Thanks for responding. The only way to simultaneously solve Peak Oil and remove the threat of abrupt climate change is to minimize the use of fossile fuels as soon as possible. Trying to predict an occurance of Abrupt Climate Change is like trying to pinpoint where a hurricane hits land.

If you have something specific, I'm all ears. But otherwise, I'm moving on. The figures below seem much more relevent to this board and my concerns.

1,000 / .60 = 1,666.66667

1,000 / .65 = 1,538.46154

1,000 / .70 = 1,428.57143

I look forward to more discussion on oil and decline rates now that it's probable that we past the 50% mark ten years ago, ironically when Hubbert originally predicted it would happen.

You are of course welcome to move on. However, if you do maintain an open mind, I will be responding to exactly what you just argued in your first paragraph in a few days.