Albany Coddles the Oil Addicts

[Editor's Note by peakguy] Pataki signed the gas tax cap into law yesterday despite earlier concerns that oil companies might not pass on the savings to consumers.

[editor's note, by peakguy] Yankee and I both wrote parallel articles about this and posted them within 15 minutes of each other (hey great minds think alike!) I have combined them as best I could in this one post.

[editor's note, by Yankee] Since this post is on TOD:NYC, it obviously focuses on the proposal to cut state gas taxes in the NY legislature. But note also that similar proposals have cropped up in North Carolina, South Carolina, Minnesota, Massachusetts, Delaware, and I'm sure we'll see some others soon.

The President has said that we are "addicted to oil". An addiction needs to be treated seriously, not actively enabled. But this is exactly what NY State's legislature wants to do. They are set to approve a 4-9 cent reduction in the gas tax in yet another attempt for politicians to look like they are doing something about increase gas prices.

Although I tend to think that a federal gas tax increase* would actually be a good thing, I can understand the political distaste for such a decision. However, I don't understand why they won't let the current status of the state tax just stand. Once the gas tax is lowered, it will be politically difficult to raise it later on, regardless of whether the wholesale prices of oil either raise or lower. That is, one day the politicians might wake up and understand why a stiff gas tax may be the best thing for us, despite high wholesale prices. Or prices might (temporarily) lower, in which case they'll want to raise the tax again, but could face a public outcry.

From the NY Times today we also hear that nobody's promising that this will even trickle down to customers (drug users/abusers?) at the pump:

But should the measure win final approval, even the oil industry acknowledges that there is no guarantee that the savings will get passed on to consumers.

One reason is that gas taxes, for the most part, are levied when oil companies import fuel into the state and not directly at the pump. Though tax cuts at the wholesale level are passed down to retailers, small cuts would not necessarily show up in prices set by gas stations since variations of a few cents among stations are common.

"I'm not sure consumers would see it," said Rayola Dougher, the manager of energy market issues for the American Petroleum Institute, the oil industry trade group. "They might see something, but I'd be astonished if they saw 8 cents across the board."

Why is it that consumers wouldn't see much difference? Because the oil companies (drug dealers?) would take part of it at every step in the distribution chain.

Theoretically, a driver filling up a Toyota Camry could save 74 cents in state taxes and as much as $1.76 over all in counties with the highest taxes, if they choose to opt in. But in reality, while a steep cut in gas taxes would almost surely be felt, modest cuts could be lost in the distribution chain from the oil companies to the gas stations, several oil industry officials said. And that could leave at least some of the tax relief in the hands of the big oil companies that have been reporting record profits.

So it's just another subsidy for the oil industry. And this leaves us no closer to dealing with the real issue, which is our addiction to oil coming from unstable places and contributing to global warming.

Rather than trying (ineffectually) to lower the price of smack on the street and instead giving more money to those dealing it, why not take that money and invest in conservation (drug treatment?) programs that might actually lower the level of inelastic demand out there.

Why not rebuild the state's rail network to more efficiently move around people and freight goods?

Why not invest in rideshare programs that are proven to reduce individual fuel costs?

Why not rezone many suburban "residential-only" areas to allow critical commerical enterprises like grocery and drug stores to be closer to people?

Why not offer more bus/light rail service to underserved yet dense areas?

The list could go on and on, but the point is that the way to deal with an addiction is not to lower the price of the addictive drug. You need to show the addict the pain they are causing to themselves ($ budget, obesity, etc) and others around them (global warming, pollution, etc). Then you need to offer a positive alternative way of living and give them hope that there is an end in sight to the pain they are inflicting on themselves and others around them.

This proposal offers neither a frank description of the problem to the addict nor hope of building toward a positive alternative. It only coddles the addict and rewards the dealer.

*The word "increase" in this sentence was initially omitted. Thanks to Halfin for pointing this out.

