Good point. When it comes to certain scientific issues (climate, stem cell research, birth control) ideology overrode all observation and data. This may have been information control.

Also note the release was Friday afternoon. Traditionally the time to announce something if you don't want anyone to notice.

Watch february's Jobs Report.

They're gonna throw in everything and the kitchen sink.

http://ashizashiz.blogspot.com/

Time is running out. If Obama goes through with the Rubin-esque "bad bank" ploy, it will be too late. Vermont(and my Arkansas ;} looks better all the time.

From the Guardian:

America's biggest banks were battling to head off an investor rout ­following fears that their battered finances would need a further boost from the US government.

Bank of America saw its share price slump 20% at one point before closing down 18% at $8.32, while Citigroup dived 18% and closed down 15.5% at $3.83. The falls wiped out the gains the two banks had made since a faltering recovery began in November."

What you just saw yesterday was massive gov't intervention holding
up these markets. That's the only explanation.

Go look at these two charts of P&G and MetLife.

The Volume. I challenge anyone to tell me this isn't
wholesale intervention.

P&G:

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=PG#chart1:symbol=pg;range=5d;indicato...

MetLife:

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=MET#chart1:symbol=met;range=5d;indica...

The Sequence of Global Insolvency Begins

by GEAB

Global Research, January 17, 2009
GEAB N°31

Interesting article today in the Spiegel Magazin (Germany):

“… ergab eine Umfrage unter den führenden deutschen Finanzkonzernen, dass die Bilanzen der Institute mit faulen Wertpapieren bis zu 300 Milliarden Euro belastet sind. Nur ein Viertel davon wurde bereits abgeschrieben.”

“… a survey among leading German financial companies shows that the institutions’ balance sheets are loaded with toxic papers (originating in US mortgage and student loans) extending up to 300 billion Euro. Only one quarter of that sum has been written off so far.”

I wonder how many cadavers are waiting in the basements of US financial institutions for being discovered. There sure is a strange smell in the air these days. Fighting insolvency now may be the smarter way rather than speeding up our runaway bailout-express.

Take manufacturing back home to the USA!

Tom

it's short covering.

I have this wierd feeling when I watch the talking heads on tv saying how the credit markets need to be restored and consumer confidence needs to be restored so they start using credit again. How many people get it that what America and the world needs now more than anything are sustainable jobs? If the consumers don't have jobs they are going to default on their loans and the people that used to depend on the consumers to buy their products or services are probably going to default as well.

Heard a clip of Dubya crowing about 52 unbroken months of job growth last night. Yeah but what kind of jobs? Seem to me that the whole American (world?) economy has been one giant ponzi scheme with a lot of wealth being created out of thin air. Here in Jamaica politicians have been proud to trumpet the growth of the financial sector when it was happening. I always thought that that growth was meaningless in the long term but it's very frustrating feeling that you are one of the few people who hold that opinion

Speaking from personal experience, the thing that encourages one to consume most is the assurance of income going into the foreseeable future. Once there is any doubt that ones income can be sustained there will be a tendency to save for that rainy day. Obama's stimulus plan sounds like it has elements that might help, things that will produce renewable energy or permanently reduce energy consumption like making government buildings more energy efficient. I guess this is a good time to quote westaxas' edict "Cut thy spending and get thee to the non-discretionary side of the economy". Lets just hope that somehow the non-discretionary side of the economy can take up the slack!

Alan from the islands

"How many people get it that what America and the world needs now more than anything are sustainable jobs?"

I am beginning to think we should go the other way.

We are an Empire lets start truly acting like one.

Our military needs to step up the pace and channel the best of what the world has to offer back home to us.

We all quit our jobs, immigrants will to all our dirty work and we outsource the rest, because it will be a full time job just consuming everything.

Everyone is issued an unlimited FedCard and a Toga.

Red wine, Buggery, Lions, sounds great to me.

Get in touch with your Imperialness.

Sarcanol is all I gots.

Red wine, Buggery, Lions

Sounds like a follow-up album for the Pogues

Watch february's Jobs Report.

