving 100+ pounds of firewood balanced on his head! Hopefully we 'Murkans are smart enough not to fall all the way back to TopTODer's HO keypost on the Nuahtl Tlameme transport scheme-->SpiderWebRiding anyone?
Hello, anybody there from Govt & Industry? Hello?!?...
Dallas did something similar, some years back, just before a big national political convention (don't recall which party now). Gotta make sure the city is "attractive" to all those folks from out of town, you know.
New Orleans opened the Riverfront Streetcar Line for the 1988 Republican Convention. I know one of the guys that worked 26 hours straight to make it happen on time.
A "poor boy" line at first (single track, using existing RR ROW (Port of New Orleans Public Belt RR) and used cars). Now rebuilt to a proper double track line, seven "Built in New Orleans" streetcars with wheelchair lifts and connected to the Canal Streetcar Line.
Best Hopes for Urban Rail,
Alan
New Orleans was able to house two large homeless camps; one in front of City Hall and the other under the I-10.
A very close friend was one of two psychiatrists that came up with, and implemented ,an innovative approach.
They would spend 2 to 3 hours with one homeless person, diagnose them and develop a treatment plan, and "get them into the system" (the city and State# recognized our mental health crisis) and then do a half hour follow-up.
After years of effort by these two (plus a couple of others), the majority of the homeless mentally ill in New Orleans are now sheltered and receiving treatment.
I cannot express how proud I am of her :-)
Best Hopes for those that try, regardless of the odds !
Alan
# Gov. Jindal made "the mental health crisis in New Orleans" one of his 4 priorities in his first legislative session.
I used to work with a street patrol run out of Anishnabe Health in Toronto, basically a soup kitchen and first aid/medical care on wheels for the homeless. We could get abuse from cops and passerbys for what we were doing. I was nearby hit by an irate thug who was furious that i was wasting his, the taxpayers' money (if so I'm a taxpayer too and our budget was peanuts). I used to tell people that we are all only one car accident with a head injury away from being homeless. That's in Canada that has a social net that's being worn away, best I can tell, in the US, most of the social safety net is gone.
New Orleans has two policemen dedicated to the homeless. Basically good guys, sympathetic (but one always gets near the front of the line when food is handed out, doing "quality control". I think it is useful to connect by being in the same line, joking with the guys and gals, eating the same food).
Too many people have suffered too much, the homeless are not seen as being so distant and the "other".
Best Hopes,
Alan
According to a NY Times story today:
Interesting times we're living in. Residential real estate prices are down. Equities prices are down. Oil price is down. But the prices of most other things are up.
So do we have inflation? Or do we have deflation?
Things just keep getting curiouser and curiouser.
I think we have rising food prices and deflation, which is a very scary situation. Rising food prices can't compensate for the loss of money in the total economy, so we have deflation, but people aren't finding it easier to eat, but harder.
As Airdale points out, food prices for farmers aren't rising, particularly given the high price of inputs. And that is likely to lead to less food, not more - in the poor world, that's already happening, fields aren't being planted because people can't afford it.
I suspect it will happen here too.
Leanan, I agree there is a lot of waste - but food waste is one of those things that is likely not to decline that much in a Depression - we may find people allowing the hungry to eat expired canned goods, but there will be fewer canned goods going around, while more fields sit empty or aren't harvested and food is lost to lack of refrigeration by those who can't afford it or those who experience power losses. I really recommend everyone read this (I only wrote a bit of it, most of it is an excerpt from testimony given to congress about the food situation during the Great Depression).
http://sharonastyk.com/2008/10/05/the-great-depression-the-credit-crisis...
I agree that strategies for reducing food waste are important - but I also think that the forces working to increase waste will be powerful, between people's ignorance at how to handle food without energy to varieties not bred for a low energy society to transport loss, etc... I am all for the reduction of waste where it is possible, but I doubt that most of the major gains in food security will be had there.
Sharon
Disclosure: I'm no vegan activist!
But people in other countries do naturally consume less meat as they slip into poverty, and that alone will free up enormous food resources for the hominids.
But the US is in a unique and unenviable position, given the orgy of waste that we've been living through for the past half-century. Our ag system is so dysfunctional now that half the people are overweight while a growing minority is hungry; primary producers are perpetually hanging on by their fingernails while ADM and Monsanto expand mightily; and a serving of red meat may be cheaper than one of fresh vegetables.
Who here in the US is going to give up their Mickey D's for a bowl o' rice and a can o' beans? People under stress go for comfort foods, whatever that means to them. If you think it's hard to pry folks out of their SUV's, try to get them to change their diets for the better.
Part of the problem is that we subsidize things like corn which goes into high fructose corn syrup while we do not subsidize healthy fruits and vegetables. The nutrient dense stuff is cheaper. Quit subsidizing anything unless we give equal subsidies to everything.
