If a company does't have to actually prove that it can get the oil out, there is a lot more room for games-playing

Exactly. And with the American public becoming aware that the US only has ~3-4% of the world's oil supply, raising reserve levels (and announcing probable and possible reserves additionally) seems intended to give the US citizen a false sense of security that maybe the oil reserves in the US aren't declining like some of those kooks say.

If oil shale is somehow included in this rule change (as possible or probable, for example), then that would skew perceived reserves by such a margin as to completely bamboozle the average American.

I think your are right that the changes could act to bamboozle the average American. I hadn't thought about oil shale. It is hard to imagine how one could consider it to be economically recoverable.

you are correct, gail.

oil shale deposits would only be considered reserves if and when they are demonstrated to be economical to produce.

What is the basis for that statement? What price point would be used to determine if it were 'economical to produce'? Where in the rule change is this stated, especially in light of probable and possible reserves?

"Where in the rule change is this stated, especially in light of probable and possible reserves? "

this is not stated in the rule change, but is in the basic definition of proven reserves. wrt possible oil shale reserves i suppose someone could call them possible reserves, based upon estonia, but imo, that is even a stretch. i dont think anyone gives any credibility to possible reserves anyhow.