As long as people like Michael Lynch, Daniel Yergin and CERA, EXXON-Mobile, and the USGS are telling people that the next fix will be in the spoon for the next 50 years then the addict is not going to be interested in quitting.  The addict will only consider quitting when the downside to doing the drug is greater than the upside and when the downside is relatively far away relative to the pain of withdrawal HE IS NOT GOING TO EVEN CONSIDER IT.  Sad but true.  Oil supply optimism could truely be considered irresponsible at this point.  
Re:  The "Iron Triangle" at work

Boone Pickens gave a speech in Dallas this week advocating a sharply higher gasoline tax, to bring our price of gasoline up to what Europe pays, offset by cuts to the Payroll Tax.  

The major media, as usual, completely ignored the speech.  The after the speech, the Dallas Morning News ran an interview with the former chief economist of ExxonMobil, in which she said she was amazed that oil prices haven't fallen yet.  She suggested that since development costs in the Middle East are only $5 per barrel, it is only a matter of time until oil prices fall sharply.  

My "Iron Trinagle" comments:

http://www.energybulletin.net/15126.html

There are many other industries that feed into the Iron Triangle you so aptly describe WT. For instance real estate is another huge commerical interest that loves cheap gas - they get to sell large inefficiently built suburban homes allow more room to put your oversized stuff which benefits Walmart and other discount retailers, etc...
Did Pickens say cut Payroll or Income taxes to compensate, or both ?   Either way, I'm with T Boone.  

However, if gas prices are lowered by reducing taxes wouldn't the market reaction be to increase consumption, and if supplies are really constrained, the price will just bounce right back up to equilibrium, right?  Only difference is that someone in the supply chain would be getting the extra money instead of the public coffers.

The best bad alternative might be price controls so that shortages develop.  That would really get people's attention.  I'm only half kidding.  

He suggested a cut to the Payroll Tax, which is highly regressive, levied on the first dollar of income.  
WesTexas; I love your iron triangle metaphor.

Might I suggest that the attitude you describe is so pervasive that it might be called an "iron curtain" of denial?

jim

Don't know where to post this....

http://www.livescience.com/environment/ap_060510_hydrogen_prize.html

What a waste of human capital!

God....I'm at a lose for words.  
Yes, a complete waste indeed.
Waste indeed.

It isn't just the prize money; it's the active encouragement of US engineering skills and investment capital being applied to a complete dead end.

We should probably tax water too.  Too much demand in NYC for upstate water, and too much power pumping it.  High prices will be good for NYC water junkies, it will spur conservation and alternatives.
First, I don't think NYC uses more water than upstate or suburbs per person - we don't have to water enormous lawns or fill pools. We just have a lot of people here! But, I agree that we should consider any ways to reduce waste. And most of it is gravity fed instead of pumped over mountains like out West.

And exactly what alternatives to water are you thinking of?

The best thing people in NYC could do actually is to stop drinking water out of a bottle that has to be trucked into the city instead of using their taps, which has some of the best water in the world.

Amen, peakguy. Bottled water is nothing but trouble.
The study said that demand for bottled water soared in developing countries between 1999 and 2004 with consumption tripling in India and more than doubling in China during that period.

That has translated into massive costs in packaging the water, usually in plastic bottles made of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) which is derived from crude oil, and then transporting it by boat, train or on land.

"Making bottles to meet Americans' demand for bottled water requires more than 1.5 million barrels of oil annually, enough to fuel some 100,000 US cars for a year," according to the study. "Worldwide, some 2.7 million tons of plastic are used to bottle water each year."

Once the water is consumed, disposing the plastic bottles poses an environmental risk.

loved the story, but adored the picture
That IS a great photo. She must have about 15-20 cases of water there.
Note that they are all single serving size bottles.  Long live individualism!
And in a Sprawlmart buggy, no less!  Awesome find.
This is the kind of thing you see all up and down the coast when a hurricane warning gets posted. Many residents have wells, not city service, and the power always goes out. And can stay out for quite a while.

So you fill your bathtub to flush the toilet. You fill your your biggest cooking pots for drinking water... some head to the store and buy it, but they are usually not native residents. They are transplants who don't know the real drill.

Bottled water use in the US is a different issue than bottled water use in developing countries.  One of the primary factors in poverty in the underdeveloped world is lack of access to clean water.  In those places, bottled water is neccessary.

