107 comments on Herman Daly: The Disconnection Between Financial Assets and Real Asssets
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107 comments on Herman Daly: The Disconnection Between Financial Assets and Real Asssets
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Hey Dryki,
I'm not sure if you're specifically responding to my posts. That said, I'll try to address your points as if you were responding specifically to me. ;)
Under the different financial/monetary system that I've previously described, the money supply is matched with the goods available for sale. If there isn't enough money in the system, government spending can infuse the economy with additional money. If there's too much money, taxes, or interest paid on government loans can reduce the money supply. By having the money supply matched to the available goods, the system will neither be deflationary nor inflationary. Certain care must be made to monitor perishable items and make sure that the available pool of goods doesn't shrink drastically in relation to the money supply. At any rate, this system of currency was used by Abraham Lincoln to completely fund the Civil War.....WITHOUT income taxes. After the North won, Lincoln was preparing to unite the Northern and Southern financial system under his "greenback" style currency. He never accomplished this because he was assassinated. Hitler also used this same monetary system when he rose to power. When you look at the history of just how potent a debt-free monetary system can be, it's staggering. The one thing it does is take power away from the figureheads of the Central Banking/fractional reserve model. The real challenge in implementing this change is to overcome their resistance.
The way I see it, the goal for any new monetary system is to have the flexibility to grow and/or shrink (or to remain constant for that matter) your economy while still retaining a "healthy" economy. Under our present debt based/fractional reserve economy, it's never "healthy" unless it's perpetually growing. I'm not saying that all growth is bad, but to have that be the overpowering motivation is just not wise. It paints ourselves into a corner...Reduces our options. If our economy deflates to the point where people can't buy food, then government spending needs to fill that hole in the money supply. Conversely, if prices are rising because there's too much money in the system, then money taken out through taxes or as interest payments to the government will shrink the money supply. Our economy at our peak was definately too large and in need of shrinking. The ultimate size of a future "healthy" economy must be veiwed in terms of natural resources and how many non-renewables are consumed versus renewables. A stable sustainable economy that doesn't blow through renewables faster than they're renewed, and severly limits the depletion of non-renewables, would be the upper limit, IMHO. The managing of the money supply would be the tool to control the scope/size of the economy in relation to our resources.
Hope this helps explain my position more clearly.
TS
TS - Thanks for replying to my original question (to expand on that concept of a period of not enough money [supply], and why it was a problem (as the words "not enough" imply)).
However your reply (that such a period/problem is one of deflation) seems to be incorrect. There is deflation right now in the US (see Martin D Weiss of Money and Markets), caused by the defaulting on so much debt. That is deflation happening even though the money supply is not rigidly limited by gold and instead the Fed could just print more, indeed is doing so. So it appears that if the state/problem of "not enough" money is deflation, then it is not caused by not enough money and is not exclusively related to a gold/etc standard?
But I guess that respecting of a gold standard could increase the constraint (preventing printing of money), which is perhaps what you had in mind.
Hey Robin,
I agree that deflation is happening now. Yes the Fed is printing more money but you've got to follow all this new money through the economy. It's a pretty short trip so far. The banks which make loans to consumers and businesses are so risk averse right now that they are using the money to plug the holes in their balance sheets. The "trickle-down" effect isn't working and IMHO was never intended to trickle down, although they said that's what the purpose was. One aspect of the problem in the danger that the derivatives market implodes. We'll see a complete financial collapse if that happens. Again, IMO, this is why the Govt. and the Fed wouldn't allow AIG and certain investment banks to fail. Their exposure in derivatives was too great.
Right now, the limiting factor for money to reach the little guys is the risk aversion of the banks to lend. The fed can print all the money it wants and give it to the banks and ailing businesses, but this money can't flow freely through the economy, it might as well not exist. So what we have is a flawed system that has so many holes, that the money isn't finding it's way around.
A gold or silver standard is another way that restrains the money supply, yes. We're not tied to one right now and the primary reason was that it was working against the growth imperative that is a result of the compounding interest in the debt based money creation model. I agree that a gold standard isn't the best choice but not because it prohibits perpetual growth, rather it reduces flexibility of the money supply.
TS