They're gonna throw in everything and the kitchen sink.

http://ashizashiz.blogspot.com/

Time is running out. If Obama goes through with the Rubin-esque "bad bank" ploy, it will be too late. Vermont(and my Arkansas ;} looks better all the time.

It's difficult to project the future in much detail (specific events,people's responses,etc.). As always a lot of things can happen. I think you can say with certainly that oil production will be lower 10 years from now, but as far as stuff like this goes (and I will include much of JHK's stuff) I consider it to basically be historical fiction is reverse (if you will). Who's to know how people will respond? Maybe they will just act like sheep. I'm not saying that there is no value in speculation about such things, I'm just wondering of how much value they are to this discussion.

I notice more and more of what seems to me to be pretty extraneous material on this board. Sure, everything can be related to oil in some way but can we tighten it up a little? On many occasions I have wanted to talk about oil investing and other such things, but have held back for the most part because I have considered it OT. I guess my point is if someone is allowed to say "get your money out of the banks" etc. then shouldn't I have a right to say Halliburton is a good buy at $12.95? (which it was). It seems sometimes that there is a lot more leeway given if one takes a doomer perspective than there is in the other direction. I think the solution is to just narrow the discussion down a little more in the direction of talking about actual oil-related topics.

Matt

I notice more and more of what seems to me to be pretty extraneous material on this board. Sure, everything can be related to oil in some way but can we tighten it up a little?

Matt, actually I really enjoy the way the discussion broadens out. I think this is the natural result of a widening participation. "Tightening it up" might result in the loss of some real gems, such as totoneila's posts on npk. (If you haven't read those carefully, check 'em out.) Also, to save time you can use the search function, for example to look for info on investing, etc.

Chris

I do to some degree, but I think it has gone too far. I would hate to see the drum become a summary blog for the 1000 or so serious blogs out there that deal with the interrelated crises of our civilization.I started reading the drum during the big debates about Ghawar depletion and even as an outsider with limited knowledge of these areas I found the discussion to be fascinating. I can remember the first time I posted something how intimidated I was wondering whether I would sound like an idiot. I would post occasionally, but most of time I was content to just watch WestTX,Memmel,Robert et al have it out. There was a certain amount of policing of the board and I think this was healthy. It seems to be a bit of a free for all now. Even though I may find something interesting, I may not be interested in reading about it here and I feel like there has been a certain crowding out of the serious,focused talk about oil.

I think the difference is between the key posts and the DrumBeat. The comments in the key posts are policed, and off-topic comments are deleted. The DrumBeat has always been a bit freer. It's our equivalent of an open thread. If anything, it's more restricted now that it used to be.

We have not posted a lot of key posts focused on the technical side of oil production recently. Partly it's the holidays. Our contributors have jobs and families, and don't have as much time for TOD during that time of year. And traffic always falls during the holidays, so the contributors are reluctant to post their best work then, for fear that few will read it. Now that the holidays are behind us, we'll probably be getting back in gear. But partly, it's the low price of oil. There's just not as much interest in oil production now. And in the end, we bloggers are dependent on the MSM for our information. If they aren't interested, we're left without much to analyze and write about.

I agree with Chris. It's one think to say, "Peak Oil is the problem," and then only focus your posts and comments on oil related subjects. It's entirely different to understand why Peak Oil is a problem. The economic "growth imperative" stemming from our debt based, fractional reserve lending is really the key. That is the main driver that makes Peak Oil a problem. Its easy to say that we have to learn to live with less fossil fuels, but the economic ramifications of such a statement are at odds with our economy's prime directive (perpetual growth). The only way you'll ever change the economy to a sustainable model, is to have governmental support and leadership, which makes political discussions just as important. Global Warming, being a very real and imminent side effect of FF use, shouldn't be excluded either. It's fine to have pointed threads where all that is talked about is the subject at hand, but if you make the Drumbeat such a place, our focus here will become too myopic.

JMTC

TS

Fair points. I just think there is a balance. When we start getting into responses to events ie revolution,"the only good investments are ammo and booze." etc. I think you increase the range of acceptable content by an order of magnitude. I am in no way saying that these things are not true and I am somewhat of a doomer. It's just that we all know where to find this stuff. I think the site benefits if we stay within a degree or so of separation from actual energy talk.