Like many of you I grew up in a time where bottled water was a luxury and not something I ever drank.  The first time I travelled to China, I was shocked that mt company had free bottled water stocked in the break room, like we have free coffee here.  It seemed so odd to me that I kept one as a momento.  I took me a while to realize it wasn't a luxury, it was a healthy neccessity.

and with bottled water, tooth-decay is supposedly going up again.  Sanitized water for bottling has neither the fluoride that we've added to many water supplies, nor many of the natural trace minerals that come from tap water.. this also happens to some extent with 'brita' style filtering, you throw out the good minerals with the bad ones.

Some solutions are in the offing, though it doesn't help the forementioned packaging waste, the leachates from plastic softeners, or the issues (In Maine at least) of sending millions of gallons from our water tables out of state as private (and largely untaxed) property.

http://www.bradenton.com/mld/bradenton/business/14456505.htm

bob

"and with bottled water, tooth-decay is supposedly going up again.  Sanitized water for bottling has neither the fluoride that we've added to many water supplies, nor many of the natural trace minerals that come from tap water.. this also happens to some extent with 'brita' style filtering, you throw out the good minerals with the bad ones."

  I hope that you are better informed about "oil/fuels" than about water.  Fluoride is the worst thing that anyone could be placing in their water.
  The minerals in the water are not used by the body anyway.  The only pure water available today is distilled water; filtered water is nothing but a joke stay away from ice cubes that come from ice machines with water filters.

"Some solutions are in the offing, though it doesn't help the forementioned packaging waste, the leachates from plastic softeners, or the issues (In Maine at least) of sending millions of gallons from our water tables out of state as private (and largely untaxed) property."

  Bottled water is necessary in many cases and besides it provides a lot of people with jobs.  At a number of schools here in the state of WA there are stores of bottled water; our big deal is earthquakes ... and plastic bottles are much, much, much better than glass; I would not refer to it as "packaing waste."

Proof;
  There is still some controversy about adding fluoride to water supplies, but it has been an enormous success given the state of our dietary and other healthcare and economic realities in the US.

"The American Dental Association, the federal Centers for Disease Control and state government have endorsed the practice of fluoridating public water at 1 part per million for nearly 50 years to combat tooth decay in a safe, cost-effective manner.
Massachusetts officials supplied The Standard-Times with one study that shows the effectiveness of fluoridation on children's teeth. There are hundreds of studies from across the country that compare children who drink water without fluoride to those who drink fluoridated water.
The 1981 study by the Harvard University School of Dental Medicine and state Department of Dental Care Administration looked at 231 children ages 7 to 14 who grew up with fluoridated water in 1981 in Holyoke and a similar group of children who were screened in the same Holyoke schools in 1968 before the community added fluoride to its water.
The researchers found that among young boys and girls there was a 72 percent reduction in tooth decay, as measured through cavities, missing teeth and other signs of decay.
Comparisons of nonfluoridated and fluoridated communities in the United States, Australia, Britain, Canada, Ireland and New Zealand have consistently demonstrated the effectiveness of water fluoridation in reducing decay, according to the CDC. The reduction in dental decay ranged from 15 percent to 40 percent in these studies.
With this kind of results, it is understandable that the directors of New Bedford's anti-poverty agency, PACE, made a request several years ago to the New Bedford Board of Health to add fluoride to city water to help children and adults, and particularly to reach poor children who do not have good dental care at home through regular brushing or at a dentist's office through regular visits. "

http://www.southcoasttoday.com/daily/05-06/05-04-06/01opinion.htm

As far as our bodies 'not using' the minerals in water, ..please.  Regular drinking water doesn't carry the volumes of Calcium or Magnesium that we NEED every day, compared to what 'should' be in our food, but if it's there in solution in the small intestine, it will get picked over, and Ca and Mg aren't the only minerals we need.  

