Ambrose Evans from the Telegraph makes Nouriel Roubini look plain optimistic...

Ambrose Evans is retarded-this is a mirror image of the insane housing bubble. Look, if the US dollar is so fundamentally strong because of the "reverse carry trade" and "dollar hegemony" has returned, Obama shouldn't plan on a 1-2 trillion dollar deficit next year-go big-why not 5-10 trillion. Obviously, permanently the USA has discovered a way to turn water into wine-mathematics has been overruled-just make every USA citizen a millionaire and your economy will boom.

Ambrose Evans is the closest thing the establishment allows
to reality.

Iceland's just the first in the long line of sovereign default
nations that are really colonies of NATO, which is just
an umbrella(shell corporation) holding company for our colonies.

Russia has all but taken the major naval base away from us there.

and this is just the first. It's how empires pay their debts.
they trade away colonies. Taiwan's next. I bet the US asks
permission before transiting the Taiwan Straits now.

Mac, you need to stop talking nonsense if you wish to be taken seriously. NATO is an organization, not a government, corporation or a company. They have Member Nations not colonies. And they did not "trade away" Iceland to help pay its debts? How much do you think they got for Iceland anyway? How much will they get for Taiwan, enough to finish paying all its debts? I don't think so because Taiwan is not a member of NATO and Iceland is STILL a member of NATO.

Dar,

You need to really point out where I've been fundamentally wrong since Katrina.

Let's move to the strategic. Answer me this.

Do you really think that the US is not the Greatest Empire the World has ever known?

"And they did not "trade away" Iceland to help pay its debts?"

And you need to get that sentence correct.
Like this:

Iceland was abandoned bt the NATO countries when it defaulted.
Russia stepped in with the loan. Only then did the IMF(US out of $$$)
step in.

"How much do you think they got for Iceland anyway?"

The US "got" the ability to keep what it already had. How much for Taiwan? How about we get to keep one of our vehicle manufacturers.

China's not interested in destroying our military. They want to own it.

Note how no one's talking about china defaulting on anything.

I think I noted that NATO was a shell corp for the holdings in it's sphere of influence. Japan would be our "shell" in Asia.
But they want to own us too BTW.

"Iceland is STILL a member of NATO." We'll see. Hungary/the Ukraine
default in the next week or so.

We still haven't understod how costly our Georgian Fiasco of 080808
was.

NATO or gas. Pick One. Before Winter.

Except the Russian loan did not or at least has not yet happened. Iceland has gotten money from Norway and the IMF and I believe that they're talking to Sweden.

The deal was never actually announced, only that the two countries were discussing it. I can think of many reasons for Putin to decide the deal wasn't worth it. Iceland's finances were likely worse than he was led to believe, he's spent several tens of billions recently propping up his own economy, and it was a Naval _Air_ base whereas a naval _ship_ base would be much better for him, but he'd have to spend serious cash to build it.

BTW I'm not claiming that the Russian economy is about to tank or any such. He has still spent much more propping it up than was ever discussed for Iceland.

Hello Richard,

Nebulous describes it. We're only seeing the smoke.

Russia and the US should be in alliance.

... make every USA citizen a millionaire and your economy will boom.

I've already picked out the color of my Ferrari!

Gail sez:

This destructive cycle (the flight to dollars) will not continue indefinitely. At some point, central banks will sell US dollars, to try to get currencies more in sync.

As Brian T sez, it's another US- Treasury/Fed- generated 'investment' bubble ... so that won't work.

Hedge funds may begin to (will) fail, as the value of the assets sold is insufficient to cover the debt supporting the assets. Also, it is not clear that the US can continue indefinitely as the source of safety. The US will be issuing many billion dollars of debt to pay for all of the bailouts. At some point, it may be difficult to find buyers for all the debt.

In the financial world, every evanescent money phenomenon is marketed as a long term change in fortunes. Internet businesses will put 'brick and mortar' stores out of business ... forever. Real estate will 'go up' ... forever'. Oil prices will soon be over $300 a barrel and gold has no upper limit ... forever!

