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There is a lot more consensus on projections of non-opec peaking around 2010-2015, than there is on world peaking - mainly due to the middle-east being an information-free zone. That's what makes Huseini's view so interesting IMHO.
One such "non-opec" study (Wells, R.A O&GJ Feb 21) appeared in O&GJ recently. He projects non-OPEC peak around 2007-2011. On this basis he shows what OPEC will need to produce to fill the gap for IEA's low, medium and high demand forecasts:
As you wrote above Husseini says at best the ME producers will at best be able to increase from around 20mbd to 25mbd be 2014 and then plateau to 2025. This leaves the remainder of OPEC to come up ~60-90mbd by 2025 which seems pretty unlikely.
Here is the corresponding non-OPEC forecast from the same O&GJ article.