In the case of emergency water rations, who could argue with whatever Wa. has pulled together? Sure.. But the argument is about the ridiculous volumes of throwaway bottles that clog our solid waste streams and throw away precious feed-stocks in one-use containers. (Even recycled, that plastic has maybe two degraded uses to go, before its tossed.  Glass, or a reusable water-bottle could go on for years.  I hope the schools have at least stocked up in large, reusable water-cooler tanks, and not just cases of 'handi-paks'.. we've convinced ourselves that these conveniences are absolutely life/death necessities.

Just a reminder that the trade in illegal drugs also provides many people with jobs, as does the manufacture of Hummers.
Providing people with jobs is not, and never has been, a valid arguement to continue engaging in some wasteful or detrimental practice.
Wouldn't fluoride in toothpaste suffice?
Actually, I grew up with well water that was not fluoridated. When I moved to NYC, the first thing the dental hygienist asked me was whether I grew up drinking well water, because people with as many cavities as I have often didn't drink fluoridated water. (That's not to say that you can't otherwise have lots of cavities, but there's a strong correlation according to her.)

Toothpaste actually is not as good as we might want it to be—many places that don't have fluoridated water give kids fluoride pills.

"NYC water junkies"?  Huh?

That makes zero sense, friend. Water use in New York City per capita is way below what it is elsewhere. As Peakguy said, we have no pools to fill and no lawns to water. We should be encouraging people to live in dense urban environments like New York City to get people to conserve water.

And "too much power pumping it"? Where are your facts? New York City's water flows down from the Catskills by gravity:

In comparison to other public water systems, New York City's system is both economical and flexible. Approximately 95% of the total water supply is delivered to the consumer by gravity. Only about 5% of the water is regularly pumped to maintain the desired pressure. As a result, operating costs are relatively insensitive to fluctuations in the cost of power. When drought conditions exist, additional pumping is required.
And it doesn't even use energy for water filtration. More from NYC.gov: "Today, New York City has the largest unfiltered surface water supply in the world."

There are a lot of people here and together, we use a lot of water. But we use a lot less of it than if we were spread out over miles and miles of suburbia or exurbia. TJ, don't fall into the trap of thinking that just becuse New York City is big and filled with cars and asphalt, it is bad for the environment. In fact, quite the opposite. New York City residents use less energy and water than other Americans do.

OTOH, new yorkers, at least the ones i know(like my brother) would never think of drinking from a tap. i saw some enterprising fellows filling up bottled water jugs from a stream by the road on bear mountain, outside the city. i surmised that it was going to be retailed.
Tell your brother he's totally foolish. In addition to The Interloafer's points above, your brother should also read this piece from Treehugger. If New York's water were bad, there'd be an awful lot of sick people, and I don't think that would be good for City Hall.

If people are really worried, they'd be much better off buying a Brita filter than bottled water. Even with the filter changes, it still comes out to be a lot cheaper and environmentally friendly than bottled water.

hey, your preaching to the choir. he's already been so informed years ago. in the days that used to was, i had a gig as a water chemist. i knew about n.y.c. water quality before bottled water. what people don't like is chlorine. tap water may not be filtered, but it damn well better be chlorinated
And fluorinated. I owe my cavity-free set of teeth to fluorination in NYC water.
That's hilarious because whenever I've backpacked around Harriman I always filter the water.  Those parks get alot of use and Giardia is far too nasty to be just drinking straight from a stream there...

And I'm sure it was sold as "Mountain Spring Water"...

Geez, irony really is dead.  If I look into the NY budget for 2006, there is $540,000,000 for NYC transit, and another $93,000,000 for the Long Island RR.  Preaching virtuousness for gas taxes because NYC has a highly subsidized transit system paid for by others is not helpful.  If you want to be taken seriously you had better figure out what the replacement is going to be in rural NY areas when your demand destruction occurs.  Possibly that money should go into alternatives for the rest of the state. Otherwise most NYers will just take the decrease.
NYC subsidizes the rest of the state big time http://nyc.theoildrum.com/story/2006/4/30/93921/6540. Like by over $10 billion / year. Just look at the Mayor's [budget presentation for 2007. Or Ask the Center for Government Research.

When you add everything up, NYC is just plain efficient because it is dense and the rest of the state is just too spread out. They need to change their living arrangements - recenter their towns and villages, moving their homes closer to work, shopping areas, etc.

