pariah -

It doesn't have to be quite that low a level of powerdown. Universities and teachers have existed since the Greeks. There were many universities prior to the Industrial Revolution. Not ubuquitous as they are now, but usually one within a geographically contiguous region.

The fact is, everyone is not suited for college. Yet it has become a business, and thus lowered standards to increase profits. Most students begin their college career by taking the courses which many of us older guys took in high school - higher algebra, calculus, physics, literature, history, etc. They must do this because what is currently taught in high school is drivel - the entire curriculum in any high school is designed around passing as many kids as possible and making test scores on a single exam. Everything else has fallen by the wayside. No dumbass left behind is the rule today.

College SHOULD be for those students with a true aptitude for learning, who are of above average intelligence. It SHOULD be elite, and foster great minds to do great things. I think that this will return, in time, to academia, and that many universities will be closed. In their place, trade schools and agricultural/mechanical schools should proliferate to educate the average person in order to allow them to earn a living. In effect, we will likely return to something resembling academia in the 1940's.

It doesn't matter whether it is Peak Oil or an economic downturn - there are too many colleges, they are too expensive, full of fatcat administrators and catering to the lowest common denominator - cash. Education has become very much secondary to cash flow due to the competitive nature of business. This culture shock, whatever it turns out to be, should force universities back into the business of education and exploration. I think it could turn out even better for those who are true teachers and educators...

Spooky-
I certainly agree that higher education will not disappear altogether.  I'll resist the temptation to criticize American education as that has already been done .
From a structural standpoint , the existing system provides little Bang for the buck .  An incredible misallocation of resources .  Downsizing the current system will occur as a result of geological realities .  Political solutions , after much verbal Pablum, will have no long-term impact .  
Out of affection , allow me to criticize the oil drum .  Better mathematical models for calculating peak oil are interesting and useful .  The socioeconomic readjustments , however, will tax the human intellect as never before .  This "elephant in the room " can not be externalized .  This thread contains postings in which the problem is spoken of clearly .  This must be done .      

   

I whole heartedly agree. I spent years driving a parking shuttle for suburban kids who chose a college downtown. By overhearing the inane drivel of their conversation I concluded that all college students were in college because they were able to get someone else to pay for it. A few were true scholars and deserved all the financial aid they could get but it raises the question: How many quantum physicists and genetic engineers does the world really need? We are already maxed out with lawyers, MBAs, and software engineers when what we really need is somebody to retrofit SUVs into series hybrids. This only needs a little nuckle scraping apptitude not post-grad engineering that someone else has already done.