191 comments on Jay Hanson and Warsocialism.com
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191 comments on Jay Hanson and Warsocialism.com
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For the record, I have pushed him several times to do a TV or radio interview and he always declined. I think he senses it can't hurt and might help to do so at this point. And in the end it's hard to be happy without a tribe
And your point is noted. What ARE the reasons any of us do anything? Why do I continue to spend time on TOD? It's a complicated answer, and I suspect 50%+ of my motives are unconscious - but a subject for another day nonetheless. As I've said, Jays work allowed me to make broad brush connections that would have taken me years (or decades) on my own. Perhaps the same is true for TOD and its community. Cultural transmission....
Perhaps the best outcome from Jay's videos (and posts on TOD) is to be proven wrong. Then we're one step closer to understanding/accessing the problem. But these types of ideas are difficult to prove wrong, except in hindsight. Therefore are they science? Or religion? The pieces that make up the thesis are based on science, but beyond that I'm not sure. It's clear that the cornucopian crowd thinks that since oil's price has declined that peak oil was a 'hoax'. Nothing could be further from the truth. We are in a much worse position with regards to future energy supplies today than we were a year ago. I noticed Fridays announcement on Platts by Chesapeake that "The US oil and gas exploration-and-production industry will likely take out of service between 300 and 500 drilling rigs in the coming months, as the industry continues to be wracked by the global credit crisis and soft energy commodity prices". That's between 1/4 and 1/3 of our rigs drilling for gas! I suspect similar details will be emerging on the oil side, all the while the ongoing depletion continues at nearly double digit rates, despite infield drilling and tertiary recovery.
In any case, I've poked a lot of holes in Jay's theories over the years, but mostly small ones. I look forward to hearing his interview.
Nate,
you wrote:
"That's between 1/4 and 1/3 of our rigs drilling for gas!"
Don't forget that Chesapeake means this number for the "US *oil* and gas exploration-and-production industry". Of course this is confusing as Chesapeake is only a gas company.