48 comments on Iraqi Oil: Black Gold or Black Hole?
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48 comments on Iraqi Oil: Black Gold or Black Hole?
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GAIA Host Collective
Let me see in 1972 when the Iraqis took over their oil business the oil reserve estimate was 35.9 billion barrels. The current inflated numbers for OPEC are 113 billion barrels. Dr. Campbell gives a number of 60 billion barrels.
To add to the mix the WOR appears to be increasing(probably a lot).
This leaves me with several choices:
1) The initial numbers were very low.
2) Someone has found a lot of new Oilfields(In an area under exploration since at least the WWI era).
3) There is a problem with Iraqi oil estimates on the high side.
I have never worked in Iraq but it would appear based on this post and what I know that Iraq probably will have difficulty in drastically increasing oil production even if the political landscape miraculously clears.
I am glad I am not in the current US administration trying to set a rational policy.
Ah, but contemplate the significance of this:
From Iraq’s Oil and the Future « Aleklett’s Energy Mix. Mr. al-Chalabi's tenure covered the time of reserves revisions, and if he is sincere it would call into question the significance of the 80s OPEC gains as indicative of a definite near-term peak - assuming the size of reserves is the be-all and end-all of dating when a nation does peak. Contrast this with the 2006 revelation that in all likelihood Kuwait did fudge their reserves estimates upward, to confuse matters.
Peakoil.com thread on Iraq: Iraq has ‘more crude oil’ than Saudi Arabia, says author. User rockdoc123 has some interesting insights about the geology of the region. With all this talk of reserves in abundance it is curious that only a few smallish new fields have been discovered, in the north. Moujahed and Sadad Al-Husseini authored a paper strongly critizing the IHS notion that the western desert has hundreds of billions of barrels waiting to be tapped: Petroleum Resources Of The Western Desert of Iraq.
RIGZONE - Iraq Launches Tenders for 60 Wells in Southern Oil Fields
"In an area under exploration since at least the WWI era)."
yes except the period in the early '80's when iraq was conducting a war with iran, since the '91 sanctions, and since the search for wmd's began.
the problem with the us occupying iraq, is that it is just too profitable, imo.