Sorry - that got garbled:

NYC subsidizes the rest of the state big time. Like by over $10 billion / year.  Just look at the Mayor's budget presentation for 2007. Or Ask the Center for Government Research.

When you add everything up, NYC is just plain efficient because it is dense and the rest of the state is just too spread out. They need to change their living arrangements - recenter their towns and villages, moving their homes closer to work, shopping areas, etc.

I don't think peakguy's suggestions in the original post were NYC-centric. In fact, I think that a lot them are mostly applicable to rural, upstate areas. An improved rail network would benefit deliveries to every area. Rideshare programs are most effective outside NYC, where there are no other options. We certainly have mixed-use zoning in NYC, so that's most relevant to small towns and suburbs.

Don't forget that there are 8 million people in NYC. That's an awful lot of state residents, and less than 25% of them own cars. Unless we want more cars on the road in a city that already caters to this 25%, then we should be happy that the state government puts so much into subsidized transit.

TJ - sorry. I didn't catch the irony. It's hard to do that via the Internet.

Probably half of the $540 million for the subways and $93 million for the LIRR comes from City residents because they pay the bulk of State taxes. They also pay the fares to ride every time they board a train. Upstate highways, on the other hand, are absolutely free for motorists, but they are paid for in large part by City residents who will never use them. Upstate pays for a portion of the investments in rail infrastructure, but city folk fork over a big automobile subsidy in the form of upstate roadways that encourage more driving, more gasoline demand and therefore higher gas prices.

you had better figure out what the replacement is going to be in rural NY areas when your demand destruction occurs.
I think everyone has to figure this out, why put the burden only on already-energy-frugal NYC residents? I'd say that the answer is re-urbanize the built environment, upstate and downstate. Cities and compact towns are the way people will live in an energy-scarce world, as we did before the cheap oil age.

There is a reason Jim Kunstler lives upstate. It offers a great pre-existing environment for relocalization. Buffalo. Albany. Syracuse. Utica. Rochester. Oneida. Schenectady. Binghamton. Upstate New York is going to be better off than a lot of other places when demand destruction begins. Not because a fiscal subsidy from New York City will be there to provide people with alternatives. It will be better off because of its own inherent strengths.

As most readers know, in most of Europe we have always had high taxes on auto fuel.  Even now with high raw material (crude) prices, taxes make up about 60% of UK petrol (gasoline) costs.  The effect has been to ensure all but the wealthy and what are known as "petrol-heads" take account of fuel economy figures when choosing a car. 40 mpg cars are more  common than those that do 20.  
Also, about 5 years ago the UK government introduced what was called the "fuel price escalator" - a policy to increase auto fuel taxes year-on-year by a fixed amount equivalent to around 40 cents a gallon.  For the last three years and following fuel price protests in (I think) 2003, the rises were not implemented - the price of fuel was rising fast enough anyway, due to higher crude oil costs.  However, the original aim was to encourage fuel efficiency in order to reduce CO2 output - with a side effect of reducing oil consumption.
Unfortunately, the US is home to a rather extreme variant of rugged individualism that tends to include a couple of elements that strongly militate against those types of measures: 1) cheap energy as a birhright (you'll take away my 12 MPG SUV when you pry my cold dead fingers off the steering wheel, and 2) GOVERNMENT is a disease, and taxation is the symptom.  Of course this is hyperbole but it does reflect a potent portion of the voting public in this country.  
If you step back and actually think about the bigger picture, you can clearly see that the majority determines policy.  However that policy is spun to whatever degree needed to satisfy the wants of the majority.  Who cares about the end point, I need to get elected now!  Maybe two year terms to the house wasn't such a grand idea.

Corporations fund politics, not people.  Without this simply understanding, our efforts are wasted.  It's about the greater good, and I'm optomistic at some point people will be forced to band together.  That will be after the initial battles.

Yes, it's the sewer syndrome-
It's not broke, but you say we need to upgrade it?

Headlines-

Oklahoma oil production fell again last year
to a 93-year low.

PeakWater