I try every day, with limited success. People think the cure for diabetes is a good insurance plan that will allow you to buy Januvia. Not eating better and getting out for a walk now and then.
Why get all worked up over the food crisis? I gave up trying to teach people to farm several years ago. People are 1. lazy and 2. prolific breeders. I put all the time and effort into creating a farm for myself years ago. Everyone else is on their own. Mr. Malthus is waiting patiently to thin out the herd.
There is about a 5-6 month lag between raw food input prices and prices in grocery stores and restaurants - remember early this year grain prices were flying but prices in stores were not going up? but then they did this summer? Minneapolis wheat was at $25 per bushel and now below $6. corn dropped more than half etc. - in a few months food prices will come down sharply, and probably with less options availabile...
It's a double edged sword, like oil prices.
High food prices are perhaps the only way to get folks to stop taking it for granted, to develop backyard gardens.
And everyone can get angry at the $4 box of cereal and the $4 bu of corn. Hard to afford to buy, hard to break even producing. It takes so much effort and work to produce good food, but no one wants to pay for it. One casualty, at least temporarily, I forsee is the local farmers markets. Fewer will want to pay that premium.
Putting myself through school, no loans, I learned in a hurry about dumpster diving, of getting so angry walking the unaffordable meat and cheese aisles of the grocery store. But it helped reinforce my aversion to waste, especially of food. Like getting off oil, this won't be painless, but it is necessary.
A WSJ story about UK food prices:
U.K.'s Rising Food Prices Hamper Economic Policy
Here's a local story I heard at a county Health Action meeting about one family's response to high food prices.
A 12 year old girl came to the local Boys and Girls Club to receive some of the charitable distribution of fresh fruit. They passed a plate of cut-up fruit around, but when it came to her, she held onto it. When asked to pass it on, she said, no, she needed it all. She said she never had breakfast or lunch. Every day, however, one of her parents would take her to McD's on the way home from school and get her a Big Mac and maybe some fries and a drink. That was her daily diet.
How do we meet these kinds of needs and take these non-solutions "off the table"?
Yikes. Wasn't she eligible for lunch and/or breakfast at school?
I wish I knew more details of the story. But it makes my mind spin about how we can make ends meet as a community. This Saturday our group, Transition Cotati, is holding a meeting to get action groups going. The economy and food loom large in people's minds, especially now. I hope we get a great turn-out and consolidate energy on moving into solutions. An ongoing quandary is how best to connect with the more disadvantaged in our town.
Hard to reply to such a story, for even if it's unsubstantiated, we know the truth of the story is out there. The images of famine throughout the world come to mind. Of the many possible replies-idiotic parents, misplaced priorities, causes of poverty, self-serving officials, etc, none seem to answer your question, paraphrasing, "What have we done?"
We all know the problems-overpopulation, greed, kamikaze governments, and on and on and on. Hoping not to sound too callous, knowing most of us could never refuse the girl pleading on our doorstep, we are able to intellectualize the abstract and dismiss it. There is a survival value in that. Much as being instructed to don your oxygen mask first during a flight malfunction as the only way to ensure other's safety, we should ensure that food by placing sufficient value on it. Something which your time and efforts, I would argue, help.
Where this falls apart, as I've written here- http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3652, is with climate change. We can run from or fight an advancing waterfront, but very few of us, even those hunkered down in peak oil "refuges", can handle the impact of shifting precipitation patterns. Grain belts are a fragile thing. And that is only the beginning. James Lovelock, whom I consider one of the true visionaries of our time, sees only encampments at the poles by the end of the century. I hope he is wrong.
"James Lovelock, whom I consider one of the true visionaries of our time, sees only encampments at the poles by the end of the century. I hope he is wrong."
At "one of the poles", surely!
Correct. no "s" above. Arctic to be precise.
I would have thought that parts of Antarctica, southern South America (see Andes mountains) and perhaps South Island New Zealand + Tasmania would be habitable in AGW gone wild.
Alan
Alan,
Lovelock's quote is "billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic where the climate remains tolerable" by the end of the 21st century. Does not preclude your statement, but that is the oft cited quote.
For a recent short bio, see:
http://solar-wind-power.org/climate-change/2007/10/the-prophet-of-climat...
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/16956300/the_prophet_of_clima...
or the wiki entry:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Lovelock
"the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic" makes a good soundbite but is more rhetorical, it can't be what he really meant. The habitable parts would be North and South polar regions. Not at the North Pole as it will be water, but the Arctic circle. Clearly there is room for more than a few pairs of people, but his message is that the existing temperate zones will disappear, causing massive dislocation.
