I just read the same article in the NY Times (by Jeff Gerth).  You left out the most amusing part, where Saleri from Saudi Aramco replies to Price "that the basis for the higher oil figures was a global study in 2000 by the United States Geological Survey estimating Saudi Arabia's undiscovered resources at 87 billion barrels," and Price procedes to ridicule the 2000 USGS estimate.

It is my understanding that the USGS assumptions about global reserves were based on an argument the better technology boosted recovery in Texas fields from roughly 25% in in 1970 to 50% in 1995, and the application of the same technology to the rest of the world would similarly boost global reserves.  This argument always seemed somewhat flaky to me; clearly the effectiveness of horizontal drilling and water/gas injection won't yeild the same results in differing geology.  Also the USGS study seemed to imply that technology would continue to inprove recovery by similar amounts in the future, which is also a dubious argument - surely diminishing returns will stall out ultimate recovery far short of 100%.

In any case, we will see if this "leak" to the press will induce the Saudis to be more forthcoming about the source of these enourmous new reserves that so many cornucopians are counting on.

You picked up on the same part of the article that jumped out at me: The Saudis are basing their estimates of undiscovered reserves on the USGS. I was flabbergasted at the absurdity of the whole thing.

And if the USGS estimate of 87bbl undiscovered wasn't bad enough, the Saudis upped it to 150bbl, just because everyone knows the USGS estimates are way conservative. This is one of those situations that treads the sometimes fine line between tragedy and comedy.

Re: "The Saudis are basing their estimates of undiscovered reserves on the USGS."

Jesus wept.
Yes - the irony of that is very rich indeed.
I love it--pretending to be able to put a number on something you haven't even discovered yet. (Not to mention invoking abstract dieties like "Tech.")

We still a bunch of superstitious apes, ain't we?

Aren't all the new technologies already factored in to more recent reserve estimates anyway so we couldn't expect the same reserve growth (as observed in Texas) even if the technology worked as well elsewhere.

I seem to remember that the way they applyed lower 48 reserve growth to the rest of the world drew a lot of criticism of the USGS report.

When you read it in corporate media it is already too late. Perhaps the CIA is pressurizing Bush Jr. with a little "news". The Intelligence elite use the media when it suits them.

Operation Mockingbird

Journalism and the CIA: The Mighty Wurlitzer