Meanwhile, back at the ranch, the US economy is shrinking to a level relative to 'hard' capital; the nominal (cash) trade and government deficits are set to explode along with undeterminable unfunded liabilities; economic decision making is concentrating in the hands of fewer ... who are incompetents or criminals; administrative (discount) rates are set below the level of inflation and jobs are being shed by the tens of thousands, reducing both business and government revenue and driving the deflation cycle forward.

Obviously, the dollars is and will be strong ... forever! Why didn't I think of that? (Slaps self on side of head!)

The Treasury would like to see all the worlds' assets traded for dollars so it can sell it's vast amount of toxic debt into the dollar market. In that sense the Chinese State Newspaper mentioned in the main article is correct ... only for today. Tomorrow is another story.

Nobody can create debt to sell like the United States Government. Right now at the Treasury Department, there is an intern in a Ramones tee shirt slouched in a back room - not far from the loading dock - with laptop in lap and finger poised;

"How many zeros you want after that number, Boss?"

$9,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ...

Following the script as it has played out so far, as soon as the dollar reaches a level where people on the street who know and care little about such things remark about the dollar's strength in casual conversation ... the Treasury will dump and the whole bubble will deflate with a whoosh.

I know that, Gail the Actuary knows that, the Chinese know that ... the Treasury HAS to know that ... right?

Will this be the 'last bubble'? I don't know!!! I thought the Fannie/Freddie bailout was the 'last bailout'. I was so wrong!

The potential for greater bubbles is only dependent on how effectively fear can be monetized. The fear of losing all; 'Double or Nothing!'

'Double or nothing, again!' It's only Monopoly money, after all. Other peoples' Monopoly money.

Lessee .... Dot Com Stocks ... residential real estate ... commodities ... now US dollar. Each bubble coming harder and faster on the heels of the last, faster and faster ... so fast it's hard to keep track ... each crashing in turn. Obviously an endgame of sorts to the unlimited- credit money policy - it has to be! The cycle is faster, more destructive bubbles. These bubbles are having greater significance overseas; bad real estate loans brought the banking system to its knees worldwide, the commodities bubble put millions on the edge of starvation. What happens next? There are too many nukes and Kalashnikovs ... out in the great world to be gambling so recklessly ... like idiots.

Ironically, if the US cancelled the banking bailouts, negotiated its debt with overseas creditors, decentralized business and cut its umbilical to the national till, encouraged organized labor, rationed fuel and energy, put limits on entitlements and announced a multi- trillion dollar energy and transport infrastructure upgrade ... the dollar would tank. People love the fantasy that endless money growth will make us all winners in the economic lottery.

When the Ferrari bubble hits, I'm ready.

... now US dollar. Each bubble coming harder and faster on the heels of the last, faster and faster

Or, based on Evans' article, was the Euro a bubble? It changes so fast, it's hard to keep up. For now, I'm bearish on the Euro, but that could change in a few months.

Maybe the World cannot pay its debt. Then, inflation.

Regarding the enigma of when the dollar will finally succumb to financial reality, perhaps Minyanville.com's Mr. T Gold Indicator gives us a clue:

In a stunning development, the Minyanville Mr. T Gold Indicator has formed a rare double sell signal on the chart. [snip]

Why? How could this happen? Quit your jibba jabba and we'll tell you.

The first signal was generated when Mr. T began appearing in a national television spot for the World of Warcraft video game. [snip]

The second signal, formerly called the Hindenberg Omen until we realized there was another indicator already called the Hindenberg Omen, is now known as a Romney Retracement Parable. The Romney Retracement Parable occurred yesterday when gold bounced after the initial move down created by the World of Warcraft spots, but quickly collapsed after the following exchange between Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and CNN's Wolf Blitzer . . .

Gold was $850 when this indicator flashed its warning and is bouncing around now in the low $700s. Based on the phenomenal success of the Mr. T's Gold Indicator, I propose the Supermodel Dollar Indicator. When supermodels begin demanding payment in dollars . . . SELL!!!

Full explanation of the Mr. T Gold Indicator here: http://www.minyanville.com/articles/index.php?a=15012

fat_tail_rider

hmm... I don't know, I find this article very British-centric but it's maybe me, I've read plenty of articles like that before the current crisis defending the British decision not to accept the Euro.