Lovelock's predictions are extreme and not currently scientifically justifiable, because we cannot yet accurately predict what will happen. It's a plausible scenario, since it has happened before in Earth's history.
More interesting I find Lovelock's comments about "tipping point" being misleading. He says the IPCC gives the impression that the tipping point is yet to be reached, and the problem is still fixable. Lovelock thinks we are already past that and are inexorably sliding down a slope. While the slope is currently shallow, we have no way of getting back up the slope. We may have initiated GW but we are now largely powerless to change it's course.
There are store brands of cereal selling for about $2 a pound, and some unadvertised brands at about the same price. Those are the ones we buy, when we want cereal. Mostly we use a store brand of bread that costs $1.70 for 20 ounces -- bread is just another form of cereal after all. I don't know how Kelloggs and General Mills manage to move their high-priced over-sweetened products -- advertising, probably. And the consumer pays for the ads.
I buy Post Raisin Bran, relatively healthy and slightly over 10 cents/ounce in the 25 oz box. I like the taste as well :-)
Alan
At $4.00/bu there's about a nickle's worth of corn in a box of corn flakes.
There's probably about $0.20 worth of diesel in the transport.
How much worth of sugar is there in a box of corn flakes?
Food is used for survival. People need to eat in order to stay alive. People eat when they are hungry. I expect over 90% of the people out there will agree with that.
Food is also used as a palliative, as a drug. People eat to feel better, for comfort, to provide a back-end solution to mental or emotional anguish, for problem generated generated from the bottom-up by lifestyle.
I would propose that most of the wasted food was wasted as a result of eating for comfort, and not eating for survival.
To solve the food-wasting problem, then, requires addressing the myriad lifestyle choices which lead to the need for the prevalent use of food as a drug. Things like stressful jobs, poor social skills, lack of community, little exercise, not enough sunlight, and bad sleeping habits, to name a few.
If we are unwilling or unable to address the problem's systemic causes, then we will instead push the problem into another area by finding other drugs people can use instead of food. Cigarettes, sex, church, pot, alcohol, and various entheogens are some available substitutes.
Failure to find suitable substitutes for food as a drug will yield a faster, sooner, more widespread food crisis.
For this reason, maybe we can investigate decriminalization of various "hard" drugs, to say nothing of the effect this would have on decreasing drug-related violence.
Firstly, I don't always eat when I'm hungry but often at the time when I'm at home so I can cook or when the people I want the company of want to eat. I think there has been some degree of people "eating when convenient" since the development of cheap clocks (since they corresponded to people starting to be paid for hours worked rather than job done).
I don't know about in the US, but I think a big part of the food wastage in the UK is "not eating enough": people buy what they think they'll eat at the supermarket and then don't finish the prepackaged portion and throw the rest away and have food that goes out of date/mouldy and gets thrown out. Ironically I probably waste less food (directly at least) than my parents partly because I live five minutes walk from a tiny inner city supermarket whilst they live in the suburbs. So they tend to do "the weekly shop" at a big store and buy things "in case" whereas because I know I can buy whatever I want immediately if the urge takes me, I can afford to wait until an urge does actually take me.
Dealing with food wastage (in the short term) is probably best tackled by working on people's planning skills and encouraging local stores.
Sharon,
I really believe this is the most important statement. The first step has to be for people to fully accept that the reality they knew and believed in no longer exists. And, further, is never coming back. Yes, growing a garden is valuable but I believe it has to be done within the context of a permanent necessity rather than a temporary action or hobby while waiting for the good times to return.
My reason for saying this is that it (food production) will require actual diligence. A "Whoops moment" could now result in going hungry. That is far different then shrugging off the wormy tomatoes in the past reality.
But, of course, as we all know, the new reality means that nothing is the same. Living in the old paradigm won't hack it.
Todd
Thoreau,
Whom someone bashed on a DB a day or so ago, spoke this way:
Clothes are to preserve body heat.
A habitat is used to alter outdoor weather.
A fire does the same by making it like summer.
Food does aught but create body heat.
All things revolve then around FOOD, and the rest is just to make it last or preserve the heat of the body. However out current culture uses it as a drug or addiction.
They would not be able to understand Thoreau's exposition.
Without food all the rest is just gilding the lily.
We have zero concern for out foodstuffs currently.
All that is about to rapidly change..IMO of course.
Those who grow food,and covet it are very aware of the work involved but its really what man was created for...(if you believe so)...to tend the Garden...know as Pardes. Actually produce from trees(the orchard) but with the downfall then the soil was where man obtained his needs ..needed body heat.
YVMD(your views may differ) and most likely do. I find some solace in the bible more of late than previously..and study it in Hebrew...slowlllyyyyyy
Airdale