60 comments on Why oil (and helium) are still underpriced
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60 comments on Why oil (and helium) are still underpriced
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GAIA Host Collective
For one thing, high temperature superconductors are starting to hit the market in a big way. These superconduct at liquid nitrogen temperatures so there's not much need for helium. Companies like American Superconductor are producing hundreds of kilometers a year and are ramping up production still further.
Also cryocoolers, essentially electronic refrigerators, allow you to keep your helium bath at 4K or below without any boiloff at all (and for any experiments can eliminate the need for helium entirely). This isn't in real common use yet but the price and performance of cryocoolers is improving fast. (For some reason they're very common in Japan, though.) Even at current cryocooler and helium prices, a lot of physicists are considering moving to cryocoolers since helium is a pain to work with for various reasons. If helium got even a little more expensive you'd see a pretty big shift. We designed an experiment recently and had a really hard time deciding between helium and cryocoolers. (We went with helium, because our experiment is extremely vibration sensitive, but that's not going to apply to most people.)
And exactly how much energy do these cryocoolers consume per hour? If your power plant is using NG to generate your electricity, then you're still on a depletion curve. If NG becomes difficult to get hold of, then you're looking at another problem, but that one too, is related to resource depletion.
One of the points made is that the inputs for many of our materials are fossil energy - steel alloys, stainless, magnets, ceramics, silicon... The question posed is: Can these materials be manufactured without NG. I think it is a very valid question. Heating with electricity has typically consumed more energy than heating with NG in manufacturing.
Replacing NG with electricity actually consumes more NG at the electricity generating end, and throws a very large load on the grid - that's why manufacturers have a special electric meter (called a demand meter) when they use large amounts of electricity. You get billed at the highest rate of consumption - if it's 10kw an hour for 2 minutes, then you get billed as if you are drawing 10kw an hour for everything you use. It definitely affects the bottom line, and it's there to discourage pulling a lot of juice.
These are the things a lot of us are thinking about and discussing - energy inputs and how to offset them or find alternative sources that are workable. The fossil fuel train is slowing down - we have to get off if we are to continue our journey forward.
At any rate, a cryocooler that would have been much more than sufficient for our experiment would have used about 5 kW, which is comparable to central air conditioning for a large home in summer. A fusion plant would be a heck of a lot larger than our experiment, of course, so I'm not sure what their total consumption would be.
I'm actually not a big fan of fusion research, but for other reasons...