Here is what the Russians are hoping for in 2005

Russian oil exports to grow by 220,000 bpd in 2005

Russia will increase its average daily oil exports by 220,000 barrels in 2005 compared to 2004, Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin told journalists following the first day of a meeting between the Group of Twenty finance ministers in China's Xianghe on October 15. Russia is pursuing a number of projects to increase oil production, the minister said. "This includes the beginning of the development of the Sakhalin-1 project, 80 percent of the operators of which are foreign," he said. Thanks to this project alone, Russia's daily oil production will increase by 240,000 barrels by the end of 2006, Kudrin said. At the present time, this project accounts for an increase in daily oil production by 45,000 barrels, he said. In addition, investments in oil production in Russia grew by about 34 percent in the first seven months of 2005, Kudrin said. "This is a very significant growth in investments," he said. In 2006, Russia will more than double state investments in geological prospecting, he said. According to the finance ministry information, Russia expects to produce about 474 million tonnes of oil in 2005, or 9.5 million barrels a day, which is 3.3 percent more than in 2004.

That's it. Because the production growth was very high in 2004, more than 1 billion bpd, it follows that 3.3% increase for 2005 means in fact decreasing production from the level at the end of last year. The increase is from average daily production during the year, which was lower than the peak in September. In every case the production has flattened. Even those new projects they are talking about cannot make much difference. They are not saying anything about depletion of their very mature fields. Russia is very important because it accounted for most of production increase in 2003 and 2004.
I'm expecting (with an admitted bit of schadenfreude) a Russian production-peak attribution error caused by Putin's power grab. The re-nationalization of production is certain to cause productivity declines over the long term. It'll appear  a validation of natural course, but it'll be merely a function of political course.
Yes - it's going to be very hard for outsiders to disambiguate the two.
To be exact the production decline was expected and we may strongly suspect that Yukos was overproducing a lot. The Russian peak was already in the end of the '80s. The big fields are very mature. Nothing special here. Nationalized oil companies are not worse than the others. All those big private ones are now in decline, as posted in this blog some time ago...
240kbpd is a lot less than the increases they've been kicking in:

You can probably count out Mexico as a further contributor too. Recent stats for first 9 mos of each year are (thousand bls daily):

2003  3771
2004  3840
2005  3772

Mexico added 100 thousand barrels/day the first 3 1/2 years of this decade, but has slowly declined since. With Cantarell peaking, the slide should pick up steam over the next 12 mos. Looks like it's into type III decline already.