18-19 July 2006 - San Rossore, Pisa

Monday, 17 July

All day: ASPO Committees meetings, Grand Hotel Duomo

14:30-18:00 Registration - Grand Hotel Duomo - Via S.Maria, 94 - PISA

18:00 - Reception offered by the Mayor of Pisa, City Hall, Pisa
18:30 - Projection of the film "The Power of Community" (City Hall, Pisa) (limited seats available)

Tuesday 18, Parco di San Rossore - Pisa

MAIN SESSION (1st tent)

8:30-9:30 Registration
9:30 Ugo Bardi (ASPO-Italy), Introduction to the conference
9:45 Marino Artusa (environment ministry of the Tuscan Region) Welcome address

10:00- 10:40 Colin Campbell (ASPO Honorary Chairman) - Keynote speech; The Age of Oil in Perspective

10:40-11:00- coffee break

1st session: PEAK OIL I

11:00-11:30 Kjell Aleklett (President, ASPO international), A world addicted to Oil, it is time to Sober up
11:30-12:00 Richard Heinberg, (New College of California; Post Carbon Institute) The Oil Depletion Protocol: A Plan to Avert Oil Wars, Terrorism, and Economic Collapse
12:00 - 12:30 Chris Skrebowski (ODAC and Petroleum Review), Peak Oil - the Emerging Reality
12:30-13:00 Robert Hirsch (Science Applications International Corp.) Mitigation of Peak Oil - More Numbers

13:00 - 14:00 lunch

2nd session: PEAK OIL II

14:10 - 14:50 Leonardo Maugeri (ENI) Title to be announced- Keynote Speech

14:50 - 15:20 Jean Laherrere (ASPO-France), Uncertainty on data and forecasts
15:20 - 15:45 Pierre René Bauquis (ASPO-France) What future for hydrocarbons with the incoming peaks of oil and gas?
15:45 - 16:10 Jean Marie Bourdaire (ASPO-France) World Energy and Economy: What perspectives to 2050?

3rd session: GAS AND COAL

16:10 - 16:40 Peter Gerling (BGR, Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources, Germany), Coal - the prime energy of the future?
16:40 -17:10 Francesco Racheli (GE - Oil and Gas), Technology evolution to monetize 'stranded GAS'
17:10 -17:30 Marek Kolodzej, (University of Illinois) The North American Natural Gas Crisis

17:30 - snack and drinks

17: 30 - 19:30 POSTER SESSION

20:00 - social dinner -

Wednesday 19 July

4th session MODELLING

9:00 - 9:40 Dennis Meadows, (Laboratory for Interactive Learning Durham, NH, USA)- Keynote speech, Peak oil and the limits to growth

9:40-10:10 Charles Hall (State University of New York) EROI: The Key Variable in Assessing Alternative Energy Futures
10:10-10:40 Renato Guseo, University of Padova. World Oil Depletion: Diffusion Models, Price Effects, Strategic and Technological Interventions
10:40 -10:55 Anton Trijssenaar (Independent Expert) Jeu de Joule: a world energy model based on system dynamic concepts
10:55 -11:10 Bertrand Michel (Institut Francais du Petrole) Oil Production : A probabilistic model of Hubbert's curve

11:10-11:20- coffee break

5th session ECONOMICS AND MARKETS

11:20 - 11:50 Mamdouh G. Salameh, (Oil Market Consultancy Service/World Bank) Peak Oil and the Rising Crude Oil Prices
11:50 - 12:20 Andrew McKillop (Ecohabitat, and Pakistan Wind Energy Programme), The impossibility of "market solutions" to Peak Oil, the emerging financial, monetary and economic crisis, and Energy Transition
12:20 - 12:40 Luca Barillaro (Compendium Consulting), New financial products: their impact on energy markets

12:40 -14:00 lunch

Afternoon 19th

6th session GLOBAL ISSUES I

14:00-14:40 Jeremy Leggett: (SolarCentury), Keynote Speech Peak oil, climate change, and the daunting arithmetic of carbon fuels.

14:40-15:10 Paul Metz (Integer Consult), Peak Oil and Corporate Social Responsibility - CSR
15:10-15:40 Robert Hopkins (Transition Culture) Plan B - enabling relocalisation as a response to peak oil
15:40- 16:10 Folke Gunther (Holon Ecosystem Consultants) Oil depletion and food depletion

7th session GLOBAL ISSUES II

16:20-16:50 Marcello Colitti (Independent Expert) The New Priority of the Oil Companies
16:50-17:20 Terence Ward, (Independent Expert) Iran and the US - Confrontation, Oil Disruption and the Impact
17:20-17:50 Chris Sanders, (Sanders Research associates) NATO: Out of Area and Out of Oil - the war for energy and the end of free markets

18:00-18:30 - Conclusion and Final Remarks

_______________

PARALLEL SESSIONS (2nd tent)

8th session PANEL ON POST PEAK ISSUES

Tuesday 18, 15:00-17:30

Folke Gunther
Bob Hopkins
Faith Morgan
Richard Heimberg...

9th session ASPO SHOW

Wednesday 19th 10:00-12:30

Public presentation of national ASPO associations

Kjell Aleklett (ASPO International) - Keynote
Dick Lawrence (ASPO USA)
Luca Mercalli (ASPO Italy)
Hirose/Okubo (ASPO Japan)
Bruce Robinson (ASPO Australia)
...... (ASPO China)
........ (ASPO Norway)
.......... (ASPO Indonesia)