47 comments on A Speech by Fatih Birol on IEA Report, Financial Crisis, Coal, Depletion, etc.
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47 comments on A Speech by Fatih Birol on IEA Report, Financial Crisis, Coal, Depletion, etc.
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GAIA Host Collective
Ask me no questions, I'll tell you no lies!!!
The man walks in a political minefield. Do you really expect him to tell us that the game is up? He comes close enough in the video. He touches on resource nationalism but is silent on declining exports (he probably believes that smart people will read between the lines anyway). The very fact that he says we need4 KSAs to stay where we are tells you a story. He also mentions that too much time is spent on demand forecasting rather than on decline rates. He talks of peak oil for a particular field and then how production rates decline.
He cannot shout "Fire" in what is now a very crowded cinema theatre. Instead he uses phrases such as "If you look closely to that corner of the cinema, you will find that there is a chemical reaction going on in which carbon is combining with oxygen and giving off a lot of heat".
I hope the Indian government features in his briefings. We are putting our bets behind the auto industry and planning our cities for cars rather than emphasizing public transport. Most Indians follw the ELP model and we are trying our best to get them out of it!!
Srivathsa
The fire warning in a crowded theater is an interesting analogy in a number of ways. I've reviewed many catastrophic industrial accidents. Very often there were warning signs of the pending incident. Very commonly these warnings were ignored by the workers because: 1)I didn't want management to blame me for stopping operations if here really wasn't anything wrong, 2)I might be blamed for the problem even though it wasn't my fault, 3)I knew it might be a problem but it wasn't my responsibility. 4) Someone else will take care of it.
Unfortunately it's easy to imagine these same excuses being offered by TPTB when the true nature of the problems becomes obvious to the general public.