This claim of absolute impossibility can neither be proved nor disproved, though certainly lots of discouraging historical evidence can be cited in support of the negative assertion. I prefer to remain agnostic on this issue and to discuss physically possible solutions to our difficulties without reference to any preconceived ideas about the limits of human psychological and social adaptability.

Translation: This has been tried before many, many times in human history but always failed. I want to ignore reality and try again.

Count me out Nate; this is totalitarianism.

a) look closely, this is not my post. I am an editor of this site and posted Rogers essay. Roger is a wide boundary thinker - I have agreed with almost all of his comments here over the years and value his thinking. That doesn't mean I agree with everything he or anyone here writes.

b)Ironically, your criticism of this post is one where I would side (slightly) more with you than with Roger, because of my studying gene/culture co-evolution - I believe our genetic leash is neither long nor short, but intermediate, which means we have severe, but not unlimited biological imperatives as well as cognitive machinery that will get in the way of BTU plug-and-play solutions.

c)I don't advocate totalitarianism - my political view of the future is non-definable, because I haven't pieced it together yet. But if totalitarianism existed but people were fed, clothed, and happy, would it be better than something called a political name less pejorative where they are miserable and hungry? Totalitarianism is a name of the past - what is around the corner has no name.

p.s. hope you still don't own pacific ethanol.

Keithster100 -

Well yes, the making of any grand socioeconomic schema into a reality inherently implies a level of control that could easily be characterized as 'totalitarian'.

A key question is: What do you do with those people who are stubbornly 'not with the program'? For example, what if someone insists on spending his discretionary income on buying a 600 HP speedboat instead of a Toyota Prius? What do you with that person? Send that person to a 're-education center', confiscate that person's wealth so that he/she can no longer make the 'wrong' purchases, or pass laws that make it illegal to buy such wasteful items in the first place ?

Whichever, such decisions will always reside within the purview of those running the show, rather than the people who have voted in largely sham election. 'Freedom to chose' will soon become just a meaningless phrase.

Any formal desired outcome inherently requires more control, and more control inherently requires more power to be concentrated among a smaller group of people. More power concentrated among a smaller group of people is the pathway to totalitarianism. It doesn't take long. Before too long, no one (outside of a group of oligarchs) will be free to chose much of anything.

Totalitarianism may indeed become necessary, as it is on a lifeboat, where someone has to decide how much precious food and water is to be rationed.

So, I think it is highly doubtful that an open and free society can coexist with chronic resource shortages. The two are fundamentally contradictory.

Perceived advantage creates hierarchy; perceived disadvantage creates revolution

I've been pondering on that off and on for several years. The morality of Shootout at the OK Coral. I can't really find anything wrong with it. Why wouldn't it be the maximum expression of the human animal and spirit to level itself to the individual gunslinger. Even that implies opposing thumbs. We'd still be toast to any species with opposing thumbs and toes.

All conclusions suck.

cfm in Gray, ME

Nate -- I'm not sure if you included a reference to Sheldon Wolin in one of your articles here, but your comment sure reminds me of "Inverted Totalitarianism," which wolin writes about in this Nation article:

http://www.thenation.com/doc/20030519/wolin

The USA has been transformed into a de facto fascist state. We are totalitarian, but run with the promise that everyone will be better off as time goes by.

with resource shortages the promised return for compliance will be ever more limited: less payoff for the masses in exchange for greatly diminished rewards. Will people comply just to live another day or week? Some people will, no doubt.

The hierarchy of rewards will become more brutal than it is, but also the punishment for non-compliance will become very brutal.

Will this create mass compliance but also revolution -- both at the same time?

Nate, the term revolution has been bouncing around recent TOD articles. It seems to me that time for some kind of affirmative action in the required direction(s) is slipping away with each day. The percieved advantage of government seems to be waning before our very eyes with the removal of the concieted veils.

Right or wrong, perhaps what is needed is a revolution.

I think it is highly doubtful that an open and free society can coexist with chronic resource shortages

It is a mistake to assume major constraints require totalitarianism. For example I don't have exclusive use of a luxury yacht. This is not generally considered totalitarianism but economic reality. People generally respond better to economic reality than to Central Committee dictat, especially if adjustments to the economic levers are made with transparency and public support and the misery is shared.

If we need to control population, rather than enforcing a two-child law, we just say that only a woman's first two children are eligible for state benefits, eg free schooling and healthcare. Most other forms of unsustainable activity can be controlled with Pigovian taxes. In an era of economic collapse and ecological crisis it should be possible to get public support once the corporate growth "business as usual" message is discredited, so I do not see this as requiring dictatorial powers.

Rationing by price will only be seen as fair if wealth is evenly spread, so restricting capital accumulation by taxing excess assets to fund basic infrastructure is a precondition. To prevent starvation or a malnourished underclass developing, a basic allowance (free ration of food and water, or income) may also be needed. Perhaps we are just arguing terminology but I don't think this all adds up to totalitarianism.

The original article does not make the distinction between the consumption of resource flows (sustainable) and resource capital (unsustainable). Once Pigovian taxes restrict economic activity to using resource flows only, then "capitalism as we know it" can continue. Provided capital accumulation is restrained, then many causes of our current problems (huge inequality, political crises, control by the financier class, short-term profits uber alles) can be avoided.

Given the unimaginable atrocities committed by totalitarian regimes (Nazi and Communist) during the 20th century, it is understandable that most want to keep the Leviathan on a short leash.

However, much of this talk of totalitarianism is purely polemical. The bankers and industrialists tried to brand FDR a Communist, and they tried to do the same to the labor unions as well. The idea is to paint the enemy with the face of evil so as not to have to debate his actual arguments:

The American labor movement was almost completely bereft of the ideological weapons, which the rebellious industrial masses of Europe carried. In its inception it disavowed not only Marxist revolutionary formulas but every kind of political program. It was a pragmatic movement, born of the necessity of setting organized power against organized power in a technical society. Gradually it became conscious of the fact that economic power does try to bend government to its own ends. It has, therefore, decided to challenge a combination of political and economic power with a like combination of its own...

Naturally, the "semi-official" creed of a bourgeois community, as distinguished from the philosophy which informs our Constitution, was arrayed against this development. The right of collective bargaining was declared to be a violation of the rights of employers to hire or fire whom they would. Supreme Court decisions, directed against the labor movement, were informed by the generally accepted individualistic creed. But ultimately, in the words of "Mr. Dooley," the court decisions "followed the election returns."

Long before the "New Deal" radically changed the climate of American political life the sovereign power of government had been used to enforce taxation laws which embodied social policy as well as revenue necessities; great concentrations of power in industry were broken up by law; necessary monopolies in utilities were brought under political regulation; social welfare, security and health and other values which proved to be outside the operations of the free market were secured by political policy. More recently, housing, medicine and social security have become matters of public and political policy. All this has been accomplished on a purely pragmatic basis, without the ideological baggage which European labor carried.

--Reinhold Niebuhr, The Irony of American History

When a woman's first pregnancy results in triplets which of the three children would you deny health and education benefits?
What Rogers is describing is Scandanavian socialism which actually enables certain freedoms denied to Americans due to inability to pay. For instance fathers of newborns are paid to stay home and assist the mothers in caring for the infants. Things like universal health care and retirement support actually work to limit the number of pregnancies. In poor societies where everyone must rely on the extended family for health care and old age support then women are pressured to maximize the number of children born.

Toby Kelsey: If I could express the thoughts that are bouncing around in my brain, I would have written your post. I think you are right on the money.

Once Pigovian taxes restrict economic activity to using resource flows only, then "capitalism as we know it" can continue. Provided capital accumulation is restrained, then many causes of our current problems (huge inequality, political crises, control by the financier class, short-term profits uber alles) can be avoided.

This sounds great in theory but if Pigovian taxes restrict economic activity to flows only, there IS no economic system, at least for billions. Perhaps that was your unspoken intent. In a word, I think what you propose would work, but between here and there might be a revolution. Less than 10% of our energy is currently 'flow based', and none of it liquid fuels. There would need to be some sort of transition period. All the 'good answers' to current crisis require more pain for pretty much all sectors of OECD nations - accepting greater short term pain for long term benefit is not how we are wired so acknowledging this necessity by politicians has to happen before any of these neat theories can germinate.

Count me out Nate; this is totalitarianism.

Well yes, I guess living in an oligarchy does have a benefit - that of fooling most of the people all of the time.

Count me out Nate; this is totalitarianism.

What!!? What we have now is the totalitarianism of capital, of totally unrestrained profit seeking. Millions and millions are losing everything through no fault of their own. Capitalism is failing, failing big time, and failing globally. There has to be discussion of alternatives, and there has to be freedom for countries to pursue alternatives without getting bombed or blockaded.

In addition to capitalism collapsing, the world's ecosystem is also collapsing. So growth, which is so important to capitalism, will no longer provide a way out. One might regard these contraints as a manifestation of the "totalitarianism" of nature.

The time is past when questioning of the profit system can be silenced by imprecation.

The "totalitarianism" of Nature

Interesting phraseology.

I'm mad as hell about the Laws of Nature and I'm not going to take it anymore!

(LOL)

You got to get angry!!!

The correct way to think about it is that mankind will either adopt—or adapt to—a sustainable sociological system, or we will not. I also disagree that this has been tried once, let alone many times.

totalitarianism implies there is a structure or chain of command. Those who have been raised or have sought out the higher positions feel they are entitled to more than those less fortunate or who are more secure in their present position, have a greater faith, feel we are all equal, etc.

Whether we are all sitting around in a pre-historic setting of a cave communitee or trying to outdo the other guy at the country club, eventually someone will take a higher position and expect a greater reward for their risk.

...expect a greater reward for their risk.

I think therein lies the rub:

What is preferable when society and property have become established and the inequality of talents is revealed, is that ability should be rewarded for the advantage of the community. This stage, Rousseau says, is the happiest and most lasting in the history of mankind. But he says nothing about returning to it. He does say that when in time wealth and rank no longer correspond to merit, the disparity becomes an injustice and leads to instability.

--Jacques Barzun, From Dawn to Decadence

I think the conflation of risk-taking with merit is also a questionable proposition.

The idea that we might be able to rise above baser impulses is "totalitarianism"?

What a strange, misanthropic world you seem to occupy.