I understand that feeling too.  Feeling disconnected is not all that new to me, but it is increasing rapidly now.  One group will turn out to be right, probably with serious consequences.  I look around, and everything seems so normal.  The stores are indeed still full of new goods, and I am still tempted by the life-long habits of consumerism, but I resist.  I no longer believe that I will finish my career as an engineer - with another 20 to 25 yrs to work, it just seems very unlikely, especially with a 45min commute.  But it does not bother me - I have the skills to build and fix things, we have relocated to property with land and water and wood, and my only real ambition now is to maintain a home for my family.  I'm keeping debts as low and equity as high as I can.  

It certainly makes for interesting thoughts during long planning and budget meetings at work.  I look at the rest of the people in the room and wonder how many of them have any clue.  I all seems so unreal - flying around the world for 1day meetings, sales projections based on the assumption that the future will be like the past.  Some of the engineers I manage seem to understand that something is wrong, but have different ideas about what it is.  I try not to preach to a captive audience.  Sadly, my main focus at work is trying to maintain my salary and that of my team, so that all of us can have as much time to prepare as possible.  Meanwhile I'm looking for a job doing design work again, and thinking hard about how to earn money closer to home, and without a company backing me up.  I hope I can get my kid's teeth fixed while I still have dental benefits.  

I know the weather can be beautiful right before the storm hits, and sometimes I wonder if my tinfoil hat might not be a bit too tight.  Very few of the people I know take this seriously, and even those that I suspect do are unwilling to discuss it much - I suspect they are unsure.  

I am still purchasing things, of course, but they're of a different nature.  The wood stove is in, and the garden will be planned this winter - I'll need some additional tools and supplies for that.  I try not to purchase anything that does not look like it will last, or that does not appear to be repairable (quite a challenge now).  

I know that I am looking at the same things all the people around me are - it's just increasingly obvious that I seeing something different.

I wish I knew more about the timing of all this - I'll post separately about that.  I have to get out and split some more wood - I don't have nearly enough and it should have been stacked months ago.

I don't think you'll have long to wait for a crisis to begin, but I don't think it'll be peak oil that hits us first - I'm betting it'll be 'peak money'. In other words, my view of the world includes an imminent market crash followed by a rapid descent into a vicious deflationary spiral. I would expect peak oil to exacerbate this scenario by throwing energy supply disruptions and extreme price volatility into the mixture. It wouldn't surprise me if the crash occurred within the next month or less.

As for preparations, they'll be much more difficult to make during a liquidity crunch. Most people won't have any money and those who do won't want to admit it (by visibly spending large chunks of it at once) for fear of losing it through crime or quasi-official confiscation of one kind or another. I'd suggest taking action as soon as possible.

I've been preparing for this for several years. I used to be an academic working in energy studies. Now I live on a small farm where I haul wood, muck out barns and grow vegetables, among other things. I have an outdoor wood furnace, 3 kW of PV panels in my back field, a battery bank in my basement, a solar thermal system, a generator, solar ovens, solar battery chargers, a rechargeable battery supply, a wind-up radio, stand-alone solar LED lighting, hand tools, bicycle-powered generators with portable battery packs and a dog sled team. Fortunately, I love the rural life and am much happier than I was as a member of the rat race.

KEWL!!!! Applause!!!!!
I tend to view the economic, political, and environmental problems we face as all related, with the root cause a way of life that requires an unsustainable amount of energy.  It doesn't really matter in the end which symptom manifests itself first, although the details of which preparations to make first might.

I also like the rural life, but I'm not under any illusions about how hard it will be to get by with significantly less energy.  I'm working first on heat and food.  Electricity will be one of the harder issues to solve (PV is out of my price range at present).  I will be exploring the feasibility of wood fired steam generation at some point, but I expect to find the amount of wood required to be too large to be practical.

Heat and food first-----now that's the most practical statement I've heard from these comments. I agree with you completely. I've been working on these basic principles for many years along with my 'normal' job and raising a family.

I can proudly say that I'm about 80% locally food self-sufficient---you can't do it alone. I've learned that we need to network with others in our local communities to develop sustainable and varied food supplies. I'm about 60% locally energy self-sufficient. Friends and I are slowly accumulating the items necessary to convert waste cooking oil into biodiesel but I figure biodiesel is just a temporary measure because of all the outside inputs required. We are also planning to purchase a team of pregnant Belgian mares. Horses may not be practical for most people but I've worked with them for years and they fit well in my personal situation.

Other important things to consider are:
--local and natural health care in case the modern medical systems become overloaded or inaccessible. Improving our personal immune systems thru improved nutrition, exercise and reduced stress.

--eatable and medicinal herbs, wild foraging and wilderness skills.

--networking with local neighbors for mutually benefical assistance including developing a system of trading and bartering with neighbors to save money and increase community bonds.

--developing 'low tech' skills and facilities that can last for generations regardless of 'peak oil' and other changes to our society i.e: solar greenhouses & season extenders, root cellars, skills like knife sharpening, food processing, woodlot management and on and on.

---And ultimately to teach these basic skills to our children and grandchildren because it is within their lifetimes that extreme changes will occur.

I'm not saying that you 'Urbanites' need to immediately 'head for the hills'. But you do need to start considering what you would do JUST IN CASE............

My wife is establishing the connections with the rural community we live in, mostly through the people we deal with in regards to horses, goats, chickens etc. we've got running around.  Through these connections we have met several great people knowledgeable in sustainable organic farming techniques.  I leave everyday to return to the dying end of another lifestyle - because I need the money and it is still available there.  For now.

As for health care, well the medical community is excellent in fixing us when we are broken (I would be long dead otherwise), but not so useful in dealing with illness and with keeping us fit.  Mostly they serve as a distribution network for pharmaceuticals.  And the cost of this is astronomical, so I wonder how it can possibly be sustained.  We are already well versed in homeopathic remedies, but they have not always been powerful enough (i.e. the Lyme epidemic in these parts).  So I assume that for those who do not have large amounts of money, the future will often be difficult when it comes to health issues, as it always was up to very recently.

Twilight, you perfectly captured my feelings, including the totally surreal budget and business growth meetings. Amazing that your entre post was word for word of my current feelings / actions.

It would be interesting to know how many other people who read TOD are in the same thinking / action taking.

As for the timing of economic hardship, I hope that we have until at least 2009 before any real change, I have only been in PO thinking for 6 months and need at least 3 more years to make the smooth transition to a sustainable lifestyle.