The Baltic Dry Index is "…an assessment of the price of moving the major raw materials by sea. Taking in 26 shipping routes measured on a timecharter and voyage basis, the index covers Supramax, Panamax, and Capesize dry bulk carriers carrying a range of commodities including coal, iron ore and grain"

It also means that it does in part reflect the price of fuel (operating costs), which was at an all-time high in July. However I'm experiencing first hand the cargo market is weakening, especially for container feeders. I work for a crewing agency, furnishing shipowners with full crew services, which included flying seamen around the globe.

I remember reading last year, when the Baltic Dry Index was at its peak, that the shipping industry was fearing overcapacity, as lots of ships have been built recently. Shipyards had months or years of waiting lists.

Now with the drop in demand for shipped goods (oil, ore, Chinese toys,...) and the lack of credit for buying shipped goods, there is an over-overcapacity of ships.

Add the drop in fuel prices, and shipping prices are falling like lead in water.