The bottom line is that most suburbs are going to die in the post-Peak Oil age.  The sooner that we kill them off, the better off we all will be, and the best way to kill them off as fast as possible is a sharply higher gasoline tax.

Suburbs can aptly be compared to a fast growing cancer.  Chemotherapy is a poison designed to kill all fast growing cells, including cancer cells.  

A sharply higher gasoline tax is a form or chemotherapy that the nations needs to take in order to have a chance of surviving the post-Peak Oil age.  

OK, I hate the sprawl too.  But we have subsidized this cancer for decades.  Our society has told people it is reasonable and normal to borrow an excessive percentage of their income to buy a 3500sqft McMansion, and have 2 people drive a 15mpg vehicle an hour each way to pay for it.  Hell, we've built cities in places like Phoenix that are barely habitable normally.  

No, I never fell for it either, but so many have.  I doubt that a small gas tax alone would push them over the edge en mass, but in regard to "killing them off", I try to remember there are people who live there, and some of them are my friends.  Where will they go?  How will they survive?  I don't know what percentage of the middle class has bought into this unsustainable lifestyle, but I doubt our society can stand the insolvency of so many families.  

I recognize that those who have made major mistakes in judgment will pay a price, but still I cannot wish such misery on them.

I don't see things being so dramatic.

Imagine you put 50c tax on gas this year and announce that every year from now on you'll raise it with just a quarter. Then everyone will have time to prepare and plan for the future, buy efficient car, small house near the downtown, demand mass transit etc. Yes people will suffer, but not many will get broke and maybe in 30-40 years suburbs will be just a distant memory.

In fact if Jimmy Carter or Ronald Reagan had done that now we'd have had another (much more human-like as opposed to car-like) USA. I often think of the latter as the main person responsible for the mess we have now.

US oil consumption when Reagan took office was just over 16 million barrels per day. In 1990, two years after Reagan left office, oil consumption was still less than 17 million barrels per day. You blame Reagan for what again? Almost no growth in oil consumption?

The cause of the explosion of SUVs was two-fold, a Congress (a Democrat controlled Congress at that time) decided in the late 80s that CAFE standards would not apply to the US truck fleet. And at about the same time, Saudi Arabia got into an oil price war with Russia, driving oil prices into the ground. These two factors took a few years to play out but by 1990 the trend was starting towards trucks and SUVs.

Meanwhile, from 1990 to 2000 we saw oil consumption grow to almost 20 million barrels per day. Who was president during that time? It was Clinton, and I don't blame him either. He inherited a bad decision from a prior Congress and cheap oil so he tackled problems he could, like the deficit, instead of problems that would have been stonewalled, like diminsihing resource issues.

Presidents are not omnipotent philosopher-kings able to make everything right with Solomon-like wisdom in a few short sentences. Given the economy under Reagan and under Clinton, any attempt by either to do more than occurred regarding oil usage would have been met with massive political resistance from the other party.

And if you don't believe that, check Harry Reid's own website where he's launched his presidential bid. Harry is not talking about conservation. No sir! Democrat Harry Reid is talking about taxing those evil oil companies til they lower gasoline prices again.

Politicians of both parties are mostly opportunists. True visionary statesmen are rare and often rejected anyway. Look at Roscoe Bartlett's example now. A Republican, a conservative Republican no less, and he's the only member of Congress talking about Peak Oil.

Stop blaming politicians and begin to realize that the core problem is the people themselves, all of them, voters and non-voters alike and their unrealistic expectations.

LOL. Pardon me but I'm not transfering the responsibility from the evil american public to the innocent politicians. All of us have the share of it, even it is just by supporting politicians that follow our will which is basicly to go on like this for ever. It is a two way relation and everyone is responsible. But there are problems and times that require politicians willing to take unpopular measures - see F.D.Rousvelt, Churchill etc. We did not have ours this time because we were too greedy and shortsighted OK. But if we had the opportunity to ever break this viceous cycle it was in the year of 1980 - oil was still expensive, people knew (and felt with their pockets) what foreign dependance on oil means, conservation and efficiency were not forbidden words and US government was already well aware that oil is a finite resource.
What happened is that we elected R.R. who:

a) Discouraged all energy efficiency measures initiated by the previous administration
b) negotiated with the Saudis the oil price drop to topple the U.S.S.R economy (you can read the Peter Schweizer's "Victory" on this) and
c) caused an artificial recession and distorted public finance at home by applying a mad anti-inflationary monetary policy.

The last one had the side effect of keeping the US oil consuption low during the 80-s in spite of the lower prices. I'm just saying that this was the moment that we had the best opportunity for a breakthrough in our oil addiction which of course was wasted. So... if I make a little harsh analogy: is it the fault of the cruminal or the society that brought up the criminal? For me the correct answer is: both. But the responsability is for the criminal because he is the one that did what he did.

Again, we don't have 30 or 40 years!!!

We have 10 at the outside.  Maybe 15, but not any more.

A tax of 50 cents will do a lot more damage than you think it will, Look for a recession inside of 6 months, even now, but for sure inside of 6 months after a gas tax of 50 cents.

You are talking about killing the poor rural folks, who don't live in town, who have to drive a "piece" to get to town. You are talking about making the poor suffer more. And really sticking it to those who live out in the country to work in town.  

I DO NOT SEE any Government money spender being able to keep their hands off that kind of money for long, even if you are able to get them to write it into the code of the tax taking.  Give them a few months and that money will find the holes in any law they make, and go poof into the black hole most Government has become these days.  Oh it will trickle back out into the nation somehow, but never where you wanted it to go.

Face it folks, 2006 is an election year, as will 2008 And NO SANE politician will be able to pass a tax on anything AND get elected by the cash strapped people.

You are talking about killing the poor rural folks, who don't live in town, who have to drive a "piece" to get to town. You are talking about making the poor suffer more. And really sticking it to those who live out in the country to work in town.
And these are the people who use the most fuel per capita, and who thus make the biggest difference when they change.

If they are exempted from having to change (especially the people who moved out to the country but work in town, which is a lifestyle decision and not a necessity) then someone else has to take a bigger cut.

We can give everyone the same marginal incentive to stop burning as much fuel, and take the heat off the poor by giving some or all of the increased taxes back as a deductible on Social Security (or an EITC increase as the NYTimes suggests, though that discriminates against single people).  But if WE ALL don't take responsibility for using less fuel, it won't happen.  And if it doesn't happen, we're all screwed - the poor even worse than a tax increase would do to them.

Then let it be not 50c, let it be 25c or whatever. Let there be a mechanism to compensate the poor, let there be another to help them make a change so they do not stay hungry. It's not so "leftist" - it is common that government initiates social programs in times of transition.

Put it this way: someone will have to pay the bill in the end. It can be you and it can be controlled (well by the govt but it is the least evil). It can be by your children or even again by yourself (well after 5-10 years) and being a complete mess. I've been through such messes and I can tell you: if people had such choice before they happened they'd have chosen the first option. Unfortunately most people live for to today or